"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova vs Parana+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Vila Nova-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.4+5.7
+4.4+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Atletico-GO vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Vila Nova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
92-114YesYes100No86,041*
9129-4-599.8%Yes1000No416*
9028-6-4YesYes100No796*
8928-5-599.9Yes1000No1,470*
8827-7-4YesYes100No2,538*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No4,266*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No7,407*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No12,130*
8426-6-6100.0Yes1000No20,173*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No32,176*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No50,923*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No79,283*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No120,338*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No181,761*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No267,745*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No389,426*
7623-7-897.5Yes9730No555,284*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No782,923*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No1,084,772*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No1,479,594*
7222-6-1088.4100.0%8811000No1,989,326*
7121-8-983.8100.08415100No2,629,797*
7021-7-1077.8100.078202000No3,428,647*
6920-9-970.5100.070263000No4,399,596*
6820-8-1061.6100.062326000No5,570,646*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No6,941,467*
6619-9-1040.899.841421520000No8,533,979*
6519-8-1130.199.330432251000No10,336,117*
6419-7-1220.398.12040281020000No12,335,520*
6318-9-1112.295.212333416410000No14,501,070*
6218-8-126.489.26243524920000No16,817,956*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No19,220,094*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No21,652,075*
5917-8-130.241.60312263019720000No24,045,194*
5816-10-120.022.501516282716510000No26,318,944*
5716-9-130.09.1002719282513410000No28,388,908*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No30,192,751*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No31,646,578*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%32,709,811*
5315-8-15No0.000013112328219300000.033,287,206*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.033,410,042*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.033,039,172*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.332,190,357*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.730,894,416*
4813-9-16NoNo00000151527281761007.129,213,163*
4713-8-17NoNo00000161828271441019.327,224,797*
4612-10-16NoNo000028213025112038.124,966,259*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.222,556,527*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.920,061,564*
4311-10-17NoNo000029243524688.717,573,579*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.215,158,291*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.212,851,879*
4010-10-18NoNo001521433099.410,714,142*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.88,795,240*
3810-8-20NoNo00193753100.07,106,618*
379-10-19NoNo000053164100.05,637,947*
369-9-20NoNo0032573100.04,391,409*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.03,367,866*
348-10-20NoNo0011386100.02,530,799*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes1,872,328*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes1,357,032*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes966,812*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes672,865*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes461,033*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes308,163*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes201,837*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes129,292*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes80,862*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes49,690*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes29,606*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes17,353*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes9,676*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes5,417*
0-19NoNo100Yes91,383*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%688,042,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship