Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 99.6%
90 points   41 20-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim 2 St. Louis 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington vs Detroit+0.3+0.3+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.3
+0.7+0.7+0.6-0.3-0.3-0.8
Columbus vs Pittsburgh-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Calgary vs NY Islanders+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
New Jersey vs Carolina+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116130-0In75.9%7624134,543
115120-1In63.964360240,045
114121-0In51.6524801,142,346*
113111-1In38.9406002,498,601*
112112-0In27.1297103,769,713
101-2In25.8277202,942,914*
111102-1In16.31880109,451,923
91-3In15.71881102,180,952*
11092-2In7.910873010,761,101
103-0In8.611872011,780,118*
10993-1In3.66895024,313,569
82-3In3.3588607,747,933*
10883-2In1.128711024,925,058
94-0In1.23889020,610,808
72-4In1.02851203,459,584*
10784-1In0.3182170042,250,464
73-3In0.2179200016,239,215*
10674-2In0.0070281038,497,031
85-0In0.1074251028,647,435
63-4In0.006831206,280,162*
10575-1In0.00593730052,193,227
64-3In0.00554140020,464,965
53-5In0.005342501,690,951*
10465-2In0.00424990041,624,648
76-0In0.00474670029,495,997
54-4In0.00395110007,312,561*
10366-1In0.003053160047,027,207
55-3In0.002654191020,600,905*
10256-2100.0%No016513120032,137,745
67-0100.0No019532710022,773,895
45-4100.0No01350343005,645,976*
10157-1100.0No08434360031,123,324
46-3100.0No06404670013,214,604*
10047-2100.0No327531610017,730,328
58-0100.0No43251121013,304,966*
36-4100.0No22454192002,780,944
9948-199.8No116522740015,026,991
37-399.7No11250316005,772,086*
9838-298.5No053941141006,846,931
49-098.9No074238111006,607,293*
9739-194.5No022543255005,160,318
28-392.3No012042307101,643,075*
9629-280.9No0010323917201,763,476
310-084.6No0013353614201,928,833*
95210-161.0No004183930911,471,312*
94211-038.2No0182939203655,715*
93111-116.6No02143636110188,871*
92112-06.4No006264424066,479*
91012-11.4No01114145110,652
90013-00.3No00531622056,004
Total:99.6%1.4%24831144100000664,193,794

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs