Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances 5 50/50

Plays at Tennessee, lottery seed up 0.02 to 22.5
5-9-0   .357

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+1.1-0.6-1.1
Washington vs Philadelphia-0.2-0.1+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Detroit-0.2-0.2+0.2
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.2-0.2+0.2
Houston vs Cleveland-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Dallas vs LA Chargers-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Green Bay vs San Francisco-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Carolina vs NY Jets+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Oakland-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Kansas City+0.0-0.2-0.0
Arizona vs Jacksonville+0.1*+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.0-0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+1.1-0.6-1.1
Philadelphia vs Oakland+0.2*-0.2-0.2
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Detroit vs Green Bay+0.2*-0.2-0.2
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.2-0.2+0.2
Buffalo vs Miami+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Kansas City vs LA Chargers-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Houston vs LA Rams-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Tennessee+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
72-0-0623070
6.51-0-14243141
61-1-051831301430
0-0-2100
5.50-1-10625402261
50-2-00016224129
Total:1816181612127
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs