Corporacion Deportiva Club Atletico Nacional Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico Nacional vs Universidad Catolica	+16.8-4.4-19.5		+0.4-0.1-0.5
Rosario Central vs Gremio	-0.7+2.1-0.6

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio vs Atletico Nacional	-15.5+0.2+20.8		-0.4+0.0+0.5
Universidad Catolica vs Rosario Central	-0.7+2.1-0.6

Chances based on how well the Atletico Nacional finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

16	-18						In		100				19,402,594	*
15		5	-	0	-	1	In		99	1			24,868,915
14		4	-	2	-	0	In		100	0			24,573,955
13		4	-	1	-	1	In		93	7			79,422,712
12		4	-	0	-	2	99.8	%	72	27	0		63,906,759
		3	-	3	-	0	In		93	7			20,921,398
11		3	-	2	-	1	99.9		69	31	0		100,979,572
10		3	-	1	-	2	94.2		31	63	6		161,752,469
		2	-	4	-	0	99.4		62	38	1		9,981,623
9		3	-	0	-	3	61.9		3	59	38	1	85,970,512
		2	-	3	-	1	88.9		20	69	11		63,922,599
8		2	-	2	-	2	46.6		1	46	52	1	152,848,901
		1	-	5	-	0	80.5		11	70	20		2,527,524
7		2	-	1	-	3	9.1			9	68	23	161,738,944
		1	-	4	-	1	26.7		0	27	67	6	20,134,467
6		1	-	3	-	2	3.2			3	57	40	63,922,244
		2	-	0	-	4	0.4			0	39	61	63,900,103
		0	-	6	-	0	15.9		0	16	73	11	264,275
5		1	-	2	-	3	0.1			0	27	73	100,982,452
		0	-	5	-	1	0.6			1	42	57	2,527,509
4		1	-	1	-	4	Out				8	92	79,423,271
		0	-	4	-	2	0.0			0	14	86	9,977,510
3		1	-	0	-	5	Out				1	99	24,864,472
		0	-	3	-	3	Out				3	97	20,918,661
2		0	-	2	-	4	Out				0	100	24,579,720
0	-1						Out					100	19,399,943	*

Total:							50.0	%	25	25	25	25	1,403,713,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Atletico Nacional vs Universidad Catolica	-3.9+1.2+4.4
Rosario Central vs Gremio	+0.1-0.2+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Gremio vs Atletico Nacional	+3.4+0.2-4.8
Universidad Catolica vs Rosario Central	+0.1-0.2+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

18	6	-	0	-	0	96	4	0	0
16	5	-	1	-	0	79	19	2	0	0	0	0
15	5	-	0	-	1	52	35	11	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
14	4	-	2	-	0	30	39	22	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	4	-	1	-	1	9	23	28	20	10	3	1	0	6	0	0	0
12	4	-	0	-	2	1	4	12	19	19	12	5	1	20	6	1	0	0	0	0		0	0
	3	-	3	-	0	1	6	17	25	24	14	5	1	5	1	0	0	0	0
11	3	-	2	-	1	0	0	2	7	16	21	17	6	13	12	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	3	-	1	-	2	0	0	0	0	2	5	11	13	6	15	18	14	7	3	1	0	5	1	0	0	0
	2	-	4	-	0	0	0	0	1	3	11	23	23	5	11	11	7	3	1	0	0	1	0	0
9	3	-	0	-	3		0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	5	11	15	15	9	2	20	13	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	2	-	3	-	1			0	0	0	0	3	17	0	2	7	14	19	17	9	2	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	2						0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	10	16	14	8	16	15	9	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	1	-	5	-	0						0	0	10	0	0	0	2	7	18	26	17	4	7	5	2	1	0	0	0	0
7	2	-	1	-	3										0	0	0	0	0	2	7	1	3	9	15	18	18	14	8	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	1	-	4	-	1							0	0			0	0	0	1	5	20	1	4	10	16	17	13	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
6	1	-	3	-	2													0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	20	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
	2	-	0	-	4														0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	13	19	21	18	12	5	2	0	0	0
	0	-	6	-	0								0						0	0	15	0	0	0	2	6	13	19	19	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
5	1	-	2	-	3															0	0		0	0	0	0	0	1	5	10	18	23	21	14	6	2	0
	0	-	5	-	1															0	1		0	0	0	0	1	3	7	15	21	22	17	9	3	1	0
4	1	-	1	-	4																				0	0	0	0	0	1	3	8	17	25	26	16	5
	0	-	4	-	2																0					0	0	0	0	1	4	11	20	26	22	12	3
3	1	-	0	-	5																							0	0	0	0	0	3	10	25	37	25
	0	-	3	-	3																							0	0	0	0	1	3	12	27	36	21
2	0	-	2	-	4																									0	0	0	0	2	11	35	52
1	0	-	1	-	5																										0	0	0	0	2	19	79
0	0	-	0	-	6																													0	0	4	96

Total:						3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3