Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances 5 50/50
Plays at Buffalo, playoff odds up 1.2 to 22.3%
8-6-0 .571
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 5/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New England 34 Miami 13 | +1.2 | +0.2 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Buffalo vs Kansas City | -17.6-15.7+17.6 | -0.7-0.2+0.7 | ||
| Pittsburgh vs Detroit | -9.8-13.8+9.8 | -0.2-0.2+0.2 | ||
| Tennessee vs Indianapolis | -5.9+4.0+5.9 | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Cincinnati vs Denver | -1.2*-2.5+1.2 | -0.2-0.2+0.2 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Thursday, 5/3 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kansas City vs LA Chargers | +17.6-15.7-17.6 | +0.7-0.2-0.7 | ||
| Baltimore vs Pittsburgh | +9.8-11.3-9.8 | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | ||
| Seattle vs Tennessee | +1.2*+2.0-1.2 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Chicago vs Cincinnati | +1.1*-1.1-1.1 | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | ||
| Buffalo vs Miami | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 10 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 70.3 | % | 70 | 25 | 5 | 640,622 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 13.4 | 13 | 52 | 29 | 5 | 986 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 9.4 | 9 | 31 | 43 | 16 | 1,280,936 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 6 | 36 | 57 | 1,021 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 12 | 50 | 38 | 639,170 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 22.3 | % | 22 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 9 | 2,562,736 | ||||||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Tuesday, 5/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| New England 34 Miami 13 | -0.2 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Buffalo vs Kansas City | +1.4-0.4-1.4 | |
| Pittsburgh vs Detroit | +0.3+0.4-0.3 | |
| Tennessee vs Indianapolis | +0.3-0.3-0.3 | |
| Cincinnati vs Denver | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | |
| NY Giants vs Atlanta | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | |
| LA Rams vs Seattle | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |
| Carolina vs NY Jets | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Chicago | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Thursday, 5/3 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Kansas City vs LA Chargers | -1.4-0.4+1.4 | |
| Baltimore vs Pittsburgh | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | |
| Atlanta vs New Orleans | +0.2-0.3-0.2 | |
| Buffalo vs Miami | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | |
| Seattle vs Tennessee | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | |
| Chicago vs Cincinnati | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Carolina vs Tampa Bay | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| Dallas vs NY Giants | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Washington | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs Oakland | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 10 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 16 | 54 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 12 | 21 | 40 | 23 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 29 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 9 | 41 | 42 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 35 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 18 | 15 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||