How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
AFC Wimbledon 2 Scunthorpe 3 +0.7
+2.1
-5.8
+1.3
Burton 2 Sunderland 1 +0.1
+0.2
Coventry 1 Barnsley 0 +0.2
Bradford City 0 Charlton 2 -0.1
-0.1
Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1 -0.1
-0.1
Shrewsbury 2 Southend 0 +0.1
Wycombe 0 Oxford Utd 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Scunthorpe vs Shrewsbury+1.0-0.3-0.7
+2.8-0.7-2.1
-4.9+0.6+4.3
+1.3-0.2-1.1
Portsmouth vs Wycombe-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Gillingham vs Peterborough+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Oxford Utd vs Walsall+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Doncaster vs Bradford City-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Charlton vs Plymouth-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Barnsley vs Burton-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sunderland vs Rochdale-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Southend vs Fleetwood Town+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Blackpool vs Luton-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Bristol Rovers vs Coventry+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Scunthorpe finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
99-124YesYes100No131,530*
9827-7-499.8%Yes1000No844*
9727-6-5YesYes100No1,668*
9626-8-499.9Yes1000No2,960*
9526-7-599.8Yes1000No5,199*
9425-9-499.8Yes1000No9,097*
9325-8-599.6Yes1000No15,473*
9225-7-699.4Yes991No26,089*
9124-9-599.1Yes991No43,310*
9024-8-698.8100.0%9910No69,355*
8923-10-598.1100.09820No111,160*
8823-9-697.3100.097300No173,930*
8723-8-795.9100.09640No267,520*
8622-10-694.199.994600No404,394*
8522-9-791.799.892800No597,671*
8421-11-688.699.7891100No872,363*
8321-10-784.499.48415100No1,254,537*
8221-9-879.098.87919200No1,770,660*
8120-11-772.597.87225300No2,461,597*
8020-10-864.696.065305000No3,371,113*
7920-9-955.793.356358100No4,532,789*
7819-11-846.089.24640122000No6,007,856*
7719-10-935.983.336421840000No7,823,698*
7618-12-826.275.6264124710000No10,049,195*
7518-11-917.666.2183730123000No12,686,898*
7418-10-1010.755.71131341861000No15,782,843*
7317-12-95.745.2622332511300000No19,311,734*
7217-11-102.635.4314283018610000No23,281,129*
7117-10-111.027.01721302512410000No27,621,703*
7016-12-100.319.603122529209200000No32,269,800*
6916-11-110.113.001616262616720000No37,101,391*
6815-13-100.07.30028192724145100000No42,020,047*
6715-12-110.03.2000310202723124100000No46,826,193*
6615-11-120.01.00001311212621114100000No51,374,124*
6514-13-11No0.20001411212621114100000No55,491,338*
6414-12-12No0.000001411212621114100000No58,984,818*
6314-11-13No0.00000141121262111410000No61,713,593*
6213-13-12No0.00000141121262112410000No63,535,150*
6113-12-13No0.0000001310202622124100000.0%64,380,207*
6013-11-14NoNo000001310202622135100000.064,184,331*
5912-13-13NoNo0000139192623135100000.062,956,160*
5812-12-14NoNo0000139192623135100000.160,730,108*
5712-11-15NoNo00000131020262313410001.057,616,930*
5611-13-14NoNo000013102127221241004.453,780,114*
5511-12-15NoNo000014122227211030012.949,325,835*
5410-14-14NoNo0000151425281971027.944,470,779*
5310-13-15NoNo000026172827154047.339,406,310*
5210-12-16NoNo00002922302410266.334,314,062*
519-14-15NoNo0001414283118481.329,337,677*
509-13-16NoNo000027213427890.924,651,220*
499-12-17NoNo000031432361596.120,317,474*
488-14-16NoNo0001826412498.516,442,734*
478-13-17NoNo0000419423499.513,060,376*
468-12-18NoNo000213404699.810,161,756*
457-14-17NoNo000183556100.07,757,199*
447-13-18NoNo00042966100.05,797,059*
437-12-19NoNo00022375100.04,250,746*
426-14-18NoNo0011781100.03,046,173*
416-13-19NoNo0011387100.02,136,027*
406-12-20NoNo00991Yes1,464,569*
396-11-21NoNo00694Yes980,981*
385-13-20NoNo00496Yes642,239*
375-12-21NoNo0397Yes409,428*
365-11-22NoNo0298Yes254,589*
354-13-21NoNo0199Yes154,135*
344-12-22NoNo0199Yes91,143*
334-11-23NoNo0100Yes52,301*
323-13-22NoNo0100Yes29,238*
313-12-23NoNo0100Yes15,605*
303-11-24NoNo0100Yes8,138*
293-10-25NoNo0100Yes4,153*
282-12-24NoNo0100Yes1,962*
10-27NoNo100Yes132,321*
Total:2.0%7.4%23344444455555555555444315.5%1,260,368,848

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship