"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Banfield vs Cruzeiro+16.8-3.5-14.6
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Defensor Sporting vs Penarol+5.7+1.4-6.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Olimpia vs Banfield-14.6-3.5+16.8
-0.4-0.1+0.4
Penarol vs Atletico Tucuman-6.5+1.3+5.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Independiente del Valle vs Monagas-0.7+2.2-0.7
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Banfield finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
186-0-0In99139,937
165-1-0100.0%9730147,191
155-0-199.99370233,348
144-2-099.6881200231,620
134-1-198.6782110733,339
124-0-295.5623340582,763
3-3-096.3653140194,888
113-2-190.5494290924,889
103-1-279.532481921,466,527
2-4-082.8364716191,722
93-0-362.11746326777,399
2-3-165.31947305582,857
82-2-246.593842121,385,917
1-5-050.6104040922,944
72-1-327.832548241,467,637
1-4-132.04284820183,636
62-0-413.11124542582,642
1-3-215.11144639581,956
0-6-017.211648352,424
51-2-36.2063756925,132
0-5-18.108405223,387
41-1-42.0022573735,070
0-4-22.703287091,642
31-0-50.501387233,460
0-3-30.6011585194,819
20-2-40.10793230,198
10-1-50.00397146,336
00-0-6Out010040,256
Total:50.0%2426262412,853,936
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Banfield vs Cruzeiro-4.1+0.8+3.6
Defensor Sporting vs Penarol-0.5-0.2+0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Olimpia vs Banfield+3.6+0.8-4.1
Penarol vs Atletico Tucuman+0.6-0.2-0.5
Independiente del Valle vs Monagas+0.1-0.3+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-0964001
165-1-078172000300
155-0-150339100700
144-2-02835185100120000
134-1-1821241662001920010
124-0-21411171710302292000400
3-3-016152015720247100400
113-2-10027131592161772000910
103-1-2000027121041115116200155100
2-4-000141013771515820014300
93-0-300041301381313611215820000
2-3-100151301612141030161351000
82-2-201800014101484121612621000
1-5-00190028141247171572000
72-1-3030001717014101416138410000
1-4-1040021016038151714831000
62-0-401011200014101619171152000
1-3-2010011300013814191813721000
0-6-0102130026132020136200
51-2-3000600000141017222013610
0-5-100800137142121157200
41-1-4002000138172525154
0-4-2003001512212621102
31-0-50000310253725
0-3-3010001413283520
20-2-400002113651
10-1-500022078
00-0-600496
Total:33333334433333355433333333333333