Wycombe Title Chances 2018-2019

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/15	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	League Two	100.0*	Average seed
Wycombe 0 Oxford Utd 0	-0.0		-0.1		+1.2		-0.2
Coventry 1 Barnsley 0					+0.5		-0.1
Burton 2 Sunderland 1					+0.4
Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1					-0.3
Bradford City 0 Charlton 2					-0.3
Shrewsbury 2 Southend 0					+0.2
Luton 1 Bristol Rovers 0					-0.2
AFC Wimbledon 2 Scunthorpe 3					+0.1
Rochdale 3 Gillingham 0					*+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	League Two	100.0*	Average seed
Portsmouth vs Wycombe	-0.0-0.0+0.1		-0.2-0.1+0.4		+4.5+0.1-7.9		-0.6-0.1+1.1
Gillingham vs Peterborough					+0.7-0.0-0.4		-0.1+0.0+0.0
Doncaster vs Bradford City					-0.4-0.0+0.8		+0.0+0.0-0.1
Barnsley vs Burton					-0.2-0.0+0.3
Sunderland vs Rochdale					-0.2-0.0+0.3
Southend vs Fleetwood Town					+0.6-0.0-0.4
Charlton vs Plymouth					-0.4-0.1+0.7
Oxford Utd vs Walsall					+0.7-0.1-0.5
Blackpool vs Luton					-0.1-0.0+0.1
Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon					-0.3-0.1+0.4
Bristol Rovers vs Coventry					+0.5-0.1-0.3
Scunthorpe vs Shrewsbury					+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Wycombe finish out the regular season. Explain

100

If finish:

Chance

Chance will finish season at seed

League

wins title

Championship

Two

Count

-121

Yes

100

399,823

99.1

Yes

111

98.7

Yes

229

97.8

Yes

449

97.1

Yes

821

95.3

99.9

1,599

93.5

Yes

2,893

91.8

99.9

5,262

89.1

99.7

9,571

84.6

99.5

16,648

80.7

99.2

28,972

74.6

98.3

49,525

67.5

97.0

82,687

60.2

95.1

134,724

51.6

92.2

217,130

42.5

88.1

344,297

33.7

82.6

536,907

25.1

75.6

823,602

17.8

67.5

1,237,948

11.6

58.5

1,833,620

6.9

49.3

2,678,505

3.7

40.8

3,841,800

1.8

33.2

5,433,534

0.7

26.6

7,546,328

0.3

20.9

10,331,691

0.1

15.6

13,919,808

0.0

10.7

18,460,589

0.0

6.4

24,103,272

0.0

3.3

30,978,258

0.0

1.4

39,188,946

0.0

0.4

48,821,493

0.1

59,860,673

0.0

72,272,761

0.0

85,884,883

0.0

100,488,188

0.0

115,697,419

0.0

131,136,229

0.0

146,295,077

0.0

160,584,938

0.0

173,472,646

0.0

184,357,316

0.2

192,797,299

1.1

198,329,191

3.6

200,597,030

9.4

199,543,203

19.8

195,179,874

34.5

187,611,197

51.4

177,282,482

67.5

164,565,332

80.5

150,080,871

89.5

134,388,932

94.9

118,152,541

97.8

101,951,833

99.1

86,295,122

99.7

71,655,089

99.9

58,318,843

100.0

46,501,465

100.0

36,320,978

100.0

27,786,258

100.0

20,788,279

100.0

15,200,511

100.0

10,869,009

Yes

7,587,377

Yes

5,169,654

Yes

3,429,546

Yes

2,217,485

Yes

1,396,014

Yes

855,087

Yes

507,338

100

Yes

291,687

100

Yes

161,431

100

Yes

87,499

100

Yes

45,050

100

Yes

22,302

100

Yes

10,770

100

Yes

4,987

-21

100

Yes

403,246

Total:

0.1

0.5

30.6

3,857,485,984

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship