Real Madrid Title Chances 2018-2019Did not play, title odds down 0.3 to 4.7% 0 points 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 8/17 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | | Girona 0 Valladolid 0 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Real Madrid vs Getafe | +1.8-0.5-1.5 | | +5.3-1.4-4.5 | | -4.5+0.7+4.0 | | +1.1-0.2-0.9 | | | Celta Vigo vs Espanyol | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Ath Bilbao vs Leganes | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Barcelona vs Alaves | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Villarreal vs Real Sociedad | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Valencia vs Atl. Madrid | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Eibar vs Huesca | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 8/24 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | | Girona vs Real Madrid | -1.5-0.5+1.9 | | -4.4-1.2+5.6 | | +3.8+0.6-4.5 | | -0.9-0.2+1.1 | | | Levante vs Celta Vigo | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | | | Valladolid vs Barcelona | -0.0+0.1*+0.0 | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | | Alaves vs Betis | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | | Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Espanyol vs Valencia | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Getafe vs Eibar | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Ath Bilbao vs Huesca | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Leganes vs Real Sociedad | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Sevilla vs Villarreal | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Real Madrid finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Segunda | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Division | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | -114 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,081 | * | | 92 | | 29 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.1 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109 | * | | 87 | -91 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,107 | * | | 86 | | 27 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,199 | * | | 85 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,321 | * | | 84 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,613 | * | | 83 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,836 | * | | 82 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,889 | * | | 81 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,810 | * | | 80 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.5 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 51,815 | * | | 79 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 78,359 | * | | 78 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 98.8 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 115,041 | * | | 77 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 98.3 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 168,620 | * | | 76 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 97.3 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 242,126 | * | | 75 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 96.1 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 340,688 | * | | 74 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 94.1 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 472,581 | * | | 73 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 91.5 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 648,927 | * | | 72 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 87.9 | | Yes | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 874,857 | * | | 71 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 83.2 | | 100.0 | % | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,157,569 | * | | 70 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 77.2 | | 100.0 | | 77 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,512,712 | * | | 69 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 69.6 | | 100.0 | | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,948,519 | * | | 68 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 60.8 | | 100.0 | | 61 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,471,657 | * | | 67 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 50.7 | | 99.9 | | 51 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,092,916 | * | | 66 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 40.0 | | 99.8 | | 40 | 42 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,811,349 | * | | 65 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 29.4 | | 99.3 | | 29 | 43 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,630,946 | * | | 64 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 19.7 | | 98.0 | | 20 | 40 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,540,324 | * | | 63 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 11.8 | | 95.0 | | 12 | 33 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,540,613 | * | | 62 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 6.1 | | 88.8 | | 6 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,610,192 | * | | 61 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 13 | 2.6 | | 77.7 | | 3 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,719,752 | * | | 60 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0.9 | | 61.1 | | 1 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,861,240 | * | | 59 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.2 | | 41.1 | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 10,983,074 | * | | 58 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 22.2 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 12,056,518 | * | | 57 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 8.9 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 13,055,874 | * | | 56 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 2.5 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 13,936,494 | * | | 55 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 0.4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 14,647,031 | * | | 54 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 15,189,270 | * | | 53 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 15,509,630 | * | | 52 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 15,627,553 | * | | 51 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 15,493,481 | * | | 50 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 15,155,237 | * | | 49 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 14,603,249 | * | | 48 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | | 13,858,124 | * | | 47 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4.4 | | 12,951,054 | * | | 46 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12.6 | | 11,920,956 | * | | 45 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 26.6 | | 10,810,769 | * | | 44 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 44.6 | | 9,647,222 | * | | 43 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 5 | 62.6 | | 8,480,770 | * | | 42 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 32 | 11 | 77.6 | | 7,341,794 | * | | 41 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 87.9 | | 6,247,657 | * | | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 29 | 94.1 | | 5,235,097 | * | | 39 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 40 | 97.4 | | 4,312,547 | * | | 38 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | 98.9 | | 3,489,661 | * | | 37 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 62 | 99.6 | | 2,782,058 | * | | 36 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 71 | 99.9 | | 2,177,128 | * | | 35 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 79 | 100.0 | | 1,677,124 | * | | 34 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 100.0 | | 1,266,784 | * | | 33 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 100.0 | | 940,955 | * | | 32 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | 100.0 | | 684,112 | * | | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | | 488,437 | * | | 30 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 342,209 | * | | 29 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 234,855 | * | | 28 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 157,453 | * | | 27 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 103,553 | * | | 26 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 66,802 | * | | 25 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 42,062 | * | | 24 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 25,518 | * | | 23 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 15,573 | * | | 22 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 9,074 | * | | 21 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,252 | * | | 0 | -20 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 46,061 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4.7 | % | 19.2 | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15.4 | % | 321,639,840 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |