"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional vs Sport Recife-1.5-0.6+2.1
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Atletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Atletico-MG vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-PR vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Sport Recife finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
91-114YesYes100No461,905*
9028-6-4100.0%Yes1000No4,039*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No7,384*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No13,163*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No22,316*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No38,257*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No63,633*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No104,795*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No167,500*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No265,948*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No412,516*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No630,366*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No947,107*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No1,400,027*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No2,033,250*
7623-7-897.5Yes98200No2,911,867*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No4,100,832*
7422-8-894.5Yes955000No5,693,503*
7322-7-992.0Yes928000No7,770,210*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No10,442,905*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No13,847,723*
7021-7-1078.2Yes7820200No18,060,743*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No23,216,712*
6820-8-1062.1100.0%623260000No29,409,080*
6720-7-1152.2100.0523791000No36,702,736*
6619-9-1041.4100.04141152000No45,155,559*
6519-8-1130.6100.031432151000No54,724,997*
6419-7-1220.7100.0214028920000No65,387,603*
6318-9-1112.6100.013343316410000No76,966,418*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No89,335,931*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No102,176,616*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No115,215,875*
5917-8-130.391.003132629197200000No128,051,536*
5816-10-120.078.301517282715510000No140,268,299*
5716-9-130.057.70028202925134100000No151,472,309*
5616-8-140.033.600029212923113100000No161,212,067*
5515-10-130.014.100003112328221030000000.0%169,093,221*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0174,803,173*
5315-8-15No0.7000141224282092000000.0178,072,420*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.0178,819,243*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0176,904,707*
5014-8-16No0.00000014132528198200000.3172,442,607*
4913-10-15No0.0000001514262818710001.6165,611,593*
4813-9-16No0.000000151627281761006.8156,702,997*
4713-8-17NoNo00000171828271441018.7146,033,015*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.4134,027,805*
4512-9-17NoNo000013122631206158.5121,131,403*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.4107,793,352*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253523688.594,431,167*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141734331295.181,428,469*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.269,072,030*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.457,642,471*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.847,325,236*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.038,210,432*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.030,308,413*
369-9-20NoNo00032572100.023,638,559*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.018,118,746*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.013,637,896*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.010,073,226*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes7,301,294*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes5,193,962*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes3,618,600*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes2,474,387*
286-10-22NoNo00199Yes1,652,228*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes1,084,318*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes691,975*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes433,963*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes265,368*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes158,348*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes92,324*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes52,000*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes28,976*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes15,371*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes7,808*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes3,922*
163-7-28NoNo0100Yes1,979*
0-15NoNo100Yes458,869*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,677,553,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship