"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Guatemala 4 St. Vincent 0 -17.1
-13.0
-1.3
St. Vincent 1 United States 6 -17.1
-13.0
-1.3
United States 0 Trinidad 0 +2.1
+2.5
+0.1
Trinidad 2 Guatemala 1 -0.5
-0.6
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
St. Vincent vs Guatemala+15.6-5.3-13.0
+6.2-2.2-5.1
+1.4-0.4-1.2
Trinidad vs St. Vincent-13.1-4.7+15.4
-4.9-2.1+6.0
-1.1-0.3+1.2
St. Vincent vs Trinidad+15.4-4.7-13.1
+6.0-2.0-4.9
+1.2-0.3-1.1
United States vs St. Vincent-11.7-5.2+14.3
-5.2-2.0+6.2
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Guatemala vs Trinidad*-0.0+2.7-1.3
-0.6+1.6-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Trinidad vs United States-1.3+2.5+0.1
+0.3+1.9-1.3
-0.0+0.2-0.0
United States vs Guatemala-0.7+2.2-0.4
-0.9+1.5+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Guatemala vs United States-0.4+2.2-0.7
+0.1+1.6-0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Vincent finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsQualified12345678910111213Count
124-0-0In91.3%242442224181,671
103-1-098.0%48.5131323141422111362,235
93-0-168.84.21121818299913722,485
82-2-052.71.5001141423131320000271,210
72-1-17.5No22318182799111,085,034
62-0-20.1No00099132121261,085,349
1-3-00.8No00014142016162090,155
51-2-1OutNo557262633540,389
41-1-2OutNo1122929371,083,825
0-4-0OutNo30303911,175
31-0-3OutNo000303039725,936
0-3-1OutNo30303990,137
20-2-2OutNo313039271,380
10-1-3OutNo313139361,937
00-0-4OutNo303039182,208
Total:17.8%5.3%1123366691818237,065,126
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs