Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances

Beat Montreal 5-3, playoff odds down 0.1 to 0.3%

77 points 35 30-7

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Tampa Bay 4 Boston 1	-0.2
Toronto 5 Montreal 3	+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton	-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

97	10	0		-	0	34.8	%	No				0	1	34	65								3,734,898
96	9	0		-	1	19.8		No				0	0	19	80								11,309,654
95	9	1		-	0	11.3		No				0	0	11	89								26,400,321
	8	0		-	2	10.0		No				0	0	10	90								18,662,991
94	8	1		-	1	5.3		No				0	0	5	95	0							87,104,304
	7	0		-	3	4.5		No					0	4	96								18,089,444
93	7	1		-	2	2.2		No					0	2	98	0							126,632,680
	8	2		-	0	2.5		No					0	3	97	0							101,664,744
	6	0		-	4	1.7		No					0	2	98	0							11,401,246
92	7	2		-	1	1.0		No					0	1	99	0	0						295,522,829
	6	1		-	3	0.8		No					0	1	99	0	0						106,430,938
	5	0		-	5	0.6		No					0	1	99	0							4,880,396
91	6	2		-	2	0.3		No					0	0	99	0	0						372,565,470
	7	3		-	0	0.4		No					0	0	99	0	0						229,934,682
	5	1		-	4	0.2		No					0	0	100	0	0						58,411,434	*
90	6	3		-	1	0.1		No						0	99	1	0						579,610,192
	5	2		-	3	0.1		No						0	99	1	0						265,829,111
	4	1		-	5	0.1		No						0	99	1	0						20,409,723	*
89	5	3		-	2	0.0		No						0	97	3	0	0					620,448,510
	6	4		-	0	0.0		No						0	97	3	0	0					338,185,269
	4	2		-	4	0.0		No						0	97	3	0	0					117,395,652
	3	1		-	6	0.0		No						0	96	4	0						4,721,343	*
88	5	4		-	1	0.0		No						0	92	8	0	0					723,981,386
	4	3		-	3	0.0		No						0	92	8	0	0					365,281,354
	3	2		-	5	0.0		No						0	91	9	0	0					33,513,084	*
87	4	4		-	2	0.0		No						0	82	17	1	0					639,335,011
	5	5		-	0	0.0		No						0	84	16	1	0					337,889,770
	3	3		-	4	0.0		No						0	82	17	1	0					127,662,460
	2	2		-	6	0.0		No						0	81	18	1	0					5,726,886	*
86	4	5		-	1	0.0		No						0	69	28	3	0	0				596,805,669
	3	4		-	3	0.0		No						0	67	29	3	0	0				297,930,219
	2	3		-	5	0.0		No						0	66	30	4	0	0				27,030,038	*
85	3	5		-	2	Out		No							49	41	9	1	0				417,169,292
	4	6		-	0	Out		No							51	40	8	0	0				232,145,873
	2	4		-	4	Out		No							48	42	10	1	0				80,247,326	*
84	3	6		-	1	Out		No							31	47	20	2	0	0			324,581,073
	2	5		-	3	Out		No							29	47	21	3	0	0			144,175,519
	1	4		-	5	Out		No							28	47	22	3	0				10,688,509	*
83	2	6		-	2	Out		No							15	42	34	8	0	0			168,205,789
	3	7		-	0	Out		No							16	43	33	7	0	0			108,213,011
	1	5		-	4	Out		No							14	41	36	9	0	0			25,199,318	*
82	2	7		-	1	Out		No							6	30	44	20	1	0			112,185,652
	1	6		-	3	Out		No							5	28	44	21	1	0			39,953,885	*
81	1	7		-	2	Out		No							1	14	42	38	5	0			38,304,301
	2	8		-	0	Out		No							2	16	42	36	4	0			35,948,097	*
80	1	8		-	1	Out		No							0	5	29	50	14	1			22,354,003
	0	7		-	3	Out		No							0	4	27	51	16	1			4,302,485
79	1	9		-	0	Out		No							0	1	15	51	29	3			9,560,057	*
78	0	9		-	1	Out		No							0	0	5	38	45	11			1,955,349
77	0	10		-	0	Out		No							0	0	1	23	52	24			1,125,901

Total:						0.3	%	No				0	0	0	78	15	5	1	0	0			8,350,817,148

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		New Jersey	Buffalo	Ottawa	NY Islanders	Detroit	Boston	Tampa Bay

