"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio vs Botafogo+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Parana vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ceara vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Atletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR vs Gremio-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Botafogo vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Ceara-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Gremio finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
94-114YesYes100No457,961*
9329-6-399.8%Yes1000No637*
90-92YesYes100No7,501*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No7,346*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No12,938*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No22,174*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No38,258*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No63,917*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No103,952*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No168,187*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No266,018*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No412,956*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No629,844*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No947,755*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No1,399,895*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No2,034,129*
7623-7-897.5Yes98200No2,912,192*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No4,099,742*
7422-8-894.5Yes95500No5,689,322*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No7,766,119*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No10,444,646*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No13,843,249*
7021-7-1078.2Yes7820200No18,067,042*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No23,222,740*
6820-8-1062.1Yes62326000No29,419,173*
6720-7-1152.2100.0%523791000No36,710,110*
6619-9-1041.4100.041411520000No45,152,055*
6519-8-1130.6100.031432151000No54,742,613*
6419-7-1220.8100.02140289200000No65,384,164*
6318-9-1112.6100.01334331641000No76,975,807*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No89,330,923*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No102,198,231*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No115,215,080*
5917-8-130.391.00313262919720000No128,049,658*
5816-10-120.078.3015172827155100000No140,278,487*
5716-9-130.057.80028202925134100000No151,447,383*
5616-8-140.033.600029212923113100000No161,216,363*
5515-10-130.014.1000031123282210300000No169,083,489*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0%174,795,321*
5315-8-15No0.70001412242820920000000.0178,115,112*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.0178,801,770*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0176,896,920*
5014-8-16No0.0000014132528198200000.3172,449,285*
4913-10-15No0.000001514262818710001.6165,623,868*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151627281761006.8156,711,735*
4713-8-17NoNo00000171828271441018.7146,026,705*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.4134,025,322*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206158.5121,132,444*
4412-8-18NoNo000001517313014276.4107,784,209*
4311-10-17NoNo0000029253523688.594,428,154*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.181,408,833*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.269,084,147*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.457,633,861*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.847,325,428*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.038,197,975*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.030,309,310*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.023,643,614*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.018,109,119*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.013,633,136*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.010,068,830*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes7,299,008*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes5,187,577*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes3,619,249*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes2,471,815*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,654,208*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes1,081,206*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes693,920*
255-10-23NoNo00100Yes433,730*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes266,141*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes158,270*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes92,225*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes52,081*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes28,701*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes15,360*
183-9-26NoNo100Yes8,025*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes4,006*
0-16NoNo100Yes460,924*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,677,553,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship