League One Title Chances 2019-2020 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Promotion			Chance will finish season at seed																									Relegation
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Coventry City	67	2	18	-	13	-	3	18	68.1	%	+2.2	88.6	%	+1.2	68	17	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0											1.6	+0.06	No			1	Coventry City
Rotherham United	62	1	18	-	8	-	9	23	9.6		+0.4	44.1		+2.1	10	22	17	14	11	9	7	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0								4.1	+0.13	No			5	Rotherham United

Oxford United	60	1	17	-	9	-	9	24	4.8		+0.3	29.9		+1.6	5	12	14	14	13	12	11	9	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0							5.1	+0.15	No			8	Oxford United
Wycombe Wanderers	59	2	17	-	8	-	9	5	5.5		+0.4	30.2		+1.7	6	12	13	13	13	12	11	9	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						5.2	+0.15	No			7	Wycombe Wanderers
Portsmouth	60	1	17	-	9	-	9	17	4.0		-1.1	28.7		-1.3	4	12	13	14	13	13	11	9	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0							5.2	-0.04	No			3	Portsmouth
Fleetwood Town	60	1	16	-	12	-	7	13	3.8		-1.0	28.1		-1.3	4	11	13	13	13	13	12	10	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0							5.3	-0.04	No			2	Fleetwood Town

Peterborough Un	59	1	17	-	8	-	10	28	2.9		+0.2	23.9		+1.4	3	8	11	13	13	13	13	11	8	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					5.7	+0.15	No			6	Peterborough United
Sunderland	59		16	-	11	-	9	16	0.9		-1.3	15.3		-6.1	1	4	7	9	11	13	15	15	13	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0						6.6	-0.69	No			4	Sunderland
Doncaster Rovers	54	2	15	-	9	-	10	18	0.4		+0.0	8.6		+0.7	0	2	4	5	7	9	11	15	18	13	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			8.0	+0.14	0.0	%		9	Doncaster Rovers
Gillingham	51	1	12	-	15	-	8	8	0.0		+0.0	1.3		+0.2	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	12	21	21	15	9	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0			10.6	+0.09	0.0			12	Gillingham
Ipswich Town	52		14	-	10	-	12	10	0.0		+0.0	0.8		+0.1	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	11	20	22	16	9	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0			10.7	+0.08	0.0			10	Ipswich Town
Burton Albion	48	1	12	-	12	-	11	0	0.0		-0.0	0.2		-0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	11	16	20	16	12	8	4	2	1	0	0	0			12.2	-0.14	0.0			11	Burton Albion
Blackpool	45	1	11	-	12	-	12	1	0.0			0.0		-0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	13	18	17	14	10	7	4	2	1	0	0		13.8	-0.73	0.1		+0.0	17	Blackpool
Bristol Rovers	45	1	12	-	9	-	14	-11	0.0			0.0		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	8	12	17	17	15	11	8	4	2	1	0	0		14.0	+0.89	0.1		-0.2	13	Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury Town	41	2	10	-	11	-	13	-11	0.0			0.0		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6	10	13	15	16	14	10	6	3	1	0	0	15.4	-0.05	0.9		+0.3	14	Shrewsbury Town
Lincoln City	42	1	12	-	6	-	17	-2	No			0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6	10	14	16	16	14	10	6	3	1	0	0	15.6	-0.06	1.1		+0.3	16	Lincoln City
Accrington Stan	40	1	10	-	10	-	15	-6	No			0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	8	12	15	17	16	12	7	3	0	0	16.7	-0.08	2.6		+0.7	20	Accrington Stanley
Rochdale	36	2	10	-	6	-	18	-18	No			0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	9	12	17	19	18	13	0	0	18.1	-0.11	12.6		+2.7	15	Rochdale
MK Dons	37	1	10	-	7	-	18	-11	No			0.0							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	9	13	17	20	19	12	0	0	18.2	-0.11	12.5		+2.7	21	MK Dons
AFC Wimbledon	35	1	8	-	11	-	16	-13	No			No									0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	8	13	18	25	25	0	0	19.1	-0.11	25.4		+4.9	18	AFC Wimbledon

Tranmere Rovers	32	2	8	-	8	-	18	-24	No			No									0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	9	14	23	44	1	0	19.8	+0.35	44.8		-11.6	19	Tranmere Rovers
Southend United	19	1	4	-	7	-	24	-46	No			No																	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	70	29	22.3	+0.01	99.9		+0.0	23	Southend United
Bolton Wanderers	14	2	5	-	11	-	18	-39	No			No																		0	0	0	0	0	0	29	71	22.7	-0.03	100.0		+0.0	22	Bolton Wanderers

Week of 3/7
Ipswich Town 0 Coventry City 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Coventry City	+13.1		+9.3				+0.5
Rotherham United	-4.4		-1.9
Wycombe Wanderers	-1.4		-1.2
Portsmouth	-2.7		-1.6
Fleetwood Town	-1.9		-1.3
Sunderland	-1.1		-0.9
Ipswich Town			-1.1				-0.7

Rochdale 3 Rotherham United 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Coventry City	+3.5		+1.7
Rotherham United	-7.1		-9.7				-0.6
Oxford United	+0.4		+1.0
Wycombe Wanderers	+0.6		+1.3
Portsmouth	+1.0		+1.8
Fleetwood Town	+0.7		+1.5
Sunderland	+0.4		+1.1
Rochdale					-6.3		+0.6
AFC Wimbledon					+1.3
Tranmere Rovers					+3.7

Peterborough Un 2 Portsmouth 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Coventry City	+1.6		+0.7
Rotherham United	+0.7		+0.8
Portsmouth	-5.0		-9.8				-0.8
Peterborough Un	+1.7		+7.7				+1.0

Shrewsbury Town 2 Oxford United 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Rotherham United	-0.6		-1.3
Oxford United	+2.4		+8.0				+0.9
Portsmouth	-0.3		-1.1
Fleetwood Town			-1.0
Shrewsbury Town	*No						-0.7

Portsmouth 2 Fleetwood Town 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Coventry City	+1.4		+0.6
Portsmouth	-1.2		-2.2				-0.1
Fleetwood Town	-1.2		-2.3				-0.1

Fleetwood Town 0 Blackpool 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Coventry City	+0.6		+0.4
Rotherham United	+0.3		+0.5
Wycombe Wanderers			+0.3
Portsmouth			+0.4
Fleetwood Town	-1.4		-2.4				-0.2
Sunderland			+0.3
Blackpool							-0.2

Bristol Rovers 2 Sunderland 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Rotherham United			+1.1
Oxford United			+0.9
Wycombe Wanderers			+0.9
Portsmouth			+0.9
Fleetwood Town			+1.0
Sunderland	-1.4		-6.9				-0.8
Bristol Rovers							+0.8

Sunderland 2 Gillingham 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Coventry City	+0.4		+0.4
Rotherham United			+0.4
Portsmouth			+0.4
Fleetwood Town			+0.4
Sunderland	-1.0		-2.1				-0.1
Gillingham			-0.5				-0.2

MK Dons 0 Doncaster Rovers 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Doncaster Rovers	+0.3		+3.1				+0.9
MK Dons			*No		+2.5		-0.6
Tranmere Rovers					-1.3

Lincoln City 3 Burton Albion 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Burton Albion			-0.6				-0.8
Lincoln City					-1.1		+0.8

Burton Albion 2 Bolton Wanderers 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Burton Albion							-0.2

Blackpool 1 Tranmere Rovers 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Blackpool	No						-0.7
Rochdale					+2.8
MK Dons					+2.9
AFC Wimbledon					+5.3
Tranmere Rovers					-12.6		+0.4

Southend United 3 Bristol Rovers 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Bristol Rovers	*No						-0.7

Accrington Stan 1 Tranmere Rovers 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Accrington Stan					+1.0		-0.7
Rochdale					+4.0
MK Dons					+1.5
AFC Wimbledon					+4.2
Tranmere Rovers					-11.6		+0.3

AFC Wimbledon 0 Bolton Wanderers 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Rochdale					-0.2
AFC Wimbledon					+0.7		-0.1
Tranmere Rovers					-0.3

Week of 3/14
Coventry City vs Shrewsbury TownIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Coventry City	80.066.057.9		94.788.083.1				1.31.61.9
Rotherham United	6.110.212.5		42.944.345.2				4.14.14.0
Shrewsbury Town	NoNo0.0				1.70.90.2		16.115.614.6

Rotherham United vs Southend UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Coventry City	64.269.270.9		87.389.089.7				1.71.61.6
Rotherham United	15.77.75.1		56.241.534.3				3.34.24.8

Burton Albion vs Wycombe WanderersHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Wycombe Wanderers	2.74.39.4		22.027.740.5				5.95.34.3
Burton Albion			0.50.10.0				11.412.412.9

Oxford United vs MK DonsHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Oxford United	8.33.62.2		40.327.521.7				4.25.35.9
MK Dons			NoNo0.0		18.513.05.9		18.818.417.5
Tranmere Rovers					42.344.647.5		19.719.819.9

Portsmouth vs Doncaster RoversHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Portsmouth	7.12.91.7		39.426.519.9				4.35.46.1
Doncaster Rovers	0.10.20.9		4.47.214.0				8.98.27.0

Portsmouth vs Accrington StanHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Portsmouth	7.12.91.7		38.926.320.6				4.35.46.0
Accrington Stan					4.62.60.7		17.416.815.8

Gillingham vs Fleetwood TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Fleetwood Town	1.62.86.9		19.925.738.4				6.15.44.3
Gillingham			2.50.80.4		No0.00.0		9.710.711.3

Bolton Wanderers vs Peterborough UnHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Peterborough Un	1.22.15.4		16.621.633.3				6.55.84.7

Blackpool vs SunderlandHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Sunderland	0.30.51.9		9.613.422.7				7.46.85.7
Blackpool	0.00.0No						13.014.014.6

Doncaster Rovers vs AFC WimbledonHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Doncaster Rovers	0.90.20.1		13.47.24.9				7.18.28.8
AFC Wimbledon					34.426.815.2		19.619.318.5
Tranmere Rovers					40.344.249.8		19.719.819.9

Tranmere Rovers vs Lincoln CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Lincoln City					2.30.70.1		16.315.714.7
Rochdale					15.312.110.2
MK Dons					15.312.010.1
AFC Wimbledon					30.524.521.1		19.219.119.1
Tranmere Rovers					31.747.255.9		19.219.920.2

Bristol Rovers vs Ipswich TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Ipswich Town			0.30.51.7		0.00.0No		11.510.99.9
Bristol Rovers	0.0NoNo						13.114.214.7

Rochdale vs Tranmere RoversHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Rochdale			0.00.0No		4.111.821.7		17.318.218.8
AFC Wimbledon					22.524.729.0
Tranmere Rovers					58.447.029.3		20.219.919.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

League One Title Chances 2019-2020 50/50

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