MLS Playoff Chances 2020

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Supporters Shield			Chance will finish regular season at seed																Wooden Spoon
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg.	Change	%	Change	RPI	Strength

Philadelphia	47		14	-	5	-	4	24	In			Yes		+16.7	100														1.0	+0.17	No		1	.722	Philadelphia Union
Sporting KC	39	2	12	-	3	-	6	13	In			No			100														1.0	+1.25	No		12	.624	Sporting Kansas City
Toronto FC	44		13	-	5	-	5	7	In			No		-16.7		100													2.0	-0.17	No		3	.570	Toronto FC
Seattle	39	1	11	-	6	-	5	21	In			No				100													2.0	+0.06	No		4	.687	Seattle Sounders
Columbus	41		12	-	5	-	6	15	In			No					100												3.0	+1.05	No		8	.658	Columbus Crew
Portland	39		11	-	6	-	6	11	In			No					100												3.0	-1.20	No		11	.581	Portland Timbers
Orlando	41		11	-	8	-	4	15	In			No						100											4.0	-0.90	No		2	.639	Orlando City SC
Minnesota	34	2	9	-	7	-	5	10	In			No						100											4.0	+1.22	No		5	.597	Minnesota United FC
NYCFC	39		12	-	3	-	8	12	In			No							100										5.0	-0.14	No		10	.617	New York City FC
FC Dallas	34	1	9	-	7	-	6	4	In			No							100										5.0	-0.34	No		7	.544	FC Dallas
LAFC	32	1	9	-	5	-	8	8	In			No								100									6.0	-0.90	No		15	.555	Los Angeles FC
NY Red Bulls	32		9	-	5	-	9	-2	In		+18.0	No								100									6.0	+0.93	No		16	.475	New York Red Bulls
Nashville	32		8	-	8	-	7	2	In		+79.1	No									100								7.0	+0.75	No		13	.523	Nashville SC
San Jose	30		8	-	6	-	9	-16	In			No									100								7.0	-0.09	No		14	.380	San Jose Earthquakes
New England	32		8	-	8	-	7	1	Out		-97.1	No										100							8.0	-1.68	No		9	.508	New England Revolution
Colorado	28	5	8	-	4	-	6	4	Out			No										100							8.0	+0.43	No		6	.538	Colorado Rapids
Vancouver	27		9	-	0	-	14	-17	Out			No											100						9.0	-0.08	No		21	.348	Vancouver Whitecaps
Montreal	26		8	-	2	-	13	-10	Out			No											100						9.0	+1.35	No		17	.414	Montreal Impact
Miami	24		7	-	3	-	13	-10	Out			No												100					10.0	+0.80	No		18	.392	Inter Miami CF
LA Galaxy	22	1	6	-	4	-	12	-19	Out			No												100					10.0	+0.42	No		24	.336	Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago	23		5	-	8	-	10	-6	Out			No													100				11.0	-0.51	No		22	.444	Chicago Fire FC
RSL	22	1	5	-	7	-	10	-10	Out			No													100				11.0	-0.21	No		20	.392	Real Salt Lake
Atlanta	22		6	-	4	-	13	-7	Out			No														100			12.0	-0.28	No		26	.413	Atlanta United
Houston	21		4	-	9	-	10	-10	Out			No														100			12.0	-0.56	No		19	.407	Houston Dynamo
DC United	21		5	-	6	-	12	-16	Out			No															100		13.0	-1.36	No		23	.346	DC United
Cincinnati	16		4	-	4	-	15	-24	Out			No																100	14.0		Yes		25	.205	FC Cincinnati

Week of 10/24
San Jose 2 RSL 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose	+28.4						+0.9
RSL	-17.8						-0.8

Montreal 0 Nashville 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Nashville	+27.0						+0.9
Montreal	-12.4						-0.8
DC United	Out

NY Red Bulls 1 New England 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
NY Red Bulls	+25.7						+0.6
New England	-17.4						-0.6
Atlanta	Out

Vancouver 2 San Jose 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose	-17.7						-0.7
Vancouver	+17.3				No		+0.9

Vancouver 0 Seattle 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle	In						+0.3
Portland	*In
San Jose	+5.9
Vancouver	-14.6						-0.4

NYCFC 3 Montreal 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
NYCFC	+8.4						+0.4
Montreal	-8.8						-0.4

RSL 0 FC Dallas 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
FC Dallas	+2.4
RSL	-8.3						-0.4

FC Dallas 2 Miami 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
FC Dallas	+7.6						+0.4
Miami	Out				+0.1		-0.3

Cincinnati 0 Minnesota 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United					-8.4
Cincinnati	Out				+11.0		-0.2

Sporting KC 4 Colorado 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC	In						+0.4
Colorado	-5.9						-0.5

Toronto FC 0 NYCFC 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia			+19.3				+0.2
Toronto FC			-23.8				-0.4

Chicago 2 NY Red Bulls 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
NY Red Bulls	+0.2

LAFC 2 Houston 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	-3.6				+0.1		-0.4

Portland 5 LA Galaxy 2
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Portland			+0.1				+0.2

Philadelphia 2 Chicago 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia			+11.4				+0.2
Toronto FC			-9.6
Orlando			No

Atlanta 1 DC United 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United					-34.5		+0.7
Cincinnati					+22.3		-0.2

Orlando 4 Atlanta 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta	Out				+1.4		-0.3

Philadelphia 5 Toronto FC 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia			+16.2				+0.3
Toronto FC			-17.3				-0.2

DC United 1 Columbus 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United					-12.6		+1.0

Cincinnati 0 Sporting KC 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United					-5.6
Cincinnati					+10.7

Week of 10/31
Nashville 0 FC Dallas 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
NY Red Bulls	+30.7						+0.4
Nashville	-39.5						-0.6
New England	+8.8						+0.3

San Jose 3 LAFC 2
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose	In						+0.3
Colorado	Out
Vancouver	Out
LA Galaxy	Out

New England 4 DC United 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
NY Red Bulls	-7.0
Nashville	-8.7
New England	+15.9						+0.3

Portland 0 Colorado 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Portland			No				-0.5
Colorado	+14.3						+1.3

Nashville 1 Chicago 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
NY Red Bulls	+6.2						+0.2
Nashville	-12.3						-0.4
New England	+6.3
Chicago	Out

NYCFC 5 NY Red Bulls 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Orlando	In
NYCFC	In						+0.2
NY Red Bulls	-10.3						-0.3
Nashville	+5.3
New England	+4.8

Portland 1 Vancouver 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Portland			+0.1				+0.3
Minnesota	In
San Jose	+8.0
Vancouver	-9.5						-0.2
LA Galaxy	+0.1

LA Galaxy 2 RSL 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
LA Galaxy	+0.6				-4.6		+0.7
RSL	Out						-0.7

Colorado 3 Seattle 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle			No				-0.4
Colorado	+1.7						+0.8

LA Galaxy 1 Seattle 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
LA Galaxy	Out

FC Dallas 3 Houston 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
FC Dallas	In						+0.3

Montreal 0 Orlando 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Orlando	In						+0.3
Montreal	Out						-0.5

Columbus 2 Philadelphia 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle			+0.7
Columbus			+0.5				+0.4
Portland			+0.2

Toronto FC 2 Miami 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago					No
RSL					No

Orlando 2 Columbus 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Columbus			No				-0.5

Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Miami					No
LA Galaxy					-2.4
Chicago					No
RSL					No
Atlanta					No		+0.4
Houston					No
DC United					No
Cincinnati					+6.4

Week of 11/8
Orlando 2 Nashville 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
NY Red Bulls	-42.2						-0.4
Nashville	+58.5						+0.8
New England	-16.3						-0.4

NY Red Bulls 2 Toronto FC 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia			+16.7				+0.2
Toronto FC			-16.7				-0.2
NY Red Bulls	In						+0.6
Nashville	-13.5						-0.2
New England	-4.4						-0.4

Philadelphia 2 New England 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia			+16.5				+0.2
Toronto FC			-16.5				-0.2
New England	-1.8						-0.2

DC United 2 Montreal 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United							-1.4

Miami 2 Cincinnati 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Miami							+1.0

Columbus 2 Atlanta 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta							-0.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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