Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Chances

Lost to Buffalo 2-4, playoff odds down 0.07 to 99.9%
90 points   42 24-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Buffalo 4 Chicago 2 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Chicago vs St-Louis+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Winnipeg vs Dallas-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
110100-0In0.1%9811017,202,717
10990-1In0.09334043,635,105
10891-0In0.08461000101,796,938
80-2In0.0816130051,345,514
10781-1In0.065112310239,616,766
70-3In0.06111271035,494,009
10682-0In0.045153640279,593,954
71-2In0.042144040248,445,286
60-4InNo3713446015,947,717
10572-1InNo2315501100579,737,670
61-3InNo2014531300148,905,704
50-5InNo17125416104,874,914
10462-2InNo911542520521,216,323
73-0InNo1012532320451,012,098
51-4InNo7953282056,869,004
40-6InNo585232301,024,700
10363-1InNo36454060810,988,499
52-3InNo25444270265,374,917
41-5InNo2441459014,487,978*
10253-2InNo023052160619,272,107
64-0InNo133151150473,187,295
42-4InNo02275218183,679,487
31-6InNo0123522212,405,549*
10154-1InNo011652302722,726,163
43-3InNo001450323260,438,673
32-5InNo00124835516,995,753*
10044-2InNo00640468455,911,298
55-0InNo00742455337,418,852
33-4InNo00537471165,143,767
22-6InNo0043249152,092,455*
9945-1100.0%No0022655170425,647,196
34-3100.0No0022353220152,010,870
23-5100.0No0119512909,825,418*
9835-2100.0No00012513600212,877,183
46-0100.0No0001456290165,586,322
24-4100.0No00104644029,068,069*
9736-199.9No005425200165,631,555
25-399.8No00435600052,780,529
14-599.7No032968002,804,802*
9626-299.1No01247310061,599,297
37-099.4No0231661055,364,241*
15-498.7No0118801006,486,035
9527-196.0No00148240041,083,968
16-394.6No0098550010,408,147*
9428-087.5No0781121012,608,869*
17-285.3No004811410010,101,681
9318-167.0No0166294006,715,639*
9219-043.3No00434313102,247,011*
9109-119.7No020443060372,278
90010-06.9No073242172756,826
Total:99.9%0.0%115273020700008,350,817,148

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegAnaheimNashvilleMinnesotaSt-LouisEdmontonCalgaryVancouverArizonaColoradoSan JoseVegas
110100-07.6%1024722673210
10990-17.52058692562200
10891-07.540811632452200
80-27.4401013601342200
10781-17.3701618491331100
70-37.3801820461231100
10682-07.21202223351221100
71-27.11202525321121100
60-47.11202826291110100
10572-16.91803129190110100
61-36.91703329170110100
50-56.8171353016000000
10462-26.7211363090000000
73-06.72213530100000000
51-46.720238319000000
40-66.619339308000000
10363-16.5245373050000000
52-36.522538295000000
41-56.520738295000000
10253-26.4221235263100000
64-06.4241135273100000
42-46.4201435264100000
31-66.3191734244100000
10154-16.3212231223100000
43-36.3202431213100000
32-56.3192729203100000
10044-26.3213425162200000
55-06.3213325172200000
33-46.3213623152200000
22-66.3233921132200000
9945-16.3244319111200000
34-36.3254318101200000
23-56.328431691200000
9835-26.331451471200000
46-06.328471581200000
24-46.335431361200000
9736-16.337431250200000
25-36.342401150100000
14-56.248361040100000
9626-26.248351140100000
37-06.243391150100000
15-46.15331104010000
9527-15.951301040100000
16-35.855261030000000
9428-05.45025104000000
17-25.2522193000000
9318-14.1421672000000
9219-02.62710410000
9109-11.21352100
90010-00.4421000
Total:6.6%21.615.828.121.910.01.00.50.60.20.30.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 4 Chicago 2 +1.1
St-Louis 2 NY Rangers 3 -0.2
Arizona 2 Minnesota 1 (so)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs St-Louis-0.9-0.9-0.8+0.4+0.4+1.5
Winnipeg vs Dallas+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
110100-009801000
10990-1093031300
10891-00840619000
80-208106111000
10781-10650111221000
70-30610111261000
10682-00450151362100
71-20420140393200
60-4370130433200
10572-1230150500056000
61-3200140530067000
50-5170120540079100
10462-29011053008181000
73-010012053007161000
51-4709053008202000
40-6508052008243100
10363-1306045007334200
52-3205044006365200
41-5204041006396300
10253-20020290044808800
64-01030310044708700
42-400202700349081010
31-6001023003500101210
10154-1001015001500092120
43-3000014001490092320
32-5001100147092641
10044-2005000400073952
55-0006000420073841
33-4004000370064174
22-6003000320643105
9945-10020002600451980
34-3001000230035012110
23-501000190024914150
9835-20000001200150132300
46-0000000140015511180
24-400000100014515290
9736-100000500042124000
25-300000400035134700
14-5000200029135500
9626-200001000241064100
37-00000200031957100
15-4000100018971100
9527-100000014676400
16-30000009580500
9428-00000737812100
17-200000437914100
9318-10001165285000
9219-000000433916200
9109-1002037321010
90010-0007234024610
Total:01105027003270041635000000