National Football Conference Playoff Chances 5 50/50

Chicago +0.3, Carolina -0.3
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPI
Dallas14-0-01.000285In87131.11Dallas Cowboys
Minnesota13-1-0.929189In138161.95Minnesota Vikings
Arizona11-3-0.786102In67333.33Arizona Cardinals
Tampa Bay11-3-0.786219In627673.62Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina9-5-0.6436774.9%-0.3472819615.8-0.0110Carolina Panthers
Chicago9-5-0.6436074.6+0.3353922405.9+0.0111Chicago Bears
NY Giants9-5-0.6432140.7-0.01624301996.818New York Giants
Seattle8-6-0.571-68.6+0.0171947257.917Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta7-7-0.500101.3-0.0110245968.612Atlanta Falcons
Philadelphia5-9-0.357-90Out64259210.521Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco5-9-0.357-77Out6244125511.025San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans4-10-0.286-122Out5263924512.022New Orleans Saints
Detroit4-10-0.286-81Out172560612.623Detroit Lions
LA Rams3-11-0.214-112Out298913.931Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay1-13-0.071-165Out693115.328Green Bay Packers
Washington0-14-0.000-268Out316915.730Washington Redskins

Will update after every advance.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1
New England 34 Miami 13
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina-0.4
Chicago+0.3
NY Giants vs AtlantaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina66.965.382.9
6.06.05.7
Chicago62.864.986.4
6.16.15.8
NY Giants64.164.517.2
6.16.17.5
Seattle6.35.210.9
AtlantaOutOut2.5
9.08.98.2
Minnesota vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas1.3*1.11.0
Minnesota1.71.92.1
Carolina80.771.169.0
5.65.96.0
Chicago55.465.093.8
6.46.15.5
NY Giants50.150.331.3
6.66.67.0
Seattle12.512.44.7
7.87.87.9
Carolina vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina93.364.556.4
5.46.16.3
Chicago70.7*73.278.5
6.15.95.8
NY Giants31.450.750.0
7.06.66.6
Seattle4.711.712.6
7.97.87.8
AtlantaOutOut2.5
LA Rams vs SeattleHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina76.4*71.573.3
5.85.95.9
Chicago76.7*72.672.5
5.96.06.0
NY Giants45.346.836.0
6.66.67.0
SeattleOut*8.217.2
8.47.77.4
Atlanta1.5*0.91.0
8.48.88.8
New Orleans12.012.111.9
LA Rams13.813.714.0
Green Bay vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina73.4*75.176.3
Chicago75.4*72.673.8
Atlanta1.8*1.10.7
8.58.58.7
Philadelphia10.310.710.7
San Francisco11.510.710.5
New Orleans11.812.212.2
Green Bay15.115.115.5
Washington15.915.915.5
Tampa Bay vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arizona3.53.53.1
Tampa Bay3.33.53.9
San Francisco10.810.811.2
New Orleans12.512.411.5
Detroit12.412.412.8
Arizona vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arizona3.23.53.5
Tampa Bay3.83.53.4
Pittsburgh vs DetroitHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Orleans11.812.212.2
Detroit13.012.412.2
Washington vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia10.810.710.2
San Francisco10.810.811.2
New Orleans11.912.012.1
Detroit12.612.512.7
Green Bay15.515.115.1
Washington15.515.915.9
Thursday, 5/3
Dallas vs NY GiantsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas1.0*1.11.3
Minnesota2.1*1.91.8
Carolina82.666.067.1
5.76.06.0
Chicago86.760.862.5
5.76.26.1
NY Giants17.266.964.1
7.56.16.1
Seattle11.0*6.36.2
7.78.18.1
Atlanta2.5OutOut
8.58.78.7
Carolina vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arizona3.13.53.5
Tampa Bay3.93.53.3
Carolina96.965.652.8
5.36.16.4
Chicago67.1*73.882.1
6.25.95.6
NY Giants31.349.250.1
7.06.66.6
Seattle4.711.412.5
7.9*7.87.8
AtlantaOutOut2.5
8.68.68.5
Chicago vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina71.770.378.0
5.95.95.7
Chicago91.165.158.2
5.66.16.3
NY Giants31.351.150.1
7.06.66.6
Seattle4.711.912.5
7.97.87.8
Seattle vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina72.8*71.976.9
5.96.05.8
Chicago73.0*74.576.2
6.06.05.9
NY Giants36.0*44.645.3
7.06.66.6
Seattle17.2*8.4Out
7.47.78.4
Atlanta1.0*0.61.5
8.88.88.4
Detroit vs Green BayHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina76.3*75.373.4
Chicago73.7*77.275.5
Atlanta0.7*1.81.8
New Orleans12.212.111.8
Detroit12.212.413.0
Green Bay15.515.115.1
Washington15.515.915.9
Atlanta vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Carolina73.5*76.676.2
NY Giants6.96.66.7
Seattle8.17.77.7
Atlanta2.5OutOut
8.28.99.0
San Francisco10.910.911.1
New Orleans12.512.411.5
Detroit12.412.412.8
San Francisco vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arizona3.53.53.2
Tampa Bay3.43.43.8
Carolina75.5*76.674.2
Philadelphia10.710.710.3
San Francisco10.510.811.5
New Orleans12.212.111.8
Minnesota vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas1.3*1.11.0
Minnesota1.71.92.1
Tampa Bay3.73.73.5
Green Bay15.115.115.5
Washington15.915.915.5
Houston vs LA RamsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LA Rams14.013.813.8
Philadelphia vs OaklandHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia10.210.710.8
San Francisco11.210.910.8
New Orleans12.112.011.9
Detroit12.712.512.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.