How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Shrewsbury 2 Southend 0 -0.5
-1.6
+5.2
-1.1
Burton 2 Sunderland 1 +0.1
+0.3
Coventry 1 Barnsley 0 +0.2
Bradford City 0 Charlton 2 -0.1
*-0.1
Fleetwood Town 1 Accrington 1 +0.1
Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1 -0.1
-0.1
AFC Wimbledon 2 Scunthorpe 3 *+0.1
Luton 1 Bristol Rovers 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Southend vs Fleetwood Town+0.5-0.1-0.4
+1.7-0.4-1.3
-6.5+1.1+5.5
+1.3-0.3-1.0
Portsmouth vs Wycombe-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Gillingham vs Peterborough+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Doncaster vs Bradford City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Oxford Utd vs Walsall+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Charlton vs Plymouth-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Barnsley vs Burton-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Sunderland vs Rochdale-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Blackpool vs Luton-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bristol Rovers vs Coventry+0.3-0.1-0.2
Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon-0.1-0.1+0.2
Scunthorpe vs Shrewsbury-0.0-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Southend finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
98-121YesYes100No130,845*
9728-6-499.6%Yes1000No243*
9627-8-399.6Yes1000No464*
9527-7-499.8Yes1000No894*
9427-6-599.6Yes1000No1,625*
9326-8-499.6Yes1000No2,994*
9226-7-599.5Yes991No5,083*
9125-9-499.3Yes991No9,068*
9025-8-598.6100.0%9910No15,311*
8925-7-698.2100.09820No26,193*
8824-9-597.2100.09730No42,800*
8724-8-696.0100.09640No69,697*
8623-10-594.399.994600No111,400*
8523-9-692.099.892800No173,594*
8423-8-788.899.7891100No266,266*
8322-10-684.899.48514100No402,673*
8222-9-779.598.88019200No597,809*
8121-11-673.097.973243000No871,682*
8021-10-765.496.365305000No1,253,621*
7921-9-856.593.6573581000No1,772,787*
7820-11-746.989.64739122000No2,461,958*
7720-10-836.884.037421730000No3,366,298*
7620-9-927.076.427422471000No4,532,617*
7519-11-818.367.11838301120000No5,998,650*
7419-10-911.256.61131331851000No7,826,805*
7318-12-86.045.962333251020000No10,042,326*
7218-11-92.836.1314293017610000No12,686,795*
7118-10-101.027.41821302412410000No15,777,155*
7017-12-90.320.003122528208200000No19,319,275*
6917-11-100.113.2016162726166200000No23,281,304*
6817-10-110.07.50028192724145100000No27,634,522*
6716-12-100.03.300031020272212410000No32,265,400*
6616-11-110.01.10001311212621114100000No37,108,917*
6515-13-100.00.200001411212621114100000No42,006,913*
6415-12-11No0.000001412212621114100000No46,835,789*
6315-11-12No0.000001411212621114100000No51,372,135*
6214-13-11No0.0000014112126211241000000.0%55,483,796*
6114-12-12No0.0000001310202622125100000.058,974,236*
6014-11-13NoNo000001310192622135100000.061,731,421*
5913-13-12NoNo0000139192623135100000.063,542,631*
5813-12-13NoNo00000139192623135100000.264,375,015*
5713-11-14NoNo000013920262313410001.064,189,302*
5612-13-13NoNo0000013102127221241004.462,949,986*
5512-12-14NoNo000014122227211030012.960,724,942*
5412-11-15NoNo0000151425281971027.757,626,755*
5311-13-14NoNo0000026172827154046.953,772,139*
5211-12-15NoNo000002922312410265.949,338,878*
5110-14-14NoNo00001414283118480.944,468,016*
5010-13-15NoNo000028223427890.639,409,918*
4910-12-16NoNo0000041432351495.934,308,117*
489-14-15NoNo00001826402398.429,347,334*
479-13-16NoNo00001420423399.424,650,023*
469-12-17NoNo000213404499.820,324,529*
458-14-16NoNo000183654100.016,444,985*
448-13-17NoNo00053064100.013,052,866*
438-12-18NoNo00032473100.010,164,919*
427-14-17NoNo0011980100.07,754,614*
417-13-18NoNo0011485100.05,797,345*
407-12-19NoNo001090Yes4,247,977*
396-14-18NoNo00793Yes3,044,359*
386-13-19NoNo00595Yes2,134,040*
376-12-20NoNo0397Yes1,463,582*
366-11-21NoNo00298Yes982,606*
355-13-20NoNo0199Yes640,343*
345-12-21NoNo0199Yes410,481*
335-11-22NoNo0199Yes253,829*
324-13-21NoNo0100Yes154,295*
314-12-22NoNo0100Yes90,516*
304-11-23NoNo0100Yes52,161*
293-13-22NoNo0100Yes28,996*
283-12-23NoNo0100Yes15,546*
273-11-24NoNo0100Yes8,158*
263-10-25NoNo0100Yes4,007*
7-25NoNo100Yes134,277*
Total:0.9%3.7%11222333344445555666677726.2%1,260,368,848

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship