SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/11100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Hong Kong vs Bhutan-0.2+0.7-0.2
-0.4+1.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Maldives vs Qatar-0.2+0.7-0.2
-0.4+1.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Yemen vs North Korea-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chinese Taipei vs Indonesia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bangladesh vs Kyrgyzstan-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Tajikistan vs Jordan-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cambodia vs Singapore-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Afghanistan vs Syria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Lebanon vs Kuwait-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Guam vs Turkmenistan-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Laos vs Myanmar-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
India vs Oman-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Philippines vs Bahrain-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Malaysia vs Timor-Leste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the China PR finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext roundQualified12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940Count
248-0-0InYes9910215,963
227-1-0InYes95500999,110
217-0-1InYes8613100001,501,062
206-2-0InYes7522300002,328,148
196-1-1InYes52341020001006,988,060
186-0-2100.0%100.0%2536238200060005,242,879
5-3-0InYes313921710001003,104,666
175-2-1100.0100.010262919820070000013,977,010
165-1-299.899.81717221893016510000020,957,340
4-4-0100.0100.031223261882071000002,585,664
154-3-199.599.5015132020113131031000000015,517,588
5-0-396.796.8013713151031817720000300010,479,539
144-2-290.592.700015111610715159310050000034,926,125
3-5-098.098.60013112022117118410001001,379,874
134-1-343.859.400001491410151611411482000010034,930,927
3-4-169.280.1000031119161316137206200000010,345,264
123-3-212.236.9000160014101616881310410002000031,022,134
4-0-43.119.000010002591179171610410081000013,097,151
2-6-034.560.300032200271519144453100000460,919
113-2-30.210.2000000026121511161510411151000000046,561,146
2-5-12.724.6003000016162127121394103100004,137,508
103-1-40.01.100002000251113891615931005000034,926,393
2-4-20.04.400001800151117167812831000100015,523,777
1-7-00.615.0100032500271518124442000087,515
92-3-3Out0.3001000002814151116159311041000031,035,718
3-0-5Out0.0000000138038141612511792000010,475,998
1-6-10.01.60003000161622161214941031000919,121
82-2-4Out0.000000500149151671115104100034,933,705
1-5-2Out0.00000211002714191459105100004,135,276
0-8-0Out0.3104220131017181035420007,294
72-1-5OutNo001000013101531018191351020,962,229
1-4-3Out0.0000200001615174121715831010,344,744
0-7-1OutNo00050003102118411139410087,654
61-3-4OutNo0000003150291823189215,524,778
2-0-6OutNo00002100271625231335,243,066
0-6-2OutNo000001621031119201351460,195
51-2-5OutNo0000600161728281313,971,002
0-5-3OutNo00019002820282381,380,451
41-1-6OutNo001000141738396,987,381
0-4-4OutNo0002000162038312,587,982
30-3-5OutNo000001630633,106,123
1-0-7OutNo00000526681,497,117
20-2-6OutNo000115842,328,763
10-1-7OutNo00595998,911
00-0-8OutNo0199216,730
Total:30.0%35.0%2222233322222333222233332222333322333333478,500,000
Points
Chance Will Make Next Round
Updated Thursday, 2015-5-28 2:03 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)