Campeonato Paulista Playoff Chances 2018

												100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed						Serie A2
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Palmeiras	26		8	-	2	-	2	11	In			100				1.0		No			1	.738	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Corinthians	23		7	-	2	-	3	9	In			100				1.0		No			2	.712	Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Santos	18		5	-	3	-	4	4	In			100				1.0	+0.08	No			4	.578	Santos Futebol Clube
Sao Paulo	17		5	-	2	-	5	1	In			100				1.0	+0.25	No			3	.521	Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Novorizontino	20		6	-	2	-	4	1	In				100			2.0		No			11	.512	Gremio Esportivo Novorizontino
Bragantino	17		4	-	5	-	3	1	In		+57.7		100			2.0	+0.58	No			6	.531	Clube Atletico Bragantino
Botafogo	16		4	-	4	-	4	-2	In				100			2.0	-0.08	No			8	.431	Botafogo Futebol Clube-SP
Sao Caetano	15		4	-	3	-	5	-6	In				100			2.0	-0.25	No			9	.326	Associacao Desportiva Sao Caetano
Ituano	17		4	-	5	-	3	0	Out		-57.7			100		3.0	-0.58	No			5	.494	Ituano Futebol Clube
Sao Bento	17		4	-	5	-	3	3	Out					100		3.0	+0.24	No			10	.593	Esporte Clube Sao Bento
Red Bull	13		2	-	7	-	3	-1	Out					100		3.0	+0.24	No			7	.464	Red Bull Futebol e Entretenimento Ltda
Ponte Preta	12		2	-	6	-	4	-2	Out					100		3.0	+0.06	No		-8.7	12	.405	Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Ferroviaria	13		2	-	7	-	3	-1	Out						100	4.0	-0.24	No			13	.467	Associacao Ferroviaria de Esportes
Mirassol	12		2	-	6	-	4	-4	Out						100	4.0	-0.24	No		-32.6	14	.381	Mirassol Futebol Clube
Linense	10		2	-	4	-	6	-7	Out						100	4.0		Yes		+35.0	16	.362	Clube Atletico Linense
Santo Andre	8		1	-	5	-	6	-7	Out						100	4.0	-0.06	Yes		+6.3	15	.345	Esporte Clube Santo Andre

Week of 2/21
Ituano 1 Red Bull 0
5:30 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Bragantino	-17.2				-0.2
Botafogo	+12.2
Ituano	+18.9		-2.3		+0.3
Red Bull	-15.1		+2.2		-0.3

Bragantino 2 Novorizontino 1
11:00 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Novorizontino	-14.2		+2.5		-0.3
Bragantino	+17.9		-8.2		+0.3
Ituano	-16.3				-0.2
Sao Bento	+10.1

Ituano 2 Sao Paulo 1
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	-7.2				-0.2
Bragantino	-14.1				-0.2
Ituano	+17.4		-7.8		+0.3

Mirassol 1 Ponte Preta 0
7:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Caetano	+7.5		+5.8		+0.2
Ponte Preta	-19.1		+8.4		-0.5
Mirassol	+3.7		-29.2		+0.2
Santo Andre	+6.7		+3.6

Santos 2 Santo Andre 0
7:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	+4.0		*No		+0.2
Sao Paulo	+4.1
Ponte Preta	+3.5
Santo Andre	-10.2		+8.9		-0.3

Botafogo 1 Linense 1
8:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	-9.5				-0.2
Red Bull	+6.8
Linense			+5.5

Sao Paulo 0 Ferroviaria 0
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	-3.9
Sao Bento	+2.1
Ferroviaria	-4.6		+0.4
Santo Andre	+1.1

Week of 3/3
Sao Bento 0 Ituano 1
7:15 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	-2.6
Novorizontino	+21.9				+0.2
Bragantino	-20.7				-0.2
Ituano	+23.3		No		+0.3
Sao Bento	-24.7				-0.4

Novorizontino 3 Ituano 2
9:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Novorizontino	+23.5		-4.4		+0.5
Bragantino	+17.9				+0.2
Ituano	-20.0				-0.3
Sao Bento	-18.1				-0.2
Linense	+0.2

Ponte Preta 0 Bragantino 1
8:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Bragantino	+22.1		No		+0.3
Sao Caetano	+14.4		-2.6		+0.2
Ituano	-21.3				-0.2
Ponte Preta	-19.6		+10.6		-0.4

Palmeiras 0 Sao Caetano 1
8:30 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Caetano	+35.3		-15.9		+0.7
Ponte Preta	-25.6		+1.8		-0.3

Santo Andre 0 Botafogo 1
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	+21.0		No		+0.3
Sao Caetano	+4.9		-4.9		+0.2
Red Bull	-16.3				-0.2
Ponte Preta	+5.2		-2.6
Santo Andre	-14.1		+19.5		-0.4

Red Bull 0 Sao Bento 0
4:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	In
Santos	+0.1
Novorizontino	+4.7
Botafogo	+7.2
Sao Bento	-5.8		-0.1
Red Bull	-8.3		-1.8
Ferroviaria	+1.1

Week of 3/7
Bragantino 1 Sao Caetano 1
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo					-0.2
Bragantino	-26.8				-0.3
Sao Caetano					+0.2
Ituano	+26.8				+0.3

Red Bull 0 Ponte Preta 0
9:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	In
Botafogo	In
Sao Caetano	In
Red Bull	Out				-0.3
Ponte Preta	Out		-8.2
Mirassol			+4.2
Santo Andre			+2.6

Ituano 0 Palmeiras 3
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Bragantino	+20.9				+0.2
Ituano	-20.9				-0.2

Novorizontino 2 Santos 1
7:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Novorizontino	In				+0.3
Sao Bento	Out
Ferroviaria	Out

Ferroviaria 0 Bragantino 0
5:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Bragantino	-17.2				-0.2
Ituano	+17.2				+0.2
Ferroviaria			No

Corinthians 1 Mirassol 0
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	In				+0.2
Botafogo	+2.2
Mirassol	Out		+7.4

Sao Caetano 0 Botafogo 0
7:15 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	-3.7
Sao Caetano	+2.4
Red Bull	+3.7
Ponte Preta	-2.9

Linense 1 Santo Andre 0
5:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Caetano	+2.5		No
Sao Bento			No
Ponte Preta			-5.9		+0.2
Linense			-19.6
Santo Andre	Out		+27.2		-0.2

Palmeiras 2 Sao Paulo 0
8:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	-0.9

Mirassol 1 Linense 1
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bull					+0.2
Mirassol			No		-0.2
Linense			Yes

Ponte Preta 0 Ferroviaria 0
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Bento					+0.2
Ponte Preta			No
Ferroviaria					-0.2
Santo Andre			Yes

Santo Andre 2 Novorizontino 3
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ponte Preta			-5.5
Santo Andre			Yes

Santos 1 Sao Bento 3
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Bento					+0.2
Ferroviaria					-0.2

Sao Paulo 3 Red Bull 1
5:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo					+0.2
Sao Caetano					-0.2
Red Bull					-0.2
Mirassol					+0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Paulista Playoff Chances 2018

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