Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.9 to 61.8%
79 points   36 27-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Edmonton 2 Winnipeg 4 -0.7
Chicago 6 San Jose 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Calgary vs NY Islanders+8.9+8.9+8.5-1.1-1.1-11.2
Arizona vs Vancouver+2.3-0.6-0.2-1.8-2.1-1.6
Toronto vs Nashville+1.5+0.1+0.1-1.1-1.1-1.2
Minnesota vs Vegas-0.9-1.2-1.2-0.1-0.1+1.3
Dallas vs Florida-0.4-0.4-0.4*-0.0-0.0+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
103120-0InNo29440214,899
102110-1InNo089100444,094
101111-0InNo08118002,057,539*
100101-1InNo067321004,187,860*
99102-0InNo052444006,379,109
91-2InNo050465004,505,516*
9892-1100.0%No033551100014,538,138
81-3100.0No03156130003,008,255*
9793-0100.0No205722100016,419,145
82-2100.0No185624100014,897,663
71-4100.0No16552620001,354,526*
9683-199.9No94937410033,669,988
72-399.9No7473951009,482,745*
9573-299.2No334508410030,675,493
84-099.4No337497310028,537,106
62-499.0No23251951003,705,351*
9474-195.9No12254910400051,994,677
63-395.1No120541011400016,317,586
52-594.2No1185310125101,000,942*
9364-284.8No010498181330041,462,916
75-087.0No011518171120035,252,959
53-482.8No0947819143005,760,231*
9265-166.1No04394192490056,222,797
54-362.7No043641926111018,892,678
43-559.6No03344182812101,293,903*
9155-240.6No012511333243038,427,560
66-044.5No022821332212031,765,750
44-437.2No01231123326405,575,839*
9056-121.7No00150629399143,413,652
45-319.0No001305294111114,592,536
34-516.9No012052842121998,003*
8946-28.7No07021848222024,727,441
57-010.5No08022048192021,019,217
35-47.4No0601174824303,433,905*
8847-13.5No0300945367023,942,320
36-32.7No020084338807,966,979*
8737-21.0No01003324717010,914,364
48-01.4No01004354514010,186,245*
26-40.8No01003304918001,283,183
8638-10.3No0001214929009,239,114
27-30.2No001184931102,602,919*
8539-00.1No000124541203,481,076
28-20.1No000104345203,444,368*
8429-10.0No00432576002,874,972*
83210-00.0No00222621300806,877
19-20.0No00119621610570,377*
82110-1OutNo010592830409,369*
81111-0OutNo04464180155,288*
80011-1OutNo01294919225,729
79012-0OutNo0154733560,595
Total:61.8%No04163048131582000664,193,794

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs