"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo vs Ceara+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Flamengo vs Fluminense+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Bragantino vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventude vs Flamengo-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Palmeiras vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
96-114YesYes100No397,512*
9530-5-399.3%Yes991No148*
92-94YesYes100No1,847*
9129-4-5100.0Yes1000No2,032*
9028-6-4YesYes100No3,520*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No6,370*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No11,208*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No19,615*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No33,004*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No55,257*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No90,612*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No145,684*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No229,919*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No358,902*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No547,293*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No823,861*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No1,218,853*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No1,767,706*
7623-7-897.5Yes98200No2,532,831*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No3,570,764*
7422-8-894.5Yes955000No4,944,703*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No6,748,766*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No9,079,611*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No12,024,533*
7021-7-1078.2Yes78202000No15,687,263*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No20,175,626*
6820-8-1062.1100.0%623260000No25,556,905*
6720-7-1152.2100.0523791000No31,896,177*
6619-9-1041.4100.041411520000No39,225,594*
6519-8-1130.6100.031432151000No47,540,333*
6419-7-1220.8100.0214028920000No56,809,200*
6318-9-1112.6100.013343316410000No66,883,643*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No77,611,112*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No88,793,992*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No100,113,182*
5917-8-130.391.003132629197200000No111,252,017*
5816-10-120.078.3015172827155100000No121,869,898*
5716-9-130.057.7002820292513410000No131,589,983*
5616-8-140.033.600029212923113100000No140,052,356*
5515-10-130.014.100003112328221030000000.0%146,912,078*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0151,877,432*
5315-8-15No0.70000141224282092000000.0154,760,892*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.0155,349,255*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0153,712,224*
5014-8-16No0.0000014132528198200000.3149,838,471*
4913-10-15No0.000001514262818710001.6143,908,427*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151627281761006.8136,153,543*
4713-8-17NoNo00000171828271441018.7126,897,113*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213024112037.4116,447,562*
4512-9-17NoNo000013122631206158.5105,258,075*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.493,630,311*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253523688.582,044,083*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141734331295.170,727,434*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.260,005,922*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.450,086,593*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.841,115,801*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.033,189,130*
379-10-19NoNo000053163100.026,342,026*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.020,543,599*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.015,735,469*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.011,841,757*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.08,750,178*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes6,344,047*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes4,508,465*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes3,143,110*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes2,148,390*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,437,532*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes941,171*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes602,776*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes378,120*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes230,744*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes137,147*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes79,872*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes44,710*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes24,916*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes13,323*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes7,036*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes3,339*
0-16NoNo100Yes400,415*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,195,244,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship