"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR vs Jorge Wilstermann+16.8-4.4-19.5
+0.4-0.1-0.5
Deportes Tolima vs Boca Juniors-0.7+2.1-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Atletico-PR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In100533,143*
155-0-1In991682,657
144-2-0In1000675,005
134-1-1In9372,181,640
124-0-299.8%722701,756,498
3-3-0In937572,828
113-2-199.9693102,775,375
103-1-294.2316364,441,654
2-4-099.462381274,398
93-0-361.93593712,359,301
2-3-188.92069111,756,189
82-2-246.61465214,197,770
1-5-080.410702069,430
72-1-39.1968234,446,314
1-4-126.7027676553,479
62-0-40.4038611,757,946
1-3-23.2357401,756,554
0-6-016.101673117,455
51-2-30.1027732,772,969
0-5-10.61425769,048
41-1-4Out8922,181,370
0-4-20.001486274,029
31-0-5Out199682,749
0-3-3Out397575,205
20-2-4Out0100675,631
0-1Out100533,171*
Total:50.0%2525252538,561,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27100.0*Lottery seed
Atletico-PR vs Jorge Wilstermann-3.9+1.2+4.4
Deportes Tolima vs Boca Juniors+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-09640
165-1-079192000
155-0-1523511200010
144-2-03039227100000
134-1-19232820103106000
124-0-2141219191251206100000
3-3-016172524145151000
113-2-10027152117613125100000
103-1-200001511136151814731051000
2-4-000013112423511117310010
93-0-300003015111515922013410000
2-3-100031702714191792731000
82-2-200100014101614816159410000
1-5-00010002718261747521000
72-1-30000271391518181484100000
1-4-10001520141016171373100000
62-0-4000000137131921181252000
1-3-200300014916212014831000
0-6-000160126131919146210
51-2-30000000151018232114620
0-5-11000137152223179310
41-1-4000138172526165
0-4-200001411202623123
31-0-50000310253725
0-3-30001312273621
20-2-40002113552
10-1-500021979
00-0-600496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333