"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Girona 0 Valladolid 0 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Real Madrid vs Getafe+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.4-4.6
-4.4+0.7+3.9
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Villarreal vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Celta Vigo vs Espanyol-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ath Bilbao vs Leganes-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Eibar vs Huesca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barcelona vs Alaves-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Valencia vs Atl. Madrid-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Girona vs Real Madrid-1.6-0.6+1.9
-4.6-1.4+5.5
+4.0+0.7-4.4
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Levante vs Celta Vigo-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Alaves vs Betis-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Espanyol vs Valencia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Valladolid vs Barcelona*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Ath Bilbao vs Huesca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Leganes vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sevilla vs Villarreal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Getafe vs Eibar-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Real Madrid finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
94-114YesYes100No12,903*
9329-6-394.4%Yes946No18*
87-92YesYes100No1,501*
8627-5-699.9Yes1000No1,148*
8526-7-599.8Yes1000No1,862*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No3,071*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No4,841*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No7,776*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No12,082*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No18,385*
7924-7-799.3Yes991No27,579*
7824-6-898.9Yes991No40,731*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No58,798*
7623-7-897.5Yes9730No84,621*
7523-6-996.2Yes9640No118,823*
7422-8-894.3Yes94600No164,067*
7322-7-991.9Yes92800No223,824*
7222-6-1088.5Yes881100No301,103*
7121-8-984.0Yes841510No397,155*
7021-7-1077.8100.0%7820200No518,371*
6920-9-970.7100.07126300No664,322*
6820-8-1061.9100.062326000No841,038*
6720-7-1151.899.952389100No1,047,268*
6619-9-1041.099.84141152000No1,287,028*
6519-8-1130.399.430432151000No1,557,694*
6419-7-1220.598.221402892000No1,858,193*
6318-9-1112.495.41234331641000No2,184,716*
6218-8-126.589.4625352492000No2,534,632*
6118-7-132.878.5315313016510000No2,898,211*
6017-9-121.062.2182231241130000No3,259,590*
5917-8-130.342.10313263019720000No3,621,582*
5816-10-120.022.901517282715510000No3,966,374*
5716-9-130.09.3002819292513410000No4,277,487*
5616-8-140.02.6000292128231131000No4,544,928*
5515-10-13No0.500031122282210300000No4,765,460*
5415-9-14No0.000013112328211030000No4,926,474*
5315-8-15No0.00001412232821920000No5,013,203*
5214-10-14No0.000014122428209200000.0%5,029,445*
5114-9-15NoNo00014122428208200000.04,974,261*
5014-8-16NoNo00001413252819820000.04,845,868*
4913-10-15NoNo0001514252818720000.24,650,307*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761001.14,400,370*
4713-8-17NoNo000017182827144104.64,096,632*
4612-10-16NoNo00029213024112013.23,763,629*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206127.53,397,552*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014245.83,024,852*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253523663.82,649,110*
4211-9-18NoNo00141734331278.52,282,695*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402088.51,938,923*
4010-10-18NoNo001521433094.51,617,989*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424297.61,327,665*
3810-8-20NoNo0019375399.01,072,876*
379-10-19NoNo0005316399.6851,695*
369-9-20NoNo003257399.9665,237*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.0509,543*
348-10-20NoNo011486100.0383,248*
338-9-21NoNo001090100.0283,095*
328-8-22NoNo00693100.0205,494*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes146,438*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes102,102*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes69,874*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes46,765*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes30,642*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes19,413*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes12,409*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes7,358*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes4,543*
0-22NoNo100Yes18,791*
Total:5.0%20.1%5555555555555555555515.0%103,675,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship