Vegas Golden Knights Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 0.0004%

66 points 30 35-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Vegas vs Calgary	+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0NoNo

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

88	11	0		-	0	1.5	%	No			0	1		0	13	42	34	9	0				1,644,143
87	10	0		-	1	0.1		No				0		0	2	20	44	30	4				4,184,749
86	10	1		-	0	0.0		No				0		0	0	7	33	45	14				17,888,872	*
85	9	1		-	1	0.0		No				0		0	0	2	17	49	32				47,308,734	*
84	8	1		-	2	Out		No							0	0	6	39	55	0			72,952,031	*
	9	2		-	0	0.0		No				0			0	0	8	42	50				44,242,774
83	8	2		-	1	Out		No							0	0	2	27	71	0			153,479,587
	7	1		-	3	Out		No							0	0	1	23	75	0			70,979,668	*
82	7	2		-	2	Out		No							0	0	0	13	86	0			235,088,301
	8	3		-	0	Out		No								0	1	15	84	0			119,410,622
	6	1		-	4	Out		No								0	0	11	88	0			46,136,320	*
81	7	3		-	1	Out		No								0	0	6	93	0			365,717,130
	6	2		-	3	Out		No								0	0	5	94	0			208,524,580
	5	1		-	5	Out		No								0	0	4	96	0			20,629,766	*
80	6	3		-	2	Out		No								0	0	2	97	1			486,671,501
	7	4		-	0	Out		No								0	0	3	97	1			213,378,786
	5	2		-	4	Out		No								0	0	2	98	1			124,482,466	*
79	6	4		-	1	Out		No									0	1	97	2	0		567,817,351
	5	3		-	3	Out		No									0	1	97	2	0		367,491,008
	4	2		-	5	Out		No									0	0	97	2			45,635,747	*
78	5	4		-	2	Out		No									0	0	95	5	0		643,248,274
	6	5		-	0	Out		No									0	0	95	5	0		265,041,142
	4	3		-	4	Out		No									0	0	95	5	0		172,239,325
	3	2		-	6	Out		No										0	95	5	0		11,182,317	*
77	5	5		-	1	Out		No									0	0	90	10	0		600,459,677
	4	4		-	3	Out		No									0	0	90	10	0		401,945,587
	3	3		-	5	Out		No										0	90	10	0		53,072,813	*
76	4	5		-	2	Out		No										0	82	18	0		562,838,819
	5	6		-	0	Out		No										0	82	18	0		233,593,506
	3	4		-	4	Out		No										0	82	18	0		159,328,735	*
75	4	6		-	1	Out		No											71	28	0		437,902,117
	3	5		-	3	Out		No											71	28	0		279,399,697
	2	4		-	5	Out		No											71	28	0		34,213,087	*
74	3	6		-	2	Out		No											58	41	1		326,071,536
	4	7		-	0	Out		No											58	41	1		145,994,033
	2	5		-	4	Out		No											58	41	1		81,611,636	*
73	3	7		-	1	Out		No											43	54	3		217,437,688
	2	6		-	3	Out		No											43	54	3		120,575,625
	1	5		-	5	Out		No											43	54	3		11,593,707	*
72	2	7		-	2	Out		No											28	64	7		120,625,995
	3	8		-	0	Out		No											28	64	7		63,453,367
	1	6		-	4	Out		No											28	64	7		22,832,368	*
71	2	8		-	1	Out		No											16	69	15		70,386,316
	1	7		-	3	Out		No											16	69	15		31,138,871	*
70	1	8		-	2	Out		No											8	65	27		25,845,643
	2	9		-	0	Out		No											8	65	27		20,945,736	*
69	1	9		-	1	Out		No											3	56	41		16,542,748	*
68	1	10		-	0	Out		No											1	43	56		5,577,413	*
67	0	10		-	1	Out		No											0	30	70		1,142,849
66	0	11		-	0	Out		No											0	19	81		912,385

Total:						0.0	%	No			0	0		0	0	0	0	3	81	15	1		8,350,817,148

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vegas finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Winnipeg	Anaheim	Nashville	Chicago	Minnesota	Edmonton	Calgary	Vancouver	Arizona	San Jose

88		11	0		-	0	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
87		10	0		-	1	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
86		10	1		-	0	0.0		0	0		0		0	0	0
		9	0		-	2	No		0	0		0		0	0	0
85		9	1		-	1	No		0	0				0	0
		8	0		-	3	No							0
84		9	2		-	0	No							0
		8	1		-	2	No
		7	0		-	4	No
66	-83						No

Total:							0.0	%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Toronto 5 Montreal 3	-0.1
Carolina 3 Philadelphia 2	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vegas vs Calgary	-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5
Philadelphia vs Washington	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Winnipeg vs Dallas	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

88	11	0		-	0								0			0	1				0	7	28	37	21	5	0	0	0
87	10	0		-	1											0	0				0	1	8	26	36	22	5	1	0	0
86	10	1		-	0												0				0	0	2	11	29	36	18	4	0	0
85	9	1		-	1												0				0	0	0	2	13	33	34	14	2	0	0
84	8	1		-	2																	0	0	0	3	17	37	31	10	1	0
	9	2		-	0												0					0	0	0	4	20	37	29	8	1	0	0
83	8	2		-	1																		0	0	1	6	26	40	23	5	0	0
	7	1		-	3																		0	0	0	5	24	40	25	5	0	0
82	7	2		-	2																		0	0	0	1	11	34	39	15	1	0	0
	8	3		-	0																		0	0	0	2	12	35	37	14	1	0	0
	6	1		-	4																			0	0	1	9	33	40	16	1	0
81	7	3		-	1																			0	0	0	3	20	43	30	3	0	0
	6	2		-	3																			0	0	0	3	19	43	32	3	0	0
	5	1		-	5																				0	0	2	18	42	33	4	0	0
80	6	3		-	2																				0	0	1	8	34	47	11	1	0
	7	4		-	0																			0	0	0	1	9	34	46	10	0	0
	5	2		-	4																				0	0	0	7	33	47	12	1	0
79	6	4		-	1																				0	0	0	2	19	52	24	3	0
	5	3		-	3																				0	0	0	2	19	51	25	3	0
	4	2		-	5																					0	0	2	18	51	26	3	0
78	5	4		-	2																					0	0	0	8	43	40	9	0	0
	6	5		-	0																					0	0	0	8	44	39	8	0	0
	4	3		-	4																					0	0	0	7	42	40	9	0	0
	3	2		-	6																						0	0	7	41	41	10	0
77	5	5		-	1																						0	0	2	28	48	21	1	0
	4	4		-	3																						0	0	2	27	48	21	2	0
	3	3		-	5																						0	0	2	26	48	22	2	0
76	4	5		-	2																						0	0	0	13	44	37	5	0
	5	6		-	0																						0	0	1	14	45	36	5	0
	3	4		-	4																						0	0	0	13	44	37	5	0	0
75	4	6		-	1																							0	0	5	32	49	14	0	0
	3	5		-	3																							0	0	5	32	49	14	0	0
	2	4		-	5																							0	0	5	31	50	14	0	0
74	3	6		-	2																							0	0	1	18	53	27	1	0
	4	7		-	0																							0	0	1	19	52	27	1	0
	2	5		-	4																							0	0	1	18	53	28	1	0
73	3	7		-	1																								0	0	8	46	44	2	0
	2	6		-	3																								0	0	8	46	44	2	0
	1	5		-	5																								0	0	8	46	44	2	0
72	2	7		-	2																								0	0	3	32	58	7	0
	3	8		-	0																								0	0	3	33	58	7	0
	1	6		-	4																									0	3	32	58	7	0
71	2	8		-	1																									0	1	19	65	15	0	0
	1	7		-	3																								0	0	1	19	65	15	0
70	1	8		-	2																									0	0	9	63	28	1	0
	2	9		-	0																									0	0	9	63	28	1	0
69	1	9		-	1																									0	0	3	52	42	3	0
68	1	10		-	0																										0	1	37	54	8	0
67	0	10		-	1																											0	23	60	17	0
66	0	11		-	0																											0	12	59	29	0

Total:													0			0	0				0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	13	25	25	19	8	1	0	0