| Week of 5/15 |
| Deportivo Lara 2 Corinthians 7 |
| 9:30 PM Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Corinthians | In | | +0.7 | |
| Independiente | *+0.1 | | -0.1 | |
| Millonarios | -2.5 | | | |
| Deportivo Lara | -27.8 | | -0.7 | |
|
| Millonarios 1 Independiente 1 |
| 9:30 PM Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Corinthians | +1.8 | | +0.1 | |
| Independiente | -4.8 | | +0.1 | |
| Millonarios | -2.7 | | -0.3 | |
| Deportivo Lara | +5.6 | | +0.1 | |
|
| Week of 5/22 |
| Independiente 2 Deportivo Lara 0 |
| 9:30 PM Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Corinthians | | | -0.2 | |
| Independiente | In | | +0.8 | |
| Millonarios | Out | | +0.1 | |
| Deportivo Lara | Out | | -0.7 | |
|
| Corinthians 0 Millonarios 1 |
| 9:30 PM Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Corinthians | | | -0.2 | |
| Independiente | -14.8 | | -0.2 | |
| Millonarios | +14.8 | | +0.7 | |
| Deportivo Lara | | | -0.3 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.