Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 0.1%

68 points 30 31-8

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Montreal vs Buffalo	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1
Toronto vs Nashville	-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

94	13	0		-	0	61.6	%	No			0	39	5	18	24	12	2	0					135,028
93	12	0		-	1	32.2		No			0	21	1	10	26	28	12	2					240,596
92	12	1		-	0	16.5		No				13	0	4	18	34	26	6	0				1,143,370	*
91	11	1		-	1	6.5		No				6	0	1	8	28	40	17	0				2,500,085	*
90	11	2		-	0	2.9		No				3	0	0	3	18	44	32	0				3,925,791	*
	10	1		-	2	2.2		No				2	0	0	2	16	44	36	0	0			2,784,525
89	10	2		-	1	0.8		No				1	0	0	1	8	37	53	1	0			9,446,409
	9	1		-	3	0.6		No				1	0	0	0	6	35	57	1	0			2,180,929	*
88	9	2		-	2	0.2		No				0		0	0	2	24	70	3	0			10,757,609
	10	3		-	0	0.3		No				0		0	0	3	26	68	3	0			11,780,189	*
87	9	3		-	1	0.1		No				0		0	0	1	14	77	8	0			24,317,604
	8	2		-	3	0.0		No				0			0	0	12	77	10	0			7,752,232	*
86	8	3		-	2	0.0		No				0			0	0	6	75	19	1			24,932,463
	9	4		-	0	0.0		No				0			0	0	7	76	16	1			20,618,433
	7	2		-	4	0.0		No				0			0	0	4	72	22	2			3,456,508	*
85	8	4		-	1	0.0		No				0			0	0	2	65	29	3			42,251,481
	7	3		-	3	0.0		No				0			0	0	2	61	33	4			16,227,950	*
84	7	4		-	2	0.0		No				0				0	1	48	43	9	0		38,501,461
	8	5		-	0	0.0		No				0				0	1	52	40	7	0		28,635,120
	6	3		-	4	0.0		No				0				0	0	44	45	11	0		6,282,276	*
83	7	5		-	1	0.0		No				0				0	0	34	49	17	0		52,217,830
	6	4		-	3	0.0		No				0				0	0	30	50	20	0		20,471,866
	5	3		-	5	Out		No									0	25	51	23	0		1,689,102	*
82	6	5		-	2	Out		No								0	0	18	50	31	0		41,618,640
	7	6		-	0	Out		No								0	0	21	50	29	0		29,491,731
	5	4		-	4	Out		No									0	15	49	35	0		7,308,819	*
81	6	6		-	1	Out		No									0	10	44	45	0		47,028,941
	5	5		-	3	Out		No									0	8	42	49	1		20,590,235	*
80	5	6		-	2	Out		No									0	4	32	62	2		32,142,205
	6	7		-	0	Out		No									0	5	35	59	1		22,768,536
	4	5		-	4	Out		No									0	3	30	65	3		5,642,704	*
79	5	7		-	1	Out		No									0	1	22	73	4		31,137,942
	4	6		-	3	Out		No									0	1	20	74	5		13,207,406	*
78	4	7		-	2	Out		No										0	12	78	10		17,735,444
	5	8		-	0	Out		No										0	13	78	8		13,191,730
	3	6		-	4	Out		No										0	10	78	12		2,894,118	*
77	4	8		-	1	Out		No										0	6	79	15		15,017,413
	3	7		-	3	Out		No										0	5	76	19		5,771,727	*
76	3	8		-	2	Out		No										0	2	71	27		6,844,242
	4	9		-	0	Out		No										0	3	72	25		6,609,953	*
75	3	9		-	1	Out		No										0	1	63	36		5,160,058
	2	8		-	3	Out		No										0	1	58	41		1,642,430	*
74	2	9		-	2	Out		No										0	0	48	51		1,764,706
	3	10		-	0	Out		No										0	0	51	49		1,927,198	*
73	2	10		-	1	Out		No											0	38	62		1,471,871	*
72	2	11		-	0	Out		No											0	27	73		655,576	*
71	1	11		-	1	Out		No											0	18	82		187,795	*
70	1	12		-	0	Out		No												11	89		66,483	*
69	0	12		-	1	Out		No												6	94		10,921
68	0	13		-	0	Out		No												3	97		56,113

Total:						0.1	%	No			0	0	0	0	0	1	3	31	30	31	3		664,193,794

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Anaheim 2 St. Louis 4	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal vs Buffalo	+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.6
New Jersey vs Carolina	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Vancouver	+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

94	13	0		-	0								0	0	0	29	10	2	2	17	2	24	12	3	0	0
93	12	0		-	1								0		0	11	10	0	1	7	3	25	28	13	2	0	0
92	12	1		-	0										0	4	9	0	0	2	2	15	32	27	9	1	0	0
91	11	1		-	1											1	5	0	0	0	1	5	20	35	25	8	1	0	0
90	11	2		-	0											0	3		0	0	0	1	8	25	34	21	7	1	0	0
	10	1		-	2											0	2	0	0	0	0	1	6	22	35	24	9	1	0	0
89	10	2		-	1											0	1		0	0	0	0	1	9	26	35	22	5	0	0
	9	1		-	3											0	1		0	0	0	0	1	6	23	36	27	7	0	0
88	9	2		-	2											0	0				0	0	0	1	10	29	39	18	2	0	0
	10	3		-	0											0	0				0	0	0	2	12	31	37	16	2	0	0
87	9	3		-	1											0	0				0	0	0	0	3	15	40	33	9	1	0	0
	8	2		-	3											0	0						0	0	2	12	38	36	11	1	0	0
86	8	3		-	2												0						0	0	0	4	26	43	23	4	0	0
	9	4		-	0											0	0						0	0	0	6	28	43	20	3	0	0
	7	2		-	4												0						0	0	0	3	22	42	27	5	0	0
85	8	4		-	1												0						0	0	0	1	13	38	36	11	1	0	0
	7	3		-	3												0							0	0	1	10	35	39	13	2	0	0
84	7	4		-	2												0							0	0	0	4	23	42	26	5	0	0
	8	5		-	0												0							0	0	0	5	25	42	23	4	0	0
	6	3		-	4												0								0	0	3	19	41	29	7	0	0
83	7	5		-	1												0							0	0	0	1	11	35	37	14	1	0	0
	6	4		-	3												0								0	0	1	9	33	39	16	2	0	0
	5	3		-	5																					0	0	7	29	42	20	2	0	0
82	6	5		-	2																					0	0	3	19	41	30	7	0	0	0
	7	6		-	0																					0	0	4	22	41	28	5	0	0	0
	5	4		-	4																					0	0	2	16	40	33	8	0	0	0
81	6	6		-	1																					0	0	1	8	31	41	17	2	0	0
	5	5		-	3																					0	0	0	7	29	42	19	2	0	0
80	5	6		-	2																						0	0	2	16	41	33	8	1	0
	6	7		-	0																						0	0	3	18	42	31	7	0	0
	4	5		-	4																						0	0	1	14	40	35	9	1	0
79	5	7		-	1																						0	0	0	6	29	42	19	3	0
	4	6		-	3																							0	0	5	27	43	21	3	0
78	4	7		-	2																							0	0	1	14	40	35	10	1
	5	8		-	0																							0	0	2	16	41	32	8	1
	3	6		-	4																							0	0	1	13	38	36	11	1
77	4	8		-	1																								0	0	6	29	43	20	3
	3	7		-	3																								0	0	5	26	43	23	3
76	3	8		-	2																								0	0	1	14	40	36	9
	4	9		-	0																								0	0	2	16	42	34	7
75	3	9		-	1																									0	0	6	31	45	17
	2	8		-	3																									0	0	5	28	46	20
74	2	9		-	2																									0	0	2	17	48	33
	3	10		-	0																									0	0	2	20	48	30
73	2	10		-	1																										0	0	9	43	48
72	2	11		-	0																										0	0	4	33	63
71	1	11		-	1																											0	1	22	77
70	1	12		-	0																											0	0	14	86
69	0	12		-	1																												0	7	93
68	0	13		-	0																												0	4	96

Total:													0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	7	13	17	18	17	12	7	3	1