| Week of 2/21 |
| Ituano 1 Red Bull 0 |
| 5:30 PM Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | +0.8 | | | | +0.0 | |
| Botafogo | +12.2 | | | | +0.1 | |
| Red Bull | -15.1 | | +2.2 | | -0.3 | |
| Mirassol | +2.0 | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Botafogo 1 Linense 1 |
| 8:00 PM Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | | | | | +0.0 | |
| Botafogo | -9.5 | | -0.6 | | -0.2 | |
| Red Bull | +6.8 | | -0.2 | | +0.1 | |
| Mirassol | +2.5 | | -0.5 | | +0.0 | |
|
| Santos 2 Santo Andre 0 |
| 7:30 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | +4.0 | | *No | | +0.2 | |
| Botafogo | -1.7 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | |
| Red Bull | -2.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | |
| Mirassol | -0.2 | | -1.7 | | | |
|
| Mirassol 1 Ponte Preta 0 |
| 7:30 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | -0.4 | | | | | |
| Botafogo | -1.8 | | +0.5 | | -0.1 | |
| Red Bull | -1.5 | | +0.8 | | -0.1 | |
| Mirassol | +3.7 | | -29.2 | | +0.2 | |
|
| Bragantino 2 Novorizontino 1 |
| 11:00 AM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Bull | | | +0.2 | | | |
| Mirassol | | | +1.7 | | | |
|
| Ituano 2 Sao Paulo 1 |
| 9:45 PM Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mirassol | | | +1.6 | | | |
|
| Sao Paulo 0 Ferroviaria 0 |
| 5:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mirassol | | | +0.3 | | | |
|
| Week of 3/3 |
| Santo Andre 0 Botafogo 1 |
| 7:00 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | -0.2 | | | | | |
| Botafogo | +21.0 | | No | | +0.3 | |
| Red Bull | -16.3 | | -1.2 | | -0.2 | |
| Mirassol | -4.5 | | -3.2 | | -0.1 | |
|
| Red Bull 0 Sao Bento 0 |
| 4:30 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | +0.1 | | | | | |
| Botafogo | +7.2 | | | | +0.1 | |
| Red Bull | -8.3 | | -1.8 | | -0.1 | |
| Mirassol | +1.0 | | +0.4 | | +0.0 | |
|
| Palmeiras 0 Sao Caetano 1 |
| 8:30 PM Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Bull | | | +1.0 | | | |
| Mirassol | | | +4.4 | | | |
|
| Ponte Preta 0 Bragantino 1 |
| 8:00 PM Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mirassol | | | -2.3 | | | |
|
| Novorizontino 3 Ituano 2 |
| 9:30 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Botafogo | | | +0.3 | | | |
| Red Bull | | | +0.3 | | | |
| Mirassol | | | +0.7 | | | |
|
| Week of 3/7 |
| Red Bull 0 Ponte Preta 0 |
| 9:30 PM Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Botafogo | In | | | | +0.1 | |
| Red Bull | Out | | | | -0.3 | |
| Mirassol | | | +4.2 | | +0.1 | |
|
| Sao Caetano 0 Botafogo 0 |
| 7:15 PM Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | | | | | +0.1 | |
| Botafogo | -3.7 | | | | -0.1 | |
| Red Bull | +3.7 | | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Corinthians 1 Mirassol 0 |
| 9:45 PM Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Botafogo | +2.2 | | | | +0.0 | |
| Red Bull | +0.2 | | -0.6 | | +0.1 | |
| Mirassol | Out | | +7.4 | | -0.1 | |
|
| Mirassol 1 Linense 1 |
| 5:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Bull | | | | | +0.2 | |
| Mirassol | | | No | | -0.2 | |
|
| Linense 1 Santo Andre 0 |
| 5:00 PM Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Bull | | | -1.3 | | | |
| Mirassol | | | +2.7 | | | |
|
| Ponte Preta 0 Ferroviaria 0 |
| 5:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mirassol | | | +2.4 | | | |
|
| Ferroviaria 0 Bragantino 0 |
| 5:00 PM Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mirassol | | | +1.3 | | | |
|
| Santo Andre 2 Novorizontino 3 |
| 5:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mirassol | | | -0.8 | | | |
|
| Santos 1 Sao Bento 3 |
| 5:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | | | | | -0.2 | |
| Botafogo | | | | | +0.2 | |
|
| Sao Paulo 3 Red Bull 1 |
| 5:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Bull | | | | | -0.2 | |
| Mirassol | | | | | +0.2 | |
|
| Novorizontino 2 Santos 1 |
| 7:30 PM Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | | | | | -0.1 | |
| Botafogo | | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Botafogo 0 Corinthians 2 |
| 5:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Santos | | | | | +0.1 | |
| Botafogo | | | | | -0.1 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.