How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Peterborough 1 Portsmouth 2 -5.1
-6.7
+0.5
-0.8
Burton 2 Sunderland 1 +0.4
+0.3
Coventry 1 Barnsley 0 +0.3
+0.2
Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1 -0.2
-0.3
Bradford City 0 Charlton 2 -0.2
-0.2
Luton 1 Bristol Rovers 0 -0.1
-0.1
Fleetwood Town 1 Accrington 1 +0.1
+0.2
Walsall 1 Doncaster 4 *+0.1
Shrewsbury 2 Southend 0 *+0.1
*+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Gillingham vs Peterborough-3.6-1.1+4.7
-5.7-1.5+7.1
+0.7+0.0-0.8
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Portsmouth vs Wycombe-0.9+0.2+0.7
-0.7+0.2+0.5
Doncaster vs Bradford City-0.4+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.2+0.3
Oxford Utd vs Walsall+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.3+0.2-0.5
Charlton vs Plymouth-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.1+0.3
Barnsley vs Burton-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.2
Sunderland vs Rochdale-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
Southend vs Fleetwood Town+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
Blackpool vs Luton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.0
Bristol Rovers vs Coventry+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Scunthorpe vs Shrewsbury-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Peterborough finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
105-133YesYes100No137,015*
10426-7-599.9%Yes1000No5,110*
10325-9-499.9Yes1000No9,097*
10225-8-599.9Yes1000No15,565*
10125-7-699.9Yes1000No26,099*
10024-9-599.9Yes1000No42,926*
9924-8-699.9Yes1000No70,049*
9823-10-599.9Yes1000No111,364*
9723-9-699.9Yes1000No174,036*
9623-8-799.8Yes1000No267,114*
9522-10-699.8100.0%10000No402,895*
9422-9-799.7Yes1000No597,875*
9321-11-699.6100.010000No874,044*
9221-10-799.4100.09910No1,252,947*
9121-9-899.1100.09910No1,770,521*
9020-11-798.7100.09910No2,463,065*
8920-10-898.1100.09820No3,368,684*
8820-9-997.3100.097300No4,531,304*
8719-11-896.1100.096400No6,010,435*
8619-10-994.499.994600No7,825,416*
8518-12-892.299.992800No10,044,025*
8418-11-989.299.78910000No12,684,960*
8318-10-1085.299.585141000No15,781,701*
8217-12-980.299.080181000No19,319,624*
8117-11-1074.098.174232000No23,281,734*
8017-10-1166.596.667294000No27,617,428*
7916-12-1057.994.2583471000No32,263,204*
7816-11-1148.390.54839111000No37,115,411*
7715-13-1038.285.138421630000No42,009,368*
7615-12-1128.377.8284223610000No46,827,877*
7515-11-1219.468.619392911200000No51,378,599*
7414-13-1112.058.212333317510000No55,480,178*
7314-12-126.547.47243424920000No58,989,172*
7214-11-133.137.3316302916510000No61,706,389*
7113-13-121.228.51822302311310000No63,538,219*
7013-12-130.420.80413262819820000No64,387,377*
6913-11-140.113.9016172726156100000No64,186,534*
6812-13-130.08.00029202723135100000No62,962,834*
6712-12-140.03.600131121272211410000No60,724,773*
6612-11-150.01.20001412222621114100000No57,615,829*
6511-13-14No0.30001412222620104100000No53,754,193*
6411-12-15No0.000001412222620114100000No49,312,829*
6310-14-14No0.000001411212621114100000No44,479,543*
6210-13-15No0.0000014112026211241000000.0%39,411,481*
6110-12-16NoNo00001310202622135100000.034,316,393*
609-14-15NoNo0000139192623135100000.029,344,765*
599-13-16NoNo0000139182523145100000.024,648,427*
589-12-17NoNo0000139182624145100000.220,325,778*
578-14-16NoNo000013918262414510001.216,450,461*
568-13-17NoNo0001391927231341005.213,056,579*
558-12-18NoNo00013102127231130014.910,164,192*
547-14-17NoNo0000141223282192031.17,759,480*
537-13-18NoNo000015152728175151.05,804,924*
527-12-19NoNo00002820302611269.84,246,268*
516-14-18NoNo0001312273220583.83,046,268*
506-13-19NoNo000162034291092.42,135,408*
496-12-20NoNo000031230371796.81,466,332*
486-11-21NoNo0001724412698.9979,764*
475-13-20NoNo000317423799.6642,083*
465-12-21NoNo000211394899.9409,413*
455-11-22NoNo00173459100.0255,536*
444-13-21NoNo00042868100.0154,640*
434-12-22NoNo0022276100.090,365*
424-11-23NoNo011782Yes51,770*
413-13-22NoNo011287Yes29,073*
403-12-23NoNo00892Yes15,572*
393-11-24NoNo0595Yes8,105*
383-10-25NoNo0496Yes4,185*
372-12-24NoNo397Yes2,032*
362-11-25NoNo298Yes891*
352-10-26NoNo199Yes416*
342-9-27NoNo199Yes169*
19-33NoNo100Yes130,716*
Total:16.1%34.9%1612108766544333222111110001.5%1,260,368,848

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship