National Hockey League Playoff Chances 2019-2020

Winnipeg +11.9, Minnesota -3.2
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIStrength
Boston10014414-1253100.0%94.2%-0.6961300002.646Boston Bruins
St. Louis944219-1032100.0+0.01.1+0.345054100004.584St. Louis Blues
Colorado9214220-846100.0+0.01.6+0.45504410000005.611Colorado Avalanche
Tampa Bay9214321-650100.02.5-0.1309700000001.616Tampa Bay Lightning
Washington9024120-825100.0+0.00.5-0.0156321010000003.562Washington Capitals
Philadelphia8924121-73699.8+0.00.2-0.0035431841000006.591Philadelphia Flyers
Vegas863924-81698.8-0.10.0064249111000010.542Vegas Golden Knights
Pittsburgh8624023-62896.9+0.00.0-0.00820451862100007.566Pittsburgh Penguins
Dallas8223724-8396.3-0.40.00027415621000009.519Dallas Stars
Edmonton833725-9894.9-2.6No-0.002643212332100011.527Edmonton Oilers
Carolina8133825-52982.1+0.00.0014193920105200008.565Carolina Hurricanes
Toronto8113625-91178.0+0.0No-0.00007214787000016.542Toronto Maple Leafs
Vancouver7823627-61171.6-1.0No0718354810106200015.532Vancouver Canucks
Calgary7913627-7-560.7-1.3No03132861114148300012.486Calgary Flames
Winnipeg803728-61359.6+11.9No00010272317138200017.536Winnipeg Jets
NY Islanders8033523-10-155.4-0.00.00016202920149000013.507New York Islanders
Nashville7823526-8-251.2-2.9No00072321181511400019.505Nashville Predators
Minnesota7723527-7047.7-3.2No00072021191612600018.512Minnesota Wild
Florida7823526-8338.3-0.0No002828162123100020.518Florida Panthers
Columbus8113322-15-727.6+0.1No0001917222425100023.502Columbus Blue Jackets
NY Rangers7913728-51221.8-0.1No001615222529200014.538New York Rangers
Arizona7413329-8816.6-1.0No0017261219322010021.526Arizona Coyotes
Chicago7213230-8-62.6+0.7No001249225751022.496Chicago Blackhawks
Montreal713131-9-90.0-0.0No0000003523114024.482Montreal Canadiens
Buffalo6823031-8-220.0No000001283534127.459Buffalo Sabres
New Jersey6822829-12-410.0No000001153348325.420New Jersey Devils
Anaheim672933-9-390.0-0.0No0000000346341828.411Anaheim Ducks
Los Angeles6412935-6-340.0No0000000336372426.434Los Angeles Kings
San Jose6312936-5-440.0-0.0No0000000013285929.406San Jose Sharks
Ottawa622534-12-52Out-0.0No000049630.403Ottawa Senators
Detroit391749-5-122OutNo10031.255Detroit Red Wings

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Edmonton 2 Winnipeg 4
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas-0.1
Dallas-0.4
Edmonton-2.4
No
Vancouver-1.0
Calgary-1.4
Winnipeg+11.1
Nashville-2.3
Minnesota-2.3
Arizona-0.9
Chicago-0.3
Chicago 6 San Jose 2
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver-0.1
Calgary-0.1
Winnipeg-0.1
Nashville-0.2
Minnesota-0.1
Arizona-0.1
Chicago+0.7
Colorado 3 NY Rangers 2 (ot)
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston-0.3
Colorado+0.4
Tampa Bay-0.1
NY Islanders-0.1
Florida-0.1
Columbus-0.1
NY Rangers+0.3
Anaheim 2 St. Louis 4
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston-0.2
St. Louis+0.3
Los Angeles 3 Ottawa 2
10:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston*In
OttawaOut
Thursday
Calgary vs NY IslandersIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh97.396.996.996.596.596.5
Dallas96.096.096.096.396.396.6
Edmonton94.494.494.495.095.095.7
Carolina83.882.382.380.880.580.5
Toronto78.8*78.078.077.277.277.2
Vancouver69.569.569.672.172.174.7
Calgary69.169.168.658.658.648.1
Winnipeg58.358.358.359.959.961.7
NY Islanders45.554.754.763.965.165.1
Nashville49.949.849.951.551.553.2
Minnesota46.446.446.447.948.049.6
Florida39.938.538.537.036.736.7
Columbus30.427.927.925.424.824.8
NY Rangers24.5*21.8*21.819.319.319.3
Arizona15.415.315.817.117.118.4
Toronto vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas96.696.396.395.895.895.8
Edmonton95.394.994.994.594.594.5
Carolina81.881.881.982.382.382.8
Toronto83.283.282.075.775.768.2
Vancouver72.771.671.670.570.270.2
Calgary62.260.660.659.059.059.0
Winnipeg61.8*59.6*59.657.357.057.0
NY Islanders54.854.854.955.755.756.5
Nashville41.951.451.461.162.462.4
Minnesota50.147.647.645.044.844.7
Florida34.934.935.939.839.744.6
Columbus27.127.127.227.827.828.5
NY Rangers21.521.521.522.022.022.5
Arizona17.616.616.615.615.515.5
Chicago3.02.62.62.32.22.2
Dallas vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas98.098.097.796.096.093.3
Carolina83.182.382.381.581.181.1
Toronto82.578.378.373.673.173.1
Calgary60.560.560.5*60.760.761.1
Winnipeg59.359.359.459.759.760.2
NY Islanders56.955.755.754.353.753.7
Nashville50.950.951.051.351.351.7
Minnesota47.347.347.447.747.748.3
Florida29.037.337.346.448.348.4
Columbus28.827.827.826.726.326.3
NY Rangers22.821.921.920.920.920.9
Arizona vs VancouverHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton95.194.694.694.694.594.8
Vancouver61.870.771.079.981.081.9
Calgary62.059.660.159.359.059.9
Winnipeg60.158.858.858.758.659.5
Nashville51.650.550.650.750.451.1
Minnesota48.246.946.946.846.847.6
Arizona23.321.520.612.412.37.4
Minnesota vs VegasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas97.998.999.099.699.699.7
NoNo*No*0.0*0.00.0
Dallas95.995.996.096.496.496.7
Edmonton94.694.694.795.095.095.3
Vancouver70.770.570.771.771.772.9
Calgary59.659.359.460.960.962.5
Winnipeg57.757.558.360.460.462.3
Nashville49.048.949.551.851.854.3
Minnesota56.456.254.344.844.835.5
Arizona15.915.715.716.716.717.8
Chicago2.42.32.42.72.73.0
Columbus vs PittsburghHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh94.696.896.898.498.598.7
Carolina80.780.581.282.682.583.8
Toronto77.677.577.578.0*78.078.5
NY Islanders53.152.653.655.955.958.2
Florida37.437.337.538.538.439.4
Columbus35.935.333.425.125.118.2
NY Rangers20.920.220.221.721.723.3
New Jersey vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina73.680.580.586.187.187.1
Toronto78.678.178.177.677.677.6
NY Islanders57.455.855.854.654.354.2
Florida39.638.638.637.837.537.5
Columbus29.928.128.226.626.226.3
NY Rangers23.922.122.120.720.720.7
Tampa Bay vs PhiladelphiaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston93.593.593.894.894.895.5
Tampa Bay3.43.43.01.71.70.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Chris Bosse, Desmond Smith, and Thomas Klovert for adding this league.