National Football League Playoff Chances 2018-2019

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Conf			Chance will finish regular season at seed																		Top 5
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

New Orleans		13	-	3	-	0	.813	151	In			Yes			100																1.0		No			2	.659	New Orleans Saints
Kansas City		12	-	4	-	0	.750	144	In			Yes		+19.2	100																1.0	+0.57	No			3	.637	Kansas City Chiefs
LA Rams		13	-	3	-	0	.813	143	In			No				100															2.0	+0.13	No			1	.645	Los Angeles Rams
New England		11	-	5	-	0	.688	111	In			No		-6.4		100															2.0	+0.34	No			4	.631	New England Patriots
Chicago		12	-	4	-	0	.750	128	In			No					100														3.0	-0.13	No			7	.661	Chicago Bears
Houston		11	-	5	-	0	.688	86	In			No		-1.7			100														3.0	+0.59	No			6	.607	Houston Texans
Baltimore		10	-	6	-	0	.625	100	In		+20.2	No						100													4.0	+0.21	No			9	.629	Baltimore Ravens
Dallas		10	-	6	-	0	.625	15	In			No						100													4.0		No			8	.520	Dallas Cowboys
LA Chargers		12	-	4	-	0	.750	99	In			No		-11.1					100												5.0	-0.45	No			5	.618	Los Angeles Chargers
Seattle		10	-	6	-	0	.625	81	In			No							100												5.0	+0.07	No			13	.595	Seattle Seahawks
Indianapolis		10	-	6	-	0	.625	89	In		+50.3	No								100											6.0	+0.54	No			14	.604	Indianapolis Colts
Philadelphia		9	-	7	-	0	.563	19	In		+71.6	No								100											6.0	+1.20	No			11	.524	Philadelphia Eagles
Pittsburgh		9	-	6	-	1	.594	70	Out		-20.3	No									100										7.0	-0.33	No			10	.581	Pittsburgh Steelers
Minnesota		8	-	7	-	1	.531	19	Out		-71.6	No									100										7.0	-0.79	No			15	.524	Minnesota Vikings
Tennessee		9	-	7	-	0	.563	7	Out		-50.2	No										100									8.0	-1.48	No			12	.510	Tennessee Titans
Atlanta		7	-	9	-	0	.438	-9	Out			No										100									8.0	+1.70	No		-1.1	20	.490	Atlanta Falcons
Cleveland		7	-	8	-	1	.469	-33	Out			No											100								9.0	+0.37	No			16	.460	Cleveland Browns
Washington		7	-	9	-	0	.438	-78	Out			No											100								9.0	-0.90	No			21	.393	Washington Redskins
Carolina		7	-	9	-	0	.438	-6	Out			No												100							10.0	+1.67	No			17	.493	Carolina Panthers
Miami		7	-	9	-	0	.438	-114	Out			No												100							10.0	-0.30	No			25	.365	Miami Dolphins
Green Bay		6	-	9	-	1	.406	-24	Out			No													100						11.0	-2.08	No			27	.472	Green Bay Packers
Denver		6	-	10	-	0	.375	-20	Out			No													100						11.0	+0.31	No			18	.474	Denver Broncos
Cincinnati		6	-	10	-	0	.375	-87	Out			No														100					12.0	-0.01	No			19	.403	Cincinnati Bengals
Detroit		6	-	10	-	0	.375	-36	Out			No														100					12.0	+1.55	No		-65.4	24	.453	Detroit Lions
Buffalo		6	-	10	-	0	.375	-105	Out			No															100				13.0	+0.65	No		-10.7	23	.359	Buffalo Bills
NY Giants		5	-	11	-	0	.313	-43	Out			No															100				13.0	-0.81	No		-12.1	26	.449	New York Giants
Jacksonville		5	-	11	-	0	.313	-71	Out			No																100			14.0	-0.72	No		-3.0	22	.392	Jacksonville Jaguars
Tampa Bay		5	-	11	-	0	.313	-58	Out			No																100			14.0	-1.47	Yes		+77.3	28	.437	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NY Jets		4	-	12	-	0	.250	-108	Out			No																	100		15.0	+0.40	Yes			31	.374	New York Jets
San Francisco		4	-	12	-	0	.250	-93	Out			No																	100		15.0	-0.04	Yes			32	.392	San Francisco 49ers
Oakland		4	-	12	-	0	.250	-177	Out			No																		100	16.0	-0.71	Yes		+15.1	29	.298	Oakland Raiders
Arizona		3	-	13	-	0	.188	-200	Out			No																		100	16.0	-0.12	Yes			30	.249	Arizona Cardinals

Week of 12/13
Minnesota 41 Miami 17
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Minnesota	+15.7
Atlanta	Out
Miami	-10.7

Pittsburgh 17 New England 10
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Kansas City			+9.2
New England			-10.7
Pittsburgh	+17.9

LA Rams 23 Philadelphia 30
8:20 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
New Orleans			+22.4
LA Rams			-24.1
Philadelphia	+17.4

NY Giants 0 Tennessee 17
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Tennessee	+13.4
Denver	Out

Jacksonville 13 Washington 16
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Washington	+13.2				No
Jacksonville					+22.8

Baltimore 20 Tampa Bay 12
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Baltimore	+9.9
Pittsburgh	-6.8

Indianapolis 23 Dallas 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Dallas	-0.8		No
Indianapolis	+9.8

Denver 16 Cleveland 17
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Cleveland	+1.0				-1.2

Carolina 9 New Orleans 12
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
New Orleans			+12.3
LA Rams			-9.8

Chicago 24 Green Bay 17
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Chicago	In
Green Bay	-4.6				+0.4

Buffalo 14 Detroit 13
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Buffalo					-28.2

NY Jets 22 Houston 29
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Houston	+2.3		+0.9
NY Jets					+17.4

San Francisco 26 Seattle 23 (ot)
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Seattle	-1.1

Kansas City 28 LA Chargers 29
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Kansas City			-19.0
Houston			+0.8
LA Chargers	In		+13.2

Cincinnati 30 Oakland 16
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Cincinnati	+0.3				-4.6
Oakland					+13.1

Atlanta 40 Arizona 14
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Atlanta					-13.3

Week of 12/22
LA Chargers 10 Baltimore 22
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Kansas City			+16.5
New England			+0.8
Houston	-0.3		+1.8
Baltimore	+33.3
LA Chargers			-19.1
Pittsburgh	-18.5

Detroit 9 Minnesota 27
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Philadelphia	-14.9
Minnesota	+25.7
Carolina	Out
Detroit					+20.2

Philadelphia 32 Houston 30
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Houston	-0.9		-4.4
Dallas	-4.0
Philadelphia	+23.1
Washington	Out

Tennessee 25 Washington 16
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Tennessee	+12.2
Cleveland	*Out
Washington	-11.8

New Orleans 31 Pittsburgh 28
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
New Orleans			Yes
LA Rams			No
Chicago			No
Houston	In
Pittsburgh	-18.8
Tennessee	+7.9

Indianapolis 28 NY Giants 27
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Indianapolis	+7.8

Dallas 27 Tampa Bay 20
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Dallas	In
Carolina					No
Tampa Bay					+8.7

Miami 7 Jacksonville 17
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
New England	In
Miami	Out
Jacksonville					-37.4

Carolina 10 Atlanta 24
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Atlanta					-26.7
Carolina	Out

Seattle 38 Kansas City 31
8:20 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
New England			+1.2
LA Chargers			+3.0
Seattle	In

New England 24 Buffalo 12
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
New England	In		+0.4

NY Jets 38 Green Bay 44 (ot)
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Green Bay					No
NY Jets					+19.1

San Francisco 9 Chicago 14
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Chicago			+0.6
San Francisco					+10.3

Arizona 9 LA Rams 31
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
LA Rams			+1.3
Arizona					Yes

Oakland 27 Denver 14
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Oakland					-9.0

Week of 12/30
Tennessee 17 Indianapolis 33
8:20 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Indianapolis	In
Pittsburgh	Out
Tennessee	Out

Washington 0 Philadelphia 24
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Philadelphia	+27.1
Minnesota	-27.1

Minnesota 10 Chicago 24
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Philadelphia	+22.8
Minnesota	-22.8

Baltimore 26 Cleveland 24
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Baltimore	In
Pittsburgh	-20.2

Pittsburgh 16 Cincinnati 13
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Baltimore	-7.9
Pittsburgh	+7.9

Buffalo 42 Miami 17
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Atlanta					+1.2
Buffalo					No

Kansas City 35 Oakland 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Kansas City			Yes
New England			No
Houston			No
LA Chargers			No
Tampa Bay					-6.3
Oakland					Yes

Denver 9 LA Chargers 23
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
New England			No
Houston			No
LA Chargers			+8.8

New England 38 NY Jets 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
New England			+2.4
Houston			No

Houston 20 Jacksonville 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Houston			+0.7
Atlanta					No
Jacksonville					+1.2

Green Bay 0 Detroit 31
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Atlanta					+2.2
Detroit					No
NY Giants					+14.7
Jacksonville					+5.7
Tampa Bay					+25.1

Tampa Bay 32 Atlanta 34
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Atlanta					No
Jacksonville					No
Tampa Bay					+23.2

NY Giants 35 Dallas 36
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Conf	100.0*	Top 5
Atlanta					No
NY Giants					+11.4
Jacksonville					No

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

National Football League Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Big Games