MLS Playoff Chances 2020 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Supporters Shield			Chance will finish regular season at seed																Wooden Spoon
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg.	Change	%	Change	RPI

Philadelphia	47		14	-	5	-	4	24	In			Yes		+32.8	100														1.0	+0.33	No		1	Philadelphia Union
Sporting KC	39	2	12	-	3	-	6	13	In			No			100														1.0	+1.23	No		12	Sporting Kansas City
Toronto FC	44		13	-	5	-	5	7	In			No		-32.8		100													2.0	-0.33	No		3	Toronto FC
Seattle	39	1	11	-	6	-	5	21	In			No				100													2.0	+0.59	No		4	Seattle Sounders
Columbus	41		12	-	5	-	6	15	In			No					100												3.0	+1.09	No		8	Columbus Crew
Portland	39		11	-	6	-	6	11	In			No					100												3.0	-1.53	No		11	Portland Timbers
Orlando	41		11	-	8	-	4	15	In			No						100											4.0	-0.86	No		2	Orlando City SC
Minnesota	34	2	9	-	7	-	5	10	In			No						100											4.0	+1.53	No		5	Minnesota United FC
NYCFC	39		12	-	3	-	8	12	In			No							100										5.0	-0.23	No		10	New York City FC
FC Dallas	34	1	9	-	7	-	6	4	In			No							100										5.0	-0.77	No		7	FC Dallas
LAFC	32	1	9	-	5	-	8	8	In			No								100									6.0	-0.58	No		15	Los Angeles FC
NY Red Bulls	32		9	-	5	-	9	-2	In		+32.8	No								100									6.0	+1.19	No		16	New York Red Bulls
Nashville	32		8	-	8	-	7	2	In		+62.0	No									100								7.0	+0.53	No		13	Nashville SC
San Jose	30		8	-	6	-	9	-16	In			No									100								7.0	-0.47	No		14	San Jose Earthquakes
New England	32		8	-	8	-	7	1	Out		-94.8	No										100							8.0	-1.72	No		9	New England Revolution
Colorado	28	5	8	-	4	-	6	4	Out			No										100							8.0	+0.34	No		6	Colorado Rapids
Vancouver	27		9	-	0	-	14	-17	Out			No											100						9.0	+0.19	No		21	Vancouver Whitecaps
Montreal	26		8	-	2	-	13	-10	Out			No											100						9.0	+1.17	No		17	Montreal Impact
Miami	24		7	-	3	-	13	-10	Out			No												100					10.0	+1.58	No		18	Inter Miami CF
LA Galaxy	22	1	6	-	4	-	12	-19	Out			No												100					10.0	+0.17	No		24	Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago	23		5	-	8	-	10	-6	Out			No													100				11.0	-0.53	No		22	Chicago Fire FC
RSL	22	1	5	-	7	-	10	-10	Out			No													100				11.0	-0.23	No		20	Real Salt Lake
Atlanta	22		6	-	4	-	13	-7	Out			No														100			12.0	-1.05	No		26	Atlanta United
Houston	21		4	-	9	-	10	-10	Out			No														100			12.0	-0.47	No		19	Houston Dynamo
DC United	21		5	-	6	-	12	-16	Out			No															100		13.0	-1.17	No		23	DC United
Cincinnati	16		4	-	4	-	15	-24	Out			No																100	14.0		Yes		25	FC Cincinnati

Week of 10/24
NY Red Bulls 1 New England 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls	+30.0
New England	-20.9
Atlanta	Out

San Jose 2 RSL 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
San Jose	+29.4				No
RSL	-18.4				+0.7

Montreal 0 Nashville 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Nashville	+24.3
Montreal	-11.9
DC United	Out

Vancouver 2 San Jose 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
San Jose	-21.0
Vancouver	+23.6

Vancouver 0 Seattle 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Seattle	In
Portland	In
Vancouver	-22.2

Cincinnati 0 Minnesota 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Minnesota	+19.3				No
Cincinnati	Out				+13.3

NYCFC 3 Montreal 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
NYCFC	+16.5
Montreal	-16.2

FC Dallas 2 Miami 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas	+14.2
Vancouver	-3.5				*No
Miami	Out				+1.7

LAFC 2 LA Galaxy 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
LAFC	+14.7
LA Galaxy	-10.4				+4.0

Sporting KC 4 Colorado 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC	In
Colorado	-12.4				+1.5

Minnesota 2 Colorado 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Colorado	-9.1				+3.3

Chicago 2 NY Red Bulls 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls	-4.4

RSL 0 FC Dallas 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas	-0.6
RSL	-6.2

Houston 1 Columbus 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Columbus	*In		-2.1
Houston	-6.2

Philadelphia 2 Chicago 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia			+21.1
Toronto FC			-17.7
Orlando			No

Toronto FC 0 NYCFC 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia			+14.0
Toronto FC			-18.1

Atlanta 1 DC United 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
DC United					-23.5

Orlando 4 Atlanta 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Orlando			+0.2
San Jose					No
Vancouver					*No
Montreal					No
Atlanta	Out				+8.6

Philadelphia 5 Toronto FC 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia			+24.9
Toronto FC			-27.2

DC United 1 Columbus 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
DC United					-16.8

Cincinnati 0 Sporting KC 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
San Jose					No
Vancouver					*No
Montreal					No
Cincinnati					+19.3

Week of 10/31
Nashville 0 FC Dallas 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls	+24.0
Nashville	-27.5

New England 4 DC United 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
NYCFC	-0.3
Nashville	-13.7
New England	+25.0
DC United					+0.5

NYCFC 5 NY Red Bulls 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Orlando	In
NYCFC	In
NY Red Bulls	-19.2

Portland 1 Vancouver 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Portland			+0.7
Minnesota	In
San Jose	+12.2
Vancouver	-15.2
LA Galaxy	+0.3

San Jose 3 LAFC 2
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
San Jose	In
Colorado	Out
Vancouver	Out
LA Galaxy	Out

Portland 0 Colorado 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Portland			No
Colorado	+7.7

Nashville 1 Chicago 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Nashville	-3.9
Chicago	Out

FC Dallas 3 Houston 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas	In
Houston					+1.0

LA Galaxy 2 RSL 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy	+0.7				-10.5
RSL	Out

Colorado 3 Seattle 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Seattle			No
Colorado	+1.9				-2.6

LA Galaxy 1 Seattle 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy	Out

Montreal 0 Orlando 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Orlando	In
Montreal	Out

Columbus 2 Philadelphia 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia			-13.1
Seattle			+0.8
Columbus			+2.1
Portland			+0.7

Toronto FC 2 Miami 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC			+12.2
Miami					+0.7
Chicago					No
RSL					No

Orlando 2 Columbus 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Columbus			No

Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Miami					No
Chicago					No
RSL					No
Atlanta					No
Houston					No
DC United					No
Cincinnati					+23.6

Week of 11/8
Orlando 2 Nashville 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls	-29.7
Nashville	+38.4
New England	-8.7

NY Red Bulls 2 Toronto FC 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia			+32.8
Toronto FC			-32.8
NY Red Bulls	In
Nashville	-24.1
New England	-8.7

Philadelphia 2 New England 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia			+32.8
Toronto FC			-32.8
New England	-8.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

MLS Playoff Chances 2020 50/50

Big Games