Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Charleston Battery Playoff Chances 2020-1

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.5 to 73.1%

6 points 2-0-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 7/31	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay 2 Charleston 0	-4.0		-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta II vs Charleston	-11.3-0.0+11.3		-0.2-0.0+0.2

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/7	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charlotte vs Charleston	-4.9-0.3+9.7		-0.1-0.0+0.2
Birmingham vs Atlanta II	+2.1+0.3-6.0		+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta II vs Tampa Bay	-4.4+1.1+2.4
Miami vs Tampa Bay	-4.3+1.0+2.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Charleston finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	Count

38	-42						In		100					14,314,759	*
37		10	-	1	-	1	In		100	0				22,367,616
36		10	-	0	-	2	In		99	1				33,324,855	*
35		9	-	2	-	1	In		98	2				74,297,990
34		9	-	1	-	2	In		96	4				138,082,292	*
33		8	-	3	-	1	In		92	8				205,105,450	*
32		8	-	2	-	2	100.0	%	86	14	0			361,678,822	*
31		8	-	1	-	3	100.0		74	26	0			339,682,661
		7	-	4	-	1	100.0		82	18	0			192,639,846
30		7	-	3	-	2	100.0		68	32	0			583,391,109
		8	-	0	-	4	100.0		62	38	0			146,936,007	*
29		7	-	2	-	3	100.0		54	46	0			877,064,727
		6	-	5	-	1	100.0		62	38	0			175,400,698
28		6	-	4	-	2	100.0		46	54	0			659,311,284
		7	-	1	-	4	99.9		39	61	0			665,064,791	*
27		6	-	3	-	3	99.8		32	68	0			1,311,939,823
		7	-	0	-	5	99.7		30	70	0			307,114,020	*
26		6	-	2	-	4	98.9		19	79	1	0		1,457,484,643
		5	-	5	-	2	99.4		25	75	1			511,743,637	*
25		5	-	4	-	3	97.8		14	84	2	0		1,253,033,459
		6	-	1	-	5	96.9		11	86	3	0		908,690,956	*
24		5	-	3	-	4	94.0		7	87	6	0		1,842,440,514
		4	-	6	-	2	95.6		9	87	4	0		269,366,864
		6	-	0	-	6	92.5		4	88	8	0		209,449,904	*
23		5	-	2	-	5	86.9		2	85	13	0		1,612,677,351
		4	-	5	-	3	89.5		4	86	10	0		808,990,302	*
22		4	-	4	-	4	79.7		1	79	20	0		1,445,854,098
		5	-	1	-	6	77.2		1	77	22	0		875,487,176	*
21		4	-	3	-	5	66.3		0	66	32	1		1,674,848,405
		3	-	6	-	3	69.9		0	70	29	1		331,906,569
		5	-	0	-	7	63.2		0	63	35	2		162,994,154	*
20		4	-	2	-	6	50.6		0	51	45	4		1,202,749,794
		3	-	5	-	4	54.6		0	55	42	3		744,402,356	*
19		3	-	4	-	5	38.2		0	38	54	8		1,036,837,811
		4	-	1	-	7	35.8		0	36	55	9		578,683,412	*
18		3	-	3	-	6	23.3		0	23	60	17		985,399,595
		2	-	6	-	4	24.4		0	24	60	16		313,083,272	*
17		3	-	2	-	7	11.8			12	58	30		596,945,081
		2	-	5	-	5	13.9			14	59	27		396,380,873	*
16		2	-	4	-	6	5.9			6	51	43		451,153,477
		3	-	1	-	8	5.1			5	50	45		248,688,395	*
15		2	-	3	-	7	1.9			2	39	59		472,841,403	*
14		2	-	2	-	8	0.5			0	26	74		301,145,205	*
13		1	-	4	-	7	0.1			0	15	85		173,462,471	*
12		1	-	3	-	8	0.0			0	8	92		94,064,665	*
11		1	-	2	-	9	0.0			0	3	97		47,333,953	*
10		0	-	4	-	8	Out				1	99		20,470,601	*
9		0	-	3	-	9	Out				0	100		7,878,882	*
8		0	-	2	-	10	Out				0	100		2,725,689
6	-7						Out					100		2,663,823	*

Total:							73.1	%	16	57	20	7		27,149,595,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/31	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 2 Charleston 0	+1.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta II vs Charleston	+2.0+0.4-2.3

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/7	100.0*	Lottery seed
Charlotte vs Charleston	+1.3+0.1-2.6
Birmingham vs Atlanta II	-0.1-0.0+0.4
Atlanta II vs Tampa Bay	+0.1-0.2+0.0
Miami vs Tampa Bay	+0.1-0.2+0.0
Reno vs Sacramento	-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35

42	12	-	0	-	0	99	1	0
40	11	-	1	-	0	95	5	0	0	0
39	11	-	0	-	1	91	8	0	0
38	10	-	2	-	0	83	16	1	0	0
37	10	-	1	-	1	72	24	3	0	0	0	0		0	0
36	10	-	0	-	2	58	33	8	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
35	9	-	2	-	1	41	39	15	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0
34	9	-	1	-	2	25	38	24	8	1	0	0	0	4	0	0
33	8	-	3	-	1	12	29	29	16	5	1	0	0	8	0	0	0
32	8	-	2	-	2	4	17	27	23	11	3	0	0	13	1	0	0	0				0
31	8	-	1	-	3	1	7	18	24	18	8	2	0	19	3	0	0	0	0			0	0
30	7	-	3	-	2	0	2	8	17	21	14	5	1	23	9	1	0	0	0			0	0
29	7	-	2	-	3	0	0	2	8	15	17	10	2	22	17	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	6	-	4	-	2	0	0	0	2	7	15	16	7	12	22	14	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	7	-	1	-	4	0	0	0	2	7	13	12	4	19	26	13	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	6	-	3	-	3	0	0	0	0	2	7	13	9	7	21	24	12	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
	7	-	0	-	5	0	0	0	0	2	7	12	9	8	22	24	12	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	6	-	2	-	4		0	0	0	0	2	8	9	2	13	26	24	11	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
	5	-	5	-	2		0	0	0	0	2	9	14	1	8	21	25	15	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	5	-	4	-	3			0	0	0	0	3	10	0	3	12	25	26	14	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
	6	-	1	-	5		0	0	0	0	0	3	7	0	5	18	29	23	9	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
24	5	-	3	-	4			0	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	4	16	29	26	11	2	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
	4	-	6	-	2				0	0	0	1	8	0	0	2	10	25	30	16	3	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
	6	-	0	-	6				0	0	0	1	4	0	1	6	19	30	23	8	1	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
23	5	-	2	-	5				0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	5	19	31	23	6	2	5	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
	4	-	5	-	3					0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	14	30	29	10	1	3	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
22	4	-	4	-	4						0	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	19	34	20	0	3	6	6	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	5	-	1	-	6						0	0	1	0	0	0	1	6	22	32	16	1	4	7	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
21	4	-	3	-	5						0	0	0		0	0	0	1	8	27	29	0	1	5	9	9	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
	3	-	6	-	3						0	0	0			0	0	0	5	25	38	0	1	2	6	8	7	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	4	-	2	-	6							0	0			0	0	0	2	15	33	0	0	2	6	11	13	10	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
	3	-	5	-	4							0	0			0	0	0	1	13	40	0	0	1	3	8	11	11	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	3	-	4	-	5								0				0	0	0	5	33	0	0	0	1	3	8	13	15	12	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
	4	-	1	-	7								0			0	0	0	0	6	28	0	0	0	2	6	12	17	15	9	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
18	3	-	3	-	6								0				0	0	0	1	22	0	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	19	16	10	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	2	-	6	-	4								0					0	0	1	23	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	12	17	17	12	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
17	3	-	2	-	7													0	0	0	12		0	0	0	0	0	2	7	14	21	21	14	7	2	0	0	0	0	0
	2	-	5	-	5														0	0	14		0	0	0	0	0	1	4	9	17	21	18	10	4	1	0	0	0	0
16	2	-	4	-	6														0	0	6				0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	22	14	6	1	0	0	0
	3	-	1	-	8														0	0	5			0	0	0	0	0	1	5	12	21	24	19	9	3	1	0	0	0
15	2	-	3	-	7															0	2					0	0	0	0	0	2	7	15	24	25	17	7	2	0	0
14	2	-	2	-	8															0	0						0	0	0	0	0	1	5	14	24	27	19	7	1	0
13	1	-	4	-	7																0							0	0	0	0	0	1	4	13	26	30	19	6	1
12	1	-	3	-	8																0									0	0	0	0	1	4	15	30	32	16	3
11	1	-	2	-	9																0											0	0	0	1	6	20	36	29	9
10	0	-	4	-	8																												0	0	0	2	10	30	39	19
9	0	-	3	-	9																													0	0	0	4	20	43	33
8	0	-	2	-	10																														0	0	1	11	40	48
7	0	-	1	-	11																															0	0	6	33	61
6	0	-	0	-	12																															0	0	2	23	75

Total:						1	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0