"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/11100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia-0.2+0.7-0.2
-0.4+1.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Malaysia vs Timor-Leste-0.2+0.7-0.2
-0.4+1.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Philippines vs Bahrain-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cambodia vs Singapore-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Maldives vs Qatar-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Afghanistan vs Syria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Laos vs Myanmar-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
India vs Oman-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bangladesh vs Kyrgyzstan-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Tajikistan vs Jordan-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Yemen vs North Korea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Hong Kong vs Bhutan-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Guam vs Turkmenistan-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Lebanon vs Kuwait-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chinese Taipei vs Indonesia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the UAE finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext roundQualified12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940Count
248-0-0InYes9910217,276
227-1-0InYes955000996,993
217-0-1InYes861310001,498,099
206-2-0InYes7522300002,330,815
196-1-1InYes5234102000106,993,021
186-0-2100.0%100.0%25362382000600005,243,844
5-3-0InYes313921710001003,105,022
175-2-1100.0100.01026291982007000013,974,669
165-1-299.899.8171722189301651000000020,952,568
4-4-0100.0100.03122326188207100002,588,731
154-3-199.599.5015132020113131031000000015,519,562
5-0-396.796.8013713151031817720000300010,483,962
144-2-290.592.700015111610715159310050000034,927,567
3-5-098.098.600131120221171184100010001,376,275
134-1-343.859.400001491410151611411482000010034,924,601
3-4-169.280.20000311191613161372062000000010,343,980
123-3-212.236.900016001410161688131041000200031,043,538
4-0-43.019.0000100025911791716104100810000013,103,420
2-6-034.560.200032200271519144553100000459,200
113-2-30.210.200000002612151116151041115100000046,572,415
2-5-12.724.60030000161621271213104103100004,139,011
103-1-40.01.10000200025111389161593100500034,920,457
2-4-20.04.40001800141117167812831000100015,516,816
1-7-00.615.2100042500281518124452000087,514
92-3-3Out0.30010000281415111615931104100031,040,465
3-0-5Out0.00000000138038141612511792000010,481,911
1-6-10.01.60030001617221612141041031000918,771
82-2-4Out0.00000500149151571115104100034,927,789
1-5-2Out0.00000111002714191459105100004,137,749
0-8-0Out0.410422013917171036520007,203
72-1-5OutNo001000013101531018191351020,951,496
1-4-3Out0.0000200001615174121715831010,345,608
0-7-1Out0.0000500013112118411139410087,471
61-3-4OutNo0000003140291823199215,515,489
2-0-6OutNo00002100271625231335,238,664
0-6-2OutNo00001621031119201351459,638
51-2-5OutNo0000600161728281313,964,992
0-5-3OutNo00019002820282381,379,370
41-1-6OutNo001000141738396,988,444
0-4-4OutNo0002000162138312,585,759
30-3-5OutNo000001630633,103,174
1-0-7OutNo00001527681,495,938
20-2-6OutNo000115842,334,736
10-1-7OutNo00595998,218
00-0-8OutNo0199217,759
Total:30.0%35.0%2222233322222333222233332223333322223333478,500,000
Points
Chance Will Make Next Round