How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma-1.5-0.6+2.0
-4.3-1.4+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Criciuma vs Cuiaba+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Criciuma finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
89-114YesYes100No88,605*
8828-4-6100.0%Yes1000No2,501*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No4,355*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No7,316*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No12,062*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No20,024*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No32,414*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No51,147*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No78,906*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No121,167*
7924-7-799.3Yes991No182,247*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No268,609*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No389,588*
7623-7-897.4Yes9730No555,092*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No781,497*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No1,085,125*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No1,480,019*
7222-6-1088.4Yes881100No1,986,968*
7121-8-983.8100.0%8415100No2,629,705*
7021-7-1077.8100.078202000No3,426,388*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No4,399,687*
6820-8-1061.6100.062326000No5,572,358*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No6,940,732*
6619-9-1040.899.841421520000No8,529,342*
6519-8-1130.199.330432251000No10,333,895*
6419-7-1220.398.12040281020000No12,320,366*
6318-9-1112.295.21233341641000No14,509,461*
6218-8-126.389.26243524920000No16,822,306*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No19,221,325*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No21,659,213*
5917-8-130.241.60312263019720000No24,051,105*
5816-10-120.022.501516282716510000No26,314,145*
5716-9-130.09.10027192825134100000No28,390,312*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No30,186,563*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No31,660,845*
5415-9-14No0.000013112328211030000000.0%32,705,657*
5315-8-15No0.0000131123282193000000.033,309,899*
5214-10-14No0.000014122328219200000.033,402,720*
5114-9-15NoNo00014122428209200000.033,034,163*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.332,181,136*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.730,893,312*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.129,213,538*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.327,220,618*
4612-10-16NoNo000028213025112038.124,965,929*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.222,564,465*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.920,067,981*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253524688.817,570,465*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141634331295.215,146,426*
4111-8-19NoNo00002929402098.212,848,750*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.410,720,704*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.88,793,640*
3810-8-20NoNo00193753100.07,101,219*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.05,639,062*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.04,395,360*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.03,370,634*
348-10-20NoNo0011386100.02,531,555*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes1,873,185*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes1,358,061*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes963,619*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes672,887*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes461,285*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes307,057*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes201,356*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes128,897*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes80,265*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes49,699*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes29,713*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes17,362*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes9,806*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes5,341*
0-19NoNo100Yes91,404*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%688,042,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship