| Week of 7/22 |
| Palmeiras 2 Agua Santa 1 |
| 4:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ponte Preta | +23.6 | | -7.0 | | +0.3 | |
| Agua Santa | -38.3 | | +42.4 | | -0.6 | |
| Oeste | +14.7 | | -8.6 | | +0.3 | |
|
| Mirassol 0 Ponte Preta 1 |
| 4:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ponte Preta | +32.5 | | -46.4 | | +0.6 | |
| Agua Santa | -14.7 | | +11.8 | | -0.3 | |
| Oeste | -17.8 | | +7.2 | | -0.3 | |
|
| Inter de Limeira 2 Oeste 1 |
| 5:30 PM Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | In | | | | +0.1 | |
| Ponte Preta | +11.9 | | -5.3 | | +0.3 | |
| Agua Santa | +14.2 | | -1.7 | | +0.2 | |
| Oeste | -26.9 | | +25.3 | | -0.5 | |
|
| Oeste 0 Corinthians 2 |
| 4:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ponte Preta | +3.6 | | -4.0 | | +0.3 | |
| Agua Santa | +14.6 | | -13.3 | | +0.3 | |
| Oeste | Out | | +46.3 | | -0.7 | |
|
| Ponte Preta 2 Novorizontino 0 |
| 7:15 PM Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ponte Preta | +11.5 | | -29.3 | | +0.4 | |
| Agua Santa | -3.9 | | +5.1 | | -0.2 | |
| Oeste | -7.6 | | +5.1 | | -0.2 | |
|
| Agua Santa 0 Mirassol 0 |
| 3:00 PM Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | In | | | | +0.1 | |
| Ponte Preta | -1.7 | | +1.9 | | -0.1 | |
| Agua Santa | -1.9 | | +3.4 | | | |
| Oeste | +2.9 | | +0.3 | | +0.0 | |
|
| Santos 1 Santo Andre 1 |
| 7:15 PM Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | -0.1 | | | | -0.0 | |
| Agua Santa | *+0.1 | | | | | |
|
| Bragantino 2 Botafogo 0 |
| 4:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ponte Preta | | | -7.0 | | | |
| Agua Santa | | | -4.9 | | | |
| Oeste | | | -7.3 | | | |
|
| Santo Andre 1 Ituano 3 |
| 4:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ponte Preta | | | +5.1 | | | |
| Agua Santa | | | +5.3 | | | |
| Oeste | | | +7.2 | | | |
|
| Botafogo 2 Guarani 0 |
| 8:00 PM Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ponte Preta | | | +7.1 | | | |
| Agua Santa | | | +4.4 | | | |
| Oeste | | | +4.6 | | | |
|
| Ituano 0 Ferroviaria 0 |
| 4:30 PM Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ponte Preta | | | +2.6 | | | |
| Agua Santa | | | +1.3 | | | |
| Oeste | | | +1.5 | | | |
|
| Ferroviaria 2 Inter de Limeira 0 |
| 4:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ponte Preta | | | +1.3 | | | |
| Agua Santa | | | +0.5 | | | |
| Oeste | | | +3.2 | | | |
|
| Corinthians 1 Palmeiras 0 |
| 9:30 PM Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ponte Preta | | | +1.0 | | | |
| Agua Santa | | | +0.8 | | | |
| Oeste | | | +0.3 | | | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.