How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova vs Parana+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.6-4.5
-5.4+1.1+4.7
+1.1-0.3-0.9
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Vila Nova-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.5-1.6+5.5
+4.7+1.1-5.4
-0.9-0.3+1.1
Avai vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Vila Nova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-114YesYes100No30,868*
8727-6-599.9%Yes1000No1,477*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No2,576*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No4,155*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No6,891*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No11,150*
8225-7-699.8Yes10000No17,481*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No27,154*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No41,408*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No61,974*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No91,198*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No132,557*
7623-7-897.4Yes9730No189,168*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No266,239*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No370,308*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No501,656*
7222-6-1088.2Yes881100No674,037*
7121-8-983.7100.0%8415100No892,801*
7021-7-1077.7100.07821200No1,160,761*
6920-9-970.4100.07026300No1,492,757*
6820-8-1061.5100.0613260000No1,889,042*
6720-7-1151.599.9523810100No2,353,728*
6619-9-1040.799.84142152000No2,889,772*
6519-8-1130.099.33043225100No3,503,816*
6419-7-1220.298.12040281020000No4,176,934*
6318-9-1112.195.21233341641000No4,911,225*
6218-8-126.389.16243524920000No5,689,019*
6118-7-132.778.131530301651000No6,501,672*
6017-9-120.961.6182231241130000No7,322,901*
5917-8-130.241.5031226301972000No8,133,234*
5816-10-120.022.401516282716510000No8,898,097*
5716-9-130.09.0002719282513410000No9,603,916*
5616-8-140.02.5000292128231231000No10,207,296*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No10,701,293*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%11,055,325*
5315-8-15No0.000013112328219300000.011,257,782*
5214-10-14No0.000014122328219200000.011,289,331*
5114-9-15NoNo00014122428209200000.011,165,274*
5014-8-16NoNo00001413242820820000.310,879,528*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.710,452,051*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.09,875,945*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.29,207,310*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213025112038.08,440,520*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.07,630,463*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014276.86,791,571*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253524688.75,949,900*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.25,127,243*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.24,346,691*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.43,631,561*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.82,977,639*
3810-8-20NoNo00193753100.02,406,913*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.01,910,986*
369-9-20NoNo0032573100.01,490,114*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.01,144,786*
348-10-20NoNo011486Yes860,072*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.0635,508*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes461,965*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes329,800*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes229,077*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes156,651*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes104,896*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes69,157*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes44,337*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes27,609*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes17,083*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes10,149*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes6,010*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes3,297*
0-20NoNo100Yes32,815*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%232,777,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship