Campeonato Paulista Playoff Chances 2019

												100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed						Serie A2
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Red Bull	27		8	-	3	-	1	9	In			100				1.0	+0.31	No			1	.685	Red Bull Futebol e Entretenimento Ltda
Palmeiras	25		7	-	4	-	1	8	In			100				1.0	+0.06	No			2	.758	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Corinthians	21		6	-	3	-	3	2	In			100				1.0	+0.30	No			3	.565	Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Ituano	17		5	-	2	-	5	7	In			100				1.0	+0.08	No			9	.635	Ituano Futebol Clube
Santos	23		7	-	2	-	3	6	In				100			2.0	-0.31	No			5	.612	Santos Futebol Clube
Novorizontino	20		5	-	5	-	2	1	In				100			2.0	-0.06	No			4	.528	Gremio Esportivo Novorizontino
Ferroviaria	18		4	-	6	-	2	3	In				100			2.0	-0.30	No			6	.584	Associacao Ferroviaria de Esportes
Sao Paulo	15		4	-	3	-	5	3	In		+15.4		100			2.0	+0.07	No			8	.577	Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Ponte Preta	19		5	-	4	-	3	6	Out					100		3.0		No			7	.679	Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Guarani	14		4	-	2	-	6	-5	Out					100		3.0		No			11	.394	Guarani Futebol Clube
Oeste	13		3	-	4	-	5	-1	Out		-15.4			100		3.0	-0.15	No			10	.472	Oeste Futebol Clube
Mirassol	11		2	-	5	-	5	-9	Out					100		3.0	+0.66	No		-1.6	12	.292	Mirassol Futebol Clube
Botafogo	11		3	-	2	-	7	-1	Out						100	4.0		No		-17.2	13	.473	Botafogo Futebol Clube-SP
Bragantino	10		2	-	4	-	6	-10	Out						100	4.0	-0.66	No		-0.8	14	.304	Clube Atletico Bragantino
Sao Caetano	8		1	-	5	-	6	-9	Out						100	4.0		Yes		+19.5	16	.327	Associacao Desportiva Sao Caetano
Sao Bento	7		1	-	4	-	7	-10	Out						100	4.0		Yes			15	.264	Esporte Clube Sao Bento

Week of 3/2
Ituano 2 Guarani 1
9:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ituano	+18.6		No		+0.3
Novorizontino	+12.6
Sao Paulo	-6.2				-0.2
Guarani	-12.8				-0.2
Oeste	-12.4				-0.2

Bragantino 0 Sao Paulo 2
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	+6.4
Ituano	-8.2				-0.2
Ferroviaria	+7.0
Sao Paulo	+16.6				+0.3
Oeste	-8.1				-0.2
Bragantino	-13.8				-0.3

Oeste 1 Red Bull 2
7:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ituano	+8.7
Sao Paulo	+4.6
Oeste	-13.4				-0.2

Red Bull 1 Novorizontino 0
4:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bull	+4.9
Novorizontino	-11.5
Ponte Preta	-4.9
Guarani	+11.2
Sao Caetano	Out

Botafogo 2 Bragantino 1
6:45 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	+6.6
Ferroviaria	+8.2
Mirassol			+8.8
Botafogo	+0.1		-24.3
Bragantino	-15.3		+1.8		-0.3
Sao Caetano			+11.6

Santos 3 Oeste 2
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ituano	+3.7
Santos	In
Sao Paulo	+3.6
Oeste	-7.5				-0.2

Sao Bento 1 Corinthians 1
4:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	-6.9		*No		-0.2
Bragantino	+4.0
Sao Bento	Out		+1.4

Week of 3/10
Novorizontino 2 Sao Caetano 1
5:30 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Novorizontino	+22.2				+0.3
Guarani	-22.0				-0.2
Mirassol			-7.2
Botafogo			-10.7
Sao Caetano			+19.3

Santos 0 Novorizontino 1
8:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bull					+0.3
Santos					-0.3
Novorizontino	+19.9				+0.4
Guarani	-19.3				-0.2

Bragantino 0 Ituano 3
5:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	+2.6
Ituano	+10.4				+0.3
Ferroviaria	+4.0
Sao Paulo	-3.2				-0.2
Oeste	-7.2
Bragantino	Out		+1.4		-0.2

Ferroviaria 2 Sao Caetano 0
9:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	-1.1				-0.2
Ferroviaria	In				+0.3
Oeste			No
Mirassol	-1.2		-6.9
Botafogo			-12.4
Sao Caetano			+20.6

Red Bull 3 Sao Bento 2
6:45 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bull	In
Ponte Preta	Out
Sao Bento			Yes

Corinthians 0 Santos 0
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	+0.4

Sao Bento 1 Ponte Preta 2
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bull	-0.5
Novorizontino			No
Ponte Preta	+0.5		No
Sao Bento			+3.5

Week of 3/16
Corinthians 1 Oeste 0
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	In				+0.3
Ituano	In
Ferroviaria					-0.3
Sao Paulo	+21.5				+0.2
Oeste	-23.0				-0.3
Mirassol	Out

Oeste 1 Mirassol 1
9:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	In				+0.2
Oeste	Out				-0.2
Mirassol			No

Sao Paulo 0 Palmeiras 1
4:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	In				+0.2
Ituano	+1.9				+0.2
Novorizontino					-0.2
Sao Paulo	-14.1				-0.3
Oeste	+12.2

Ponte Preta 3 Guarani 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Novorizontino	In
Guarani	Out

Sao Caetano 1 Sao Paulo 1
9:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	-2.8
Oeste	+2.8
Mirassol			No
Botafogo			No
Bragantino			No
Sao Caetano			Yes

Botafogo 4 Santos 0
9:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bull					+0.3
Santos					-0.3
Mirassol			+7.9
Botafogo			No
Bragantino			+3.8

Mirassol 1 Botafogo 1
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Mirassol			-5.7
Botafogo			+3.2
Sao Caetano			+3.3

Sao Bento 1 Bragantino 0
9:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Mirassol					+0.4
Bragantino			+1.6		-0.4

Ituano 0 Corinthians 1
9:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians					+0.3
Ituano					-0.2
Ferroviaria					-0.3
Sao Paulo					+0.2

Novorizontino 1 Ferroviaria 1
9:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians					+0.3
Ferroviaria					-0.3

Guarani 1 Red Bull 2
9:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bull					+0.3
Santos					-0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Paulista Playoff Chances 2019

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