Clube Atletico Paranaense Playoff Chances 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-PR vs Jorge Wilstermann	+18.7-2.1-17.3		+0.5-0.0-0.4
Deportes Tolima vs Boca Juniors	-0.6+2.0-0.6

Chances based on how well the Atletico-PR finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

16	-18						In		100				186,315	*
15		5	-	0	-	1	In		99	1			232,835
14		4	-	2	-	0	In		100	0			231,245
13		4	-	1	-	1	In		93	7			732,569
12		4	-	0	-	2	99.8	%	72	28	0		582,632
		3	-	3	-	0	In		93	7			194,013
11		3	-	2	-	1	99.9		68	31	0		925,229
10		3	-	1	-	2	94.0		30	64	6		1,468,573
		2	-	4	-	0	99.5		62	38	0		91,803
9		3	-	0	-	3	61.7		3	59	38	1	776,364
		2	-	3	-	1	88.9		20	69	11		581,990
8		2	-	2	-	2	46.7		1	46	52	1	1,388,769
		1	-	5	-	0	81.6		11	70	18		23,186
7		2	-	1	-	3	9.1			9	68	22	1,468,202
		1	-	4	-	1	27.3		0	27	67	6	183,511
6		2	-	0	-	4	0.4			0	39	60	582,943
		1	-	3	-	2	3.3			3	58	39	582,339
		0	-	6	-	0	17.5		0	17	73	10	2,404
5		1	-	2	-	3	0.1			0	27	73	924,998
		0	-	5	-	1	0.7			1	44	56	22,949
4		1	-	1	-	4	Out				8	92	734,241
		0	-	4	-	2	0.0			0	14	86	91,762
3		1	-	0	-	5	Out				1	99	232,931
		0	-	3	-	3	Out				3	97	193,483
2		0	-	2	-	4	Out				0	100	231,168
0	-1						Out					100	187,482	*

Total:							50.0	%	25	25	25	25	12,853,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27	100.0*	Lottery seed
Atletico-PR vs Jorge Wilstermann	-4.3+0.7+3.9
Deportes Tolima vs Boca Juniors	+0.1-0.2+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

18	6	-	0	-	0	96	4	0
16	5	-	1	-	0	78	19	2	0	0	0
15	5	-	0	-	1	50	35	11	2	0	0	0		1	0
14	4	-	2	-	0	29	39	23	8	2	0	0	0	0	0
13	4	-	1	-	1	8	22	28	21	10	3	1	0	7	0	0	0
12	4	-	0	-	2	1	4	11	18	19	13	5	1	21	7	1	0	0	0			0	0
	3	-	3	-	0	1	6	17	25	24	14	5	1	6	1	0	0	0
11	3	-	2	-	1	0	0	2	7	15	21	17	6	13	12	5	1	0	0	0		0	0
10	3	-	1	-	2		0	0	0	1	5	11	13	6	15	18	14	8	3	1	0	5	1	0	0	0
	2	-	4	-	0	0	0	0	1	4	12	24	21	6	11	11	6	2	1	0	0	0	0
9	3	-	0	-	3				0	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	10	15	15	9	3	20	13	4	1	0	0	0
	2	-	3	-	1			0	0	0	0	3	16	0	2	7	15	19	16	8	2	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	2							0	1	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	14	8	16	15	9	4	1	0	0	0
	1	-	5	-	0							0	11	0	0	0	2	8	20	25	15	4	7	5	2	0	0	0
7	2	-	1	-	3												0	0	0	2	7	1	3	9	15	19	18	14	8	4	1	0	0	0	0
	1	-	4	-	1								0				0	0	1	6	20	1	5	12	17	17	12	6	2	1	0	0	0
6	2	-	0	-	4														0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	13	19	21	18	12	5	2	0	0	0
	1	-	3	-	2														0	0	3	0	0	0	1	5	10	17	21	19	13	7	2	1	0	0	0
	0	-	6	-	0								0							1	16		0	1	3	7	15	20	17	12	6	1	0
5	1	-	2	-	3															0	0			0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	23	20	13	6	2	0
	0	-	5	-	1																1				0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	15	7	2	1	0
4	1	-	1	-	4																						0	0	0	1	3	8	18	25	25	15	4
	0	-	4	-	2																0						0	0	0	1	5	13	22	26	20	10	2
3	1	-	0	-	5																									0	0	0	3	10	25	37	25
	0	-	3	-	3																								0	0	0	1	4	13	28	35	20
2	0	-	2	-	4																										0	0	0	2	11	36	51
1	0	-	1	-	5																											0	0	0	2	20	78
0	0	-	0	-	6																													0	0	4	96

Total:						3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3