97		10	0		-	0	0.4	%	18	8	9	0	0	0
96		9	0		-	1	0.2		10	5	4	0	0	0	0
95		9	1		-	0	0.1		6	3	2	0	0	0
		8	0		-	2	0.1		5	3	2	0	0	0
94		8	1		-	1	0.1		3	2	1	0	0	0
		7	0		-	3	0.1		2	1	1	0	0	0
93		7	1		-	2	0.0		1	1	0	0	0	0
		8	2		-	0	0.0		1	1	0	0	0	0
		6	0		-	4	0.0		1	1	0	0	0	0
92		7	2		-	1	0.0		1	0	0	0	0	0
		6	1		-	3	0.0		0	0	0		0	0
		5	0		-	5	0.0		0	0	0		0
91		6	2		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
		7	3		-	0	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	1		-	4	0.0		0	0	0		0	0
		4	0		-	6	0.0		0	0	0
90		6	3		-	1	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
		5	2		-	3	0.0		0	0	0		0	0
		4	1		-	5	0.0		0	0	0		0
		3	0		-	7	0.0		0	0	0
89		5	3		-	2	0.0		0	0	0		0
		6	4		-	0	0.0		0	0	0		0	0
		4	2		-	4	0.0		0	0	0		0
		3	1		-	6	0.0		0	0	0
		2	0		-	8	No		0	0
88		5	4		-	1	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0
		4	3		-	3	0.0		0	0	0		0
		3	2		-	5	0.0		0	0	0
		2	1		-	7	No		0	0	0
		1	0		-	9	No
87		4	4		-	2	0.0		0	0	0		0	0
		5	5		-	0	0.0		0	0	0		0
		3	3		-	4	0.0		0	0	0
		2	2		-	6	0.0		0	0	0
		1	1		-	8	No
		0	0		-	10	No
86		4	5		-	1	0.0		0	0	0		0
		3	4		-	3	0.0		0	0	0
		2	3		-	5	0.0		0	0	0
		1	2		-	7	No
		0	1		-	9	No
77	-85						No

Total:							0.0	%	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Toronto 5 Montreal 3	-0.4
Carolina 3 Philadelphia 2	-0.1
Arizona 2 Minnesota 1 (so)	+0.1
Florida 1 Edmonton 2	-0.1
Vancouver 3 San Jose 2 (so)	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado vs Detroit	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

97	10	0		-	0									0	0	0	0	0	1	24	10	65	0
96	9	0		-	1										0	0	0	0	0	10	9	80	0	0
95	9	1		-	0										0	0	0	0	0	4	7	87	1	0	0
	8	0		-	2										0	0	0	0	0	4	6	89	1	0	0
94	8	1		-	1												0	0	0	1	4	89	6	0	0
	7	0		-	3														0	1	3	89	6	0	0
93	7	1		-	2														0	0	2	80	17	1	0	0
	8	2		-	0														0	0	2	80	16	1	0	0
	6	0		-	4														0	0	2	80	17	1	0	0
92	7	2		-	1														0	0	1	61	32	5	0	0	0
	6	1		-	3														0	0	1	61	33	6	0	0	0
	5	0		-	5														0	0	1	60	34	6	0	0
91	6	2		-	2														0	0	0	37	45	16	2	0	0
	7	3		-	0														0	0	0	37	45	16	2	0	0
	5	1		-	4														0	0	0	36	45	16	2	0	0
90	6	3		-	1															0	0	17	44	31	8	0	0	0
	5	2		-	3															0	0	17	44	31	8	0	0	0
	4	1		-	5															0	0	16	44	31	8	0	0	0
89	5	3		-	2															0	0	6	30	41	20	3	0	0	0
	6	4		-	0															0	0	6	31	41	19	3	0	0
	4	2		-	4															0	0	6	30	42	20	3	0	0
	3	1		-	6																0	5	30	42	20	3	0	0
88	5	4		-	1																0	1	15	39	34	9	1	0	0
	4	3		-	3															0	0	1	15	39	34	9	1	0	0
	3	2		-	5																0	1	15	39	35	10	1	0	0
87	4	4		-	2																0	0	5	26	43	22	3	0	0	0
	5	5		-	0																0	0	5	26	43	22	3	0	0
	3	3		-	4																0	0	5	26	43	23	3	0	0
	2	2		-	6																0	0	5	25	42	23	4	0	0
86	4	5		-	1																0	0	1	12	38	37	11	1	0	0
	3	4		-	3																0	0	1	12	37	37	11	1	0	0
	2	3		-	5																0	0	1	12	37	37	12	1	0	0
85	3	5		-	2																	0	0	4	23	43	25	5	0	0	0
	4	6		-	0																	0	0	4	24	44	24	4	0	0
	2	4		-	4																	0	0	4	22	42	26	5	0	0
84	3	6		-	1																	0	0	1	10	35	38	14	2	0	0
	2	5		-	3																	0	0	1	9	34	39	15	2	0	0
	1	4		-	5																	0	0	1	9	33	39	16	2	0	0
83	2	6		-	2																		0	0	3	19	40	30	8	0	0	0
	3	7		-	0																		0	0	3	21	41	28	7	0	0	0
	1	5		-	4																		0	0	2	18	40	31	8	0	0	0
82	2	7		-	1																		0	0	0	7	30	41	19	2	0	0
	1	6		-	3																		0	0	0	7	28	41	21	3	0	0
81	1	7		-	2																			0	0	2	14	38	37	9	1	0	0
	2	8		-	0																			0	0	2	15	39	36	8	1	0	0
80	1	8		-	1																				0	0	4	25	45	22	4	0	0
	0	7		-	3																				0	0	4	22	45	24	5	0	0
79	1	9		-	0																				0	0	1	10	39	36	12	1	0
78	0	9		-	1																					0	0	3	22	41	27	6	0	0
77	0	10		-	0																					0	0	0	10	34	39	16	1	0

Total:														0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13	17	21	21	15	8	4	1	0	0	0	0	0