How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Girona 0 Valladolid 0 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Betis 0 Levante 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Eibar vs Huesca+2.0-0.6-1.6
+5.5-1.4-4.6
-4.4+0.7+4.0
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Valencia vs Atl. Madrid-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Villarreal vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ath Bilbao vs Leganes-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Real Madrid vs Getafe-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Celta Vigo vs Espanyol-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barcelona vs Alaves-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Getafe vs Eibar-1.6-0.6+2.0
-4.6-1.4+5.5
+3.9+0.7-4.4
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Levante vs Celta Vigo-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Espanyol vs Valencia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Alaves vs Betis-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Girona vs Real Madrid-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Leganes vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sevilla vs Villarreal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ath Bilbao vs Huesca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Valladolid vs Barcelona-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Eibar finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
89-114YesYes100No13,328*
8827-7-499.7%Yes1000No381*
86-87YesYes100No1,809*
8526-7-599.8Yes1000No1,846*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No3,205*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No4,783*
8225-7-699.7Yes1000No7,873*
8125-6-799.8Yes1000No12,053*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No18,214*
7924-7-799.4Yes991No27,095*
7824-6-899.0Yes991No41,017*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No58,336*
7623-7-897.5Yes9820No84,211*
7523-6-996.2Yes9640No118,663*
7422-8-894.5Yes94500No164,247*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No224,057*
7222-6-1088.5Yes881100No299,386*
7121-8-983.9100.0%8415100No398,027*
7021-7-1078.0100.07820200No518,232*
6920-9-970.6100.07126300No663,893*
6820-8-1062.0100.062326000No842,260*
6720-7-1151.899.952389100No1,049,734*
6619-9-1041.299.8414115200No1,287,642*
6519-8-1130.499.43043215100No1,558,778*
6419-7-1220.598.221402892000No1,860,908*
6318-9-1112.395.4123433164100No2,189,955*
6218-8-126.589.46253524920000No2,534,715*
6118-7-132.878.631531301651000No2,894,147*
6017-9-121.062.2182231241130000No3,259,937*
5917-8-130.342.10313263019720000No3,621,714*
5816-10-120.022.901517282715510000No3,962,088*
5716-9-130.09.300281929251341000No4,276,172*
5616-8-140.02.60002921292311310000No4,543,142*
5515-10-13No0.500031122282210300000No4,765,418*
5415-9-14No0.100013112328211030000No4,927,881*
5315-8-15No0.00001412232821920000No5,013,075*
5214-10-14No0.000014122428209200000.0%5,030,219*
5114-9-15NoNo00014122428208200000.04,972,711*
5014-8-16NoNo00001413252819820000.04,846,953*
4913-10-15NoNo0001514252818710000.24,647,792*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761001.14,402,502*
4713-8-17NoNo00017182827144104.64,098,546*
4612-10-16NoNo00029213024112013.13,760,903*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206127.53,395,706*
4412-8-18NoNo0001517313014245.83,024,871*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253523663.82,649,231*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331278.52,283,595*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402088.61,941,653*
4010-10-18NoNo001521433094.51,615,970*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424297.61,329,263*
3810-8-20NoNo00019375399.01,071,433*
379-10-19NoNo0005316399.6851,566*
369-9-20NoNo003257299.9664,241*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.0509,227*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.0382,829*
338-9-21NoNo0001090100.0283,952*
328-8-22NoNo00693100.0205,222*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes146,973*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes101,996*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes69,852*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes46,862*
276-9-23NoNo199Yes30,483*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes19,570*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes12,282*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes7,690*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes4,561*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes2,684*
0-21NoNo100Yes16,120*
Total:5.0%20.1%5555555555555555555515.0%103,675,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship