How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Rochdale 3 Gillingham 0 +0.8
+2.5
-5.1
+1.3
Coventry 1 Barnsley 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Burton 2 Sunderland 1 *+0.1
+0.2
Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1 -0.1
-0.2
Bradford City 0 Charlton 2 -0.1
*-0.1
Wycombe 0 Oxford Utd 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Sunderland vs Rochdale-1.0-0.3+1.3
-2.6-0.8+3.4
+3.5+0.6-4.0
-1.1-0.2+1.3
Portsmouth vs Wycombe-0.2+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Gillingham vs Peterborough+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Oxford Utd vs Walsall+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Doncaster vs Bradford City-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Charlton vs Plymouth-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Barnsley vs Burton-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Southend vs Fleetwood Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Blackpool vs Luton-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Bristol Rovers vs Coventry+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Scunthorpe vs Shrewsbury-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rochdale finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
99-125YesYes100No132,465*
9827-6-599.9%Yes1000No1,630*
9726-8-499.9Yes1000No2,861*
9626-7-599.8Yes1000No5,303*
9525-9-499.8Yes1000No9,056*
9425-8-599.8Yes1000No15,764*
9325-7-699.5Yes1000No25,917*
9224-9-599.3100.0%9910No43,102*
9124-8-699.1Yes991No69,715*
9023-10-598.6100.09910No111,333*
8923-9-697.9100.09820No173,457*
8823-8-797.0100.09730No266,524*
8722-10-695.6100.096400No403,733*
8622-9-793.799.994600No597,601*
8521-11-691.399.891800No872,812*
8421-10-787.999.68812000No1,253,687*
8321-9-883.699.38415100No1,770,943*
8220-11-778.298.77820200No2,464,564*
8120-10-871.597.67225300No3,370,441*
8020-9-963.795.864315000No4,532,290*
7919-11-854.793.0553681000No6,003,209*
7819-10-945.088.845401320000No7,829,637*
7718-12-835.082.835421940000No10,047,273*
7618-11-925.575.0264125710000No12,690,177*
7518-10-1017.065.61737301230000No15,777,800*
7417-12-910.355.110303419610000No19,316,298*
7317-11-105.544.752233251130000No23,279,894*
7217-10-112.535.12142830186100000No27,620,089*
7116-12-100.926.71720302512410000No32,268,891*
7016-11-110.319.403122429209200000No37,100,098*
6915-13-100.112.8015162626177200000No42,017,973*
6815-12-110.07.20028182724145100000No46,835,162*
6715-11-120.03.200039202723124100000No51,371,408*
6614-13-110.01.00001311212621114100000No55,476,820*
6514-12-120.00.200001411212621114100000No58,988,080*
6414-11-13No0.000001411212621114100000No61,704,883*
6313-13-12No0.000001411212621114100000No63,532,269*
6213-12-13No0.0000014112126211241000000.0%64,378,360*
6113-11-14No0.0000013102026221241000000.064,183,961*
6012-13-13NoNo00001310202622135100000.062,948,254*
5912-12-14NoNo00001310192623135100000.060,741,232*
5812-11-15NoNo0000139192623135100000.157,626,239*
5711-13-14NoNo00000131020262313410001.053,762,660*
5611-12-15NoNo000013102127221241004.349,316,514*
5510-14-14NoNo000014122227211030012.844,474,182*
5410-13-15NoNo0000151425281971027.739,415,102*
5310-12-16NoNo000027172827154047.134,319,429*
529-14-15NoNo00002922302410266.229,344,006*
519-13-16NoNo0001414283118481.224,650,335*
509-12-17NoNo000027213427890.920,322,337*
498-14-16NoNo000031432351596.116,451,028*
488-13-17NoNo0001826412498.513,056,729*
478-12-18NoNo0000419423499.510,163,495*
467-14-17NoNo000213404699.87,764,333*
457-13-18NoNo00183556100.05,798,666*
447-12-19NoNo00042966100.04,248,201*
436-14-18NoNo00022375100.03,043,733*
426-13-19NoNo0011781100.02,136,656*
416-12-20NoNo0011387100.01,464,786*
406-11-21NoNo00991Yes980,409*
395-13-20NoNo00694Yes641,762*
385-12-21NoNo0496Yes411,003*
375-11-22NoNo0397Yes254,537*
364-13-21NoNo0298Yes154,477*
354-12-22NoNo199Yes90,767*
344-11-23NoNo0199Yes51,828*
333-13-22NoNo0100Yes28,899*
323-12-23NoNo0100Yes15,512*
313-11-24NoNo0100Yes8,100*
303-10-25NoNo0100Yes4,035*
292-12-24NoNo0100Yes1,969*
11-28NoNo100Yes132,153*
Total:2.6%9.1%33444555555555554444433212.6%1,260,368,848

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship