How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Peterborough 1 Portsmouth 2 -6.3
-6.9
-0.5
Coventry 1 Barnsley 0 +1.0
+0.9
Burton 2 Sunderland 1 +0.7
+0.7
Fleetwood Town 1 Accrington 1 +0.2
+0.3
Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1 -0.1
-0.3
Bradford City 0 Charlton 2 -0.1
-0.3
Walsall 1 Doncaster 4 *+0.1
Luton 1 Bristol Rovers 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Gillingham vs Peterborough-4.7-1.9+4.4
-6.7-2.4+6.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-0.6-0.2+0.5
Portsmouth vs Wycombe-1.4+0.7+1.6
-0.9+0.4+1.0
Barnsley vs Burton-0.6+0.3+0.6
-0.7+0.4+0.7
Doncaster vs Bradford City-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.7+0.4+0.8
Sunderland vs Rochdale-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.6+0.3+0.5
Southend vs Fleetwood Town+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.6+0.3-0.6
Charlton vs Plymouth-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.2+0.5
Oxford Utd vs Walsall+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.2-0.5
Blackpool vs Luton-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.2
Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Bristol Rovers vs Coventry+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Peterborough finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
112-133YesYes100No405,711*
11128-8-2100.0%Yes1000No5,816*
11028-7-3100.0Yes1000No10,842*
10928-6-4100.0Yes1000No19,401*
10827-8-399.9Yes1000No34,803*
10727-7-499.9Yes1000No60,454*
10626-9-3100.0Yes1000No102,647*
10526-8-499.9Yes1000No170,382*
10426-7-599.9Yes1000No279,100*
10325-9-499.9Yes1000No444,383*
10225-8-599.8Yes1000No699,122*
10124-10-499.8Yes1000No1,076,363*
10024-9-599.7100.0%10000No1,625,346*
9924-8-699.5100.010000No2,412,720*
9823-10-599.4100.09910No3,507,995*
9723-9-699.1100.09910No5,021,766*
9623-8-798.7100.09910No7,056,728*
9522-10-698.1100.09820No9,746,643*
9422-9-797.3100.09730No13,239,973*
9321-11-696.2100.096400No17,658,505*
9221-10-794.8100.095500No23,188,561*
9121-9-892.999.993700No29,919,939*
9020-11-790.599.9909000No37,985,212*
8920-10-887.399.78712000No47,422,165*
8819-12-783.499.58316100No58,265,784*
8719-11-878.799.079201000No70,432,974*
8619-10-973.098.373252000No83,753,051*
8518-12-866.397.166304000No97,993,467*
8418-11-958.895.3593560000No112,846,376*
8318-10-1050.792.5513991000No127,866,028*
8217-12-942.188.74243132000No142,609,042*
8117-11-1033.583.534441830000No156,501,721*
8016-13-925.476.925442461000No169,020,316*
7916-12-1018.169.01841301020000No179,707,209*
7816-11-1112.060.31235341530000No187,973,315*
7715-13-107.451.47283621610000No193,561,891*
7615-12-114.142.842035271120000No196,131,694*
7515-11-122.035.1213303117510000No195,526,971*
7414-13-110.928.4182332241020000No191,840,327*
7314-12-120.322.60416292916510000No185,191,989*
7213-14-110.117.30292330231030000No175,892,701*
7113-13-120.012.301415272817610000No164,300,503*
7013-12-130.07.7002820292412410000No150,994,895*
6912-14-120.04.20014132529208200000No136,505,318*
6812-13-130.01.90001617272615510000No121,345,561*
6712-12-140.00.700002921282312410000No106,008,653*
6611-14-13No0.20001412242820920000No91,103,584*
6511-13-14No0.000001515262717720000No76,949,307*
6411-12-15No0.000002718272514510000No63,865,785*
6310-14-14No0.000003920272312410000No52,070,443*
6210-13-15No0.0000141122272110310000No41,720,670*
6110-12-16NoNo00001513242719820000No32,823,360*
609-14-15NoNo000016162526177200000.0%25,351,082*
599-13-16NoNo00002718262515510000.019,213,228*
589-12-17NoNo00003920272313410000.014,292,649*
578-14-16NoNo000131122272211310000.110,428,391*
568-13-17NoNo00014132427198200000.37,459,770*
558-12-18NoNo00001616262617610001.55,226,883*
547-14-17NoNo000281928251341004.93,591,893*
537-13-18NoNo00013112329221020012.22,415,225*
527-12-19NoNo000151526281861024.61,590,855*
516-14-18NoNo00028203026123041.01,026,135*
506-13-19NoNo00013122631206158.4645,324*
496-12-20NoNo001619312812273.9396,741*
485-14-19NoNo000312273420485.4238,253*
475-13-20NoNo0016213629892.7139,172*
465-12-21NoNo00031433361496.879,467*
454-14-20NoNo001828422198.744,459*
444-13-21NoNo00521443099.524,072*
434-12-22NoNo0214443999.912,691*
424-11-23NoNo0194049100.06,483*
413-13-22NoNo163657Yes3,190*
403-12-23NoNo042967Yes1,545*
393-11-24NoNo022375Yes708*
382-13-23NoNo02179Yes317*
372-12-24NoNo1783Yes134*
362-11-25NoNo1387Yes60*
352-10-26NoNo1388Yes24*
342-9-27NoNo1189Yes9*
332-8-28NoNo2575Yes4*
190-0-38NoNo0100Yes399,708
Total:20.4%46.1%20171411975433211110000000000.1%3,857,485,984

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship