Luton Title Chances 2018-2019 50/50Beat Bristol Rovers 1-0, title odds up 0.9 to 2.6% 11 points 3-2-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | | Luton 1 Bristol Rovers 0 | +0.8 | | +2.5 | | -5.2 | | +1.3 | | | Burton 2 Sunderland 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | Coventry 1 Barnsley 0 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | Wycombe 0 Oxford Utd 0 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | | Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | | Bradford City 0 Charlton 2 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | | Shrewsbury 2 Southend 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | AFC Wimbledon 2 Scunthorpe 3 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | | Blackpool vs Luton | -0.9-0.3+1.2 | | -2.6-0.8+3.3 | | +3.5+0.6-4.1 | | -1.1-0.2+1.3 | | | Portsmouth vs Wycombe | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | | | | | Gillingham vs Peterborough | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | | | | | Doncaster vs Bradford City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | | | | | Oxford Utd vs Walsall | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Charlton vs Plymouth | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | | | | | Sunderland vs Rochdale | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | | Barnsley vs Burton | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | | Southend vs Fleetwood Town | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | | | | Bristol Rovers vs Coventry | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | | | | Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | | Scunthorpe vs Shrewsbury | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Luton finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | -125 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 131,480 | * | | 99 | | 27 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 860 | * | | 98 | | 27 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,527 | * | | 97 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,955 | * | | 96 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,280 | * | | 95 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 4 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,090 | * | | 94 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,574 | * | | 93 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,425 | * | | 92 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 5 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,128 | * | | 91 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.0 | | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70,347 | * | | 90 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 5 | 98.4 | | 100.0 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 110,786 | * | | 89 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 97.7 | | 100.0 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 173,466 | * | | 88 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 96.8 | | 100.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 266,534 | * | | 87 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 6 | 95.3 | | 100.0 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 402,361 | * | | 86 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 93.4 | | 99.9 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 599,199 | * | | 85 | | 21 | - | 11 | - | 6 | 90.8 | | 99.8 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 874,345 | * | | 84 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 7 | 87.5 | | 99.6 | | 87 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,252,619 | * | | 83 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 83.1 | | 99.3 | | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,771,790 | * | | 82 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 7 | 77.7 | | 98.6 | | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,461,263 | * | | 81 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 70.9 | | 97.5 | | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,367,882 | * | | 80 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 63.1 | | 95.7 | | 63 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,526,499 | * | | 79 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 8 | 54.2 | | 92.8 | | 54 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,001,026 | * | | 78 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 44.5 | | 88.6 | | 45 | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,829,560 | * | | 77 | | 18 | - | 12 | - | 8 | 34.7 | | 82.6 | | 35 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,044,145 | * | | 76 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 9 | 25.2 | | 74.8 | | 25 | 41 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,693,689 | * | | 75 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 16.9 | | 65.4 | | 17 | 37 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,779,457 | * | | 74 | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 9 | 10.2 | | 55.0 | | 10 | 30 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,314,172 | * | | 73 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 5.4 | | 44.5 | | 5 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,286,749 | * | | 72 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 2.5 | | 35.0 | | 2 | 13 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,625,289 | * | | 71 | | 16 | - | 12 | - | 10 | 0.9 | | 26.7 | | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,272,293 | * | | 70 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 0.3 | | 19.4 | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 37,117,472 | * | | 69 | | 15 | - | 13 | - | 10 | 0.1 | | 12.8 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,009,936 | * | | 68 | | 15 | - | 12 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 7.2 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,837,369 | * | | 67 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 3.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 51,372,833 | * | | 66 | | 14 | - | 13 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 1.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 55,489,641 | * | | 65 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 12 | No | 0.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 58,969,585 | * | | 64 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 61,711,649 | * | | 63 | | 13 | - | 13 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 63,537,623 | * | | 62 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 64,381,846 | * | | 61 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 64,185,396 | * | | 60 | | 12 | - | 13 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 62,945,949 | * | | 59 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 60,736,723 | * | | 58 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 57,626,151 | * | | 57 | | 11 | - | 13 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | | 53,772,351 | * | | 56 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | | 49,320,350 | * | | 55 | | 10 | - | 14 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12.4 | | 44,470,328 | * | | 54 | | 10 | - | 13 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27.1 | | 39,410,652 | * | | 53 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 46.3 | | 34,308,834 | * | | 52 | | 9 | - | 14 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 65.4 | | 29,358,570 | * | | 51 | | 9 | - | 13 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 80.5 | | 24,651,695 | * | | 50 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 27 | 8 | 90.4 | | 20,324,240 | * | | 49 | | 8 | - | 14 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 35 | 15 | 95.8 | | 16,442,871 | * | | 48 | | 8 | - | 13 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 98.4 | | 13,047,554 | * | | 47 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 42 | 34 | 99.4 | | 10,162,523 | * | | 46 | | 7 | - | 14 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 45 | 99.8 | | 7,752,511 | * | | 45 | | 7 | - | 13 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 55 | 99.9 | | 5,800,017 | * | | 44 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 65 | 100.0 | | 4,246,039 | * | | 43 | | 6 | - | 14 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 74 | 100.0 | | 3,044,082 | * | | 42 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 100.0 | | 2,132,948 | * | | 41 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 100.0 | | 1,467,107 | * | | 40 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 90 | Yes | 981,599 | * | | 39 | | 5 | - | 13 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 93 | Yes | 641,258 | * | | 38 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 408,166 | * | | 37 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 254,174 | * | | 36 | | 4 | - | 13 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 154,724 | * | | 35 | | 4 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 91,230 | * | | 34 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 52,142 | * | | 33 | | 3 | - | 13 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 28,732 | * | | 32 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 15,690 | * | | 31 | | 3 | - | 11 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 8,236 | * | | 30 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 4,150 | * | | 29 | | 2 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,950 | * | | 11 | -28 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 132,162 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.6 | % | 9.0 | % | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12.5 | % | 1,260,368,848 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |