USL Championship Playoff Chances 2019

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs											Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Phoenix	78		24	-	6	-	4	53	In		100																		1.0		2	.734	Phoenix Rising FC
Pittsburgh	68		19	-	11	-	4	28	In		100																		1.0	+0.56	1	.646	Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC
Nashville	67		20	-	7	-	7	33	In			100																	2.0	-0.56	3	.637	Nashville SC
Reno	60		18	-	6	-	10	21	In			100																	2.0		9	.575	Reno 1868 FC
Indy	63		19	-	6	-	9	19	In				100																3.0		4	.602	Indy Eleven
Fresno	57		16	-	9	-	9	14	In				100																3.0		8	.549	Fresno FC
Louisville	60		17	-	9	-	8	17	In					100															4.0		6	.575	Louisville City FC
Salt Lake II	56		16	-	8	-	10	18	In					100															4.0		10	.540	Real Monarchs SLC
Tampa Bay	58		16	-	10	-	8	28	In						100														5.0		5	.558	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Orange County	54		15	-	9	-	10	11	In						100														5.0		13	.522	Orange County SC
New York II	57		17	-	6	-	11	23	In							100													6.0		11	.549	New York Red Bulls II
El Paso	50		13	-	11	-	10	6	In							100													6.0		14	.487	El Paso Locomotive FC
North Carolina	56		16	-	8	-	10	20	In								100												7.0		7	.540	North Carolina FC
Sacramento	48		14	-	6	-	14	7	In								100												7.0		18	.469	Sacramento Republic FC
Ottawa	52		14	-	10	-	10	7	In									100											8.0		12	.505	Ottawa Fury FC
Austin	48		13	-	9	-	12	1	In									100											8.0		20	.469	Austin Bold FC
Los Angeles II	48		12	-	12	-	10	-3	In										100										9.0		16	.469	LA Galaxy II
Charleston	46		11	-	13	-	10	0	In										100										9.0	+0.31	17	.452	Charleston Battery
New Mexico	46		11	-	13	-	10	2	In											100									10.0		15	.452	New Mexico United
Birmingham	43		12	-	7	-	15	-16	In											100									10.0	-0.31	22	.425	Birmingham Legion FC
San Antonio	45		12	-	9	-	13	5	Out												100								11.0		19	.443	San Antonio FC
Saint Louis	42		11	-	9	-	14	-1	Out												100								11.0		21	.416	Saint Louis FC
RGV	41		11	-	8	-	15	-8	Out													100							12.0		26	.408	Rio Grande Valley FC
Loudoun	39		11	-	6	-	17	-6	Out													100							12.0		24	.390	Loudoun United FC
Las Vegas	41		11	-	8	-	15	-10	Out														100						13.0		23	.408	Las Vegas Lights FC
Charlotte	38		9	-	11	-	14	-11	Out														100						13.0		28	.381	Charlotte Independence
Portland II	38		10	-	8	-	16	-6	Out															100					14.0		27	.381	Portland Timbers 2
Atlanta II	35		9	-	8	-	17	-32	Out															100					14.0		32	.355	Atlanta United 2
OKC	38		9	-	11	-	14	-13	Out																100				15.0		25	.381	OKC Energy FC
Memphis	34		9	-	7	-	18	-15	Out																100				15.0		29	.346	Memphis 901 FC
Tulsa	34		8	-	10	-	16	-24	Out																	100			16.0		31	.346	Tulsa Roughnecks FC
Bethlehem	31		8	-	7	-	19	-29	Out																	100			16.0		30	.319	Bethlehem Steel FC
Tacoma	31		8	-	7	-	19	-40	Out																		100		17.0		34	.319	Tacoma Defiance
Hartford	29		8	-	5	-	21	-31	Out																		100		17.0		33	.302	Hartford Athletic
Col Springs	27		7	-	6	-	21	-34	Out																			100	18.0		36	.284	Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC
Swope Park	26		6	-	8	-	20	-34	Out																			100	18.0		35	.275	Swope Park Rangers FC

Week of 10/5
Hartford 4 Birmingham 0
8:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charleston	+11.6		+0.2
Birmingham	-21.7		-0.4
Saint Louis	+9.2		+0.2

Col Springs 2 Los Angeles II 0
8:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Los Angeles II	-20.2		-1.2
San Antonio	+7.1		+0.2

Las Vegas 4 San Antonio 2
10:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Los Angeles II	+3.7
New Mexico	+2.9
San Antonio	-18.6		-0.8
Las Vegas	+5.7		+0.7

Loudoun 4 Saint Louis 3
7:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charleston	+6.5		+0.2
Birmingham	+8.6		+0.2
Saint Louis	-15.6		-0.4

Saint Louis 0 Louisville 1
8:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charleston	+4.7
Birmingham	+5.5
Saint Louis	-10.8		-0.4

Birmingham 0 Charleston 0
8:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charleston	+7.7
Birmingham	-9.6		-0.2

New Mexico 1 RGV 1
9:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Mexico	-7.0		-0.6
San Antonio	+1.9
RGV	Out

Portland II 3 Phoenix 5
10:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Portland II	-6.8		-0.5

Tulsa 2 Sacramento 3
8:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sacramento	+4.7		+1.1

Orange County 2 OKC 0
10:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Orange County	+3.6		+0.8

El Paso 1 Austin 1
9:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
El Paso	-0.1		-0.5
Austin	+0.6

Salt Lake II 2 Orange County 0
9:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Salt Lake II	In		+0.8
Orange County			-0.7

Bethlehem 1 Charlotte 2
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charlotte			+1.1
Bethlehem	Out		-0.9

Swope Park 1 Ottawa 2
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ottawa	In		+0.2

Pittsburgh 1 Atlanta II 1
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta II	*Out		+0.2

Atlanta II 5 Bethlehem 2
7:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta II			+0.8
Bethlehem			-0.7

Nashville 2 Louisville 1
8:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nashville			+0.6

Week of 10/11
Birmingham 2 New York II 1
8:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charleston	-11.8		-0.3
Birmingham	+38.9		+0.7
Saint Louis	-26.8		-0.4
Memphis	Out

Portland II 3 San Antonio 4
10:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Los Angeles II	-14.1		-0.2
New Mexico	-8.5
San Antonio	+37.3		+1.1
Portland II	-8.1		-0.9

New Mexico 1 Tacoma 1
9:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Austin	In
Los Angeles II	+7.4		+0.2
New Mexico	-20.1		-0.6
San Antonio	+11.3		+0.2
Las Vegas	+0.4

Charleston 2 Memphis 0
7:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charleston	+19.0		+0.4
Birmingham	-8.3		-0.2
Saint Louis	-10.4		-0.2
Memphis	Out		-0.6

Tulsa 2 New Mexico 1
8:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Los Angeles II	+5.5		+0.2
New Mexico	-16.0		-0.9
San Antonio	+6.1		+0.2

Charleston 1 Loudoun 2
2:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charleston	-14.8		-0.4
Birmingham	+6.7		+0.2
Saint Louis	+7.9		+0.2
Loudoun			+1.3
Memphis	+0.2		-0.3

Saint Louis 0 Pittsburgh 1
8:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Birmingham	+9.7
Saint Louis	-14.1		-0.3

Las Vegas 0 Reno 2
10:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Los Angeles II	+3.9
Las Vegas	-10.4		-0.5

Fresno 2 Los Angeles II 2
10:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Los Angeles II	+8.8
New Mexico	+1.1
San Antonio	-6.5		-0.2
OKC	Out

Memphis 1 Charlotte 2
8:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charlotte			+1.1

El Paso 4 Portland II 1
9:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
El Paso	In		+0.8
Austin	-0.3		-0.2
Portland II	Out		-0.3

Salt Lake II 2 Austin 2
9:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Austin	In

Sacramento 2 Orange County 3
10:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Orange County			+1.4
Sacramento			-1.3

OKC 0 RGV 2
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
RGV			+1.1
OKC			-1.0

Tampa Bay 1 Indy 1
7:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			-0.5

Week of 10/18
New Mexico 2 Las Vegas 0
9:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Los Angeles II	-20.3		-0.3
New Mexico	+37.8		+0.8
San Antonio	-16.9		-0.2
Las Vegas	Out		-0.8

North Carolina 1 Saint Louis 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charleston	In		+0.2
Birmingham	In		+0.2
Saint Louis	Out		-0.3

Los Angeles II 2 El Paso 0
10:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Los Angeles II	In		+0.7
New Mexico	-15.8		-0.3
San Antonio	-3.7		-0.4

San Antonio 2 Col Springs 2
8:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Los Angeles II	+4.4
New Mexico	+12.6		+0.3
San Antonio	-16.3		-0.4
Las Vegas	Out

Charleston 5 Bethlehem 1
2:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charleston	In		+0.4
Birmingham	-4.6		-0.2
Saint Louis	-8.5		-0.2

Nashville 3 Atlanta II 0
8:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta II			-0.4

Memphis 1 Louisville 2
8:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Memphis			-0.9

Charlotte 3 Ottawa 1
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Charlotte			+1.2

Tacoma 3 Austin 1
10:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Austin			-0.8

RGV 2 Portland II 1
8:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
RGV			+0.9
Portland II			-0.8

Salt Lake II 3 Sacramento 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sacramento			-0.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

USL Championship Playoff Chances 2019

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