Club Atletico Tucuman Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico Tucuman vs Libertad	+16.8-4.4-19.5		+0.4-0.1-0.5
Caracas vs Boca Juniors	-0.7+2.1-0.6

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Boca Juniors vs Atletico Tucuman	-15.5+0.2+20.8		-0.4+0.0+0.5
Libertad vs Caracas	-0.7+2.1-0.6

Chances based on how well the Atletico Tucuman finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

16	-18						In		100				13,641,694	*
15		5	-	0	-	1	In		99	1			17,474,007
14		4	-	2	-	0	In		100	0			17,266,913
13		4	-	1	-	1	In		93	7			55,809,209
12		4	-	0	-	2	99.8	%	72	27	0		44,897,890
		3	-	3	-	0	In		93	7			14,702,947
11		3	-	2	-	1	99.9		69	31	0		70,959,433
10		3	-	1	-	2	94.2		31	63	6		113,653,103
		2	-	4	-	0	99.4		62	38	1		7,013,079
9		3	-	0	-	3	61.9		3	59	38	1	60,429,993
		2	-	3	-	1	88.9		20	69	11		44,915,602
8		2	-	2	-	2	46.6		1	46	52	1	107,426,688
		1	-	5	-	0	80.5		11	70	20		1,774,191
7		2	-	1	-	3	9.1			9	68	23	113,645,416
		1	-	4	-	1	26.7		0	27	67	6	14,147,849
6		1	-	3	-	2	3.2			3	57	40	44,903,679
		2	-	0	-	4	0.4			0	39	61	44,890,210
		0	-	6	-	0	16.0		0	16	73	11	187,449
5		1	-	2	-	3	0.1			0	27	73	70,950,071
		0	-	5	-	1	0.6			1	42	57	1,774,937
4		1	-	1	-	4	Out				8	92	55,810,832
		0	-	4	-	2	0.0			0	14	86	7,011,548
3		1	-	0	-	5	Out				1	99	17,476,910
		0	-	3	-	3	Out				3	97	14,706,148
2		0	-	2	-	4	Out				0	100	17,268,622
0	-1						Out					100	13,628,460	*

Total:							50.0	%	25	25	25	25	986,366,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3	100.0*	Lottery seed
Atletico Tucuman vs Libertad	-3.9+1.2+4.4
Caracas vs Boca Juniors	+0.1-0.2+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10	100.0*	Lottery seed
Boca Juniors vs Atletico Tucuman	+3.4+0.2-4.8
Libertad vs Caracas	+0.1-0.2+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

18	6	-	0	-	0	96	4	0	0
16	5	-	1	-	0	79	19	2	0	0	0
15	5	-	0	-	1	52	35	11	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
14	4	-	2	-	0	30	39	22	7	1	0	0	0	0	0
13	4	-	1	-	1	9	23	28	20	10	3	1	0	6	0	0	0
12	4	-	0	-	2	1	4	12	19	19	12	5	1	20	6	1	0	0	0			0	0
	3	-	3	-	0	1	6	17	25	24	14	5	1	5	1	0	0	0	0
11	3	-	2	-	1	0	0	2	7	16	21	17	6	13	12	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	3	-	1	-	2	0	0	0	0	2	5	11	13	6	15	18	14	7	3	1	0	5	1	0	0	0
	2	-	4	-	0	0	0	0	1	3	11	23	23	5	11	11	7	3	1	0	0	1	0	0
9	3	-	0	-	3			0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	5	11	15	15	9	2	20	13	4	1	0	0	0	0
	2	-	3	-	1			0	0	0	0	3	17	0	2	7	14	19	17	9	2	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	2					0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	10	16	14	8	16	15	9	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	1	-	5	-	0						0	0	10	0	0	0	2	7	18	26	17	4	7	5	2	1	0	0	0
7	2	-	1	-	3										0	0	0	0	0	2	7	1	3	9	15	18	18	14	8	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	1	-	4	-	1								0			0	0	0	1	5	20	1	4	10	16	17	13	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	1	-	3	-	2													0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	20	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
	2	-	0	-	4													0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	13	19	21	18	12	5	2	0	0	0
	0	-	6	-	0								0					0	0	0	16	0	0	0	2	6	13	19	19	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
5	1	-	2	-	3															0	0		0	0	0	0	0	1	5	11	18	23	21	14	6	2	0
	0	-	5	-	1															0	1			0	0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0
4	1	-	1	-	4																				0	0	0	0	0	1	3	8	17	25	25	16	5
	0	-	4	-	2																0					0	0	0	0	1	4	11	20	26	22	12	3
3	1	-	0	-	5																							0	0	0	0	0	3	10	25	37	25
	0	-	3	-	3																							0	0	0	0	1	3	12	27	36	21
2	0	-	2	-	4																									0	0	0	0	2	11	35	52
1	0	-	1	-	5																										0	0	0	0	2	19	79
0	0	-	0	-	6																												0	0	0	4	96

Total:						3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3