How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Coventry 1 Barnsley 0 -2.5
-4.7
+1.4
-1.0
Bradford City 0 Charlton 2 -0.2
-0.3
-0.1
Burton 2 Sunderland 1 +0.2
+0.2
Fleetwood Town 1 Accrington 1 +0.1
+0.2
Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1 -0.1
-0.2
Luton 1 Bristol Rovers 0 -0.1
-0.1
Peterborough 1 Portsmouth 2 *-0.1
Rochdale 3 Gillingham 0 *-0.1
AFC Wimbledon 2 Scunthorpe 3 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Barnsley vs Burton+2.7-0.7-2.1
+5.4-1.2-4.2
-2.0+0.2+1.8
+1.2-0.2-1.0
Portsmouth vs Wycombe-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.5+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Gillingham vs Peterborough+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Oxford Utd vs Walsall+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Doncaster vs Bradford City-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Charlton vs Plymouth-0.2+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sunderland vs Rochdale-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Southend vs Fleetwood Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Bristol Rovers vs Coventry+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Blackpool vs Luton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Scunthorpe vs Shrewsbury-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Barnsley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
107-129YesYes100No130,702*
10628-7-399.2%Yes991No133*
10528-6-4YesYes100No264*
10427-8-399.8Yes1000No502*
102-103YesYes100No2,476*
10126-8-4100.0Yes1000No2,930*
10026-7-5100.0Yes1000No5,300*
9925-9-499.9Yes1000No9,204*
9825-8-599.9Yes1000No15,736*
9725-7-699.9Yes1000No25,803*
9624-9-599.8Yes1000No42,877*
9524-8-699.8Yes1000No70,039*
9423-10-599.7Yes1000No111,286*
9323-9-699.6Yes1000No173,258*
9223-8-799.4100.0%9910No267,271*
9122-10-699.1100.09910No402,578*
9022-9-798.7100.09910No597,885*
8921-11-698.1100.09820No873,421*
8821-10-797.2100.097300No1,254,435*
8721-9-895.9100.096400No1,771,836*
8620-11-794.299.994600No2,460,219*
8520-10-891.899.892800No3,368,176*
8420-9-988.799.78911000No4,528,163*
8319-11-884.599.48415100No6,001,519*
8219-10-979.398.87919200No7,827,560*
8118-12-872.897.973243000No10,047,411*
8018-11-965.196.265305000No12,688,225*
7918-10-1056.393.6563581000No15,779,691*
7817-12-946.689.64740122000No19,311,954*
7717-11-1036.683.937421830000No23,277,460*
7617-10-1126.976.427422471000No27,629,391*
7516-12-1018.267.11838301120000No32,253,887*
7416-11-1111.156.611313418510000No37,104,050*
7315-13-106.046.062334251020000No42,004,977*
7215-12-112.836.2314293017610000No46,840,243*
7115-11-121.127.61821302412310000No51,378,576*
7014-13-110.320.103132528198200000No55,485,006*
6914-12-120.113.4016172726166100000No58,990,779*
6814-11-130.07.70028192724135100000No61,711,040*
6713-13-120.03.400031021272212410000No63,545,259*
6613-12-130.01.10001411222621114100000No64,376,659*
6513-11-14No0.2000141222262010410000No64,194,733*
6412-13-13No0.00000141222262010410000No62,961,371*
6312-12-14No0.000001412212621114100000No60,723,371*
6212-11-15No0.00000141121262111410000No57,621,243*
6111-13-14No0.000001411202622124100000.0%53,760,655*
6011-12-15NoNo000013102026221251000000.049,327,748*
5910-14-14NoNo00001310192622135100000.044,467,947*
5810-13-15NoNo000013919262313510000.139,411,820*
5710-12-16NoNo0000131020262313410001.034,311,959*
569-14-15NoNo000013102127221241004.429,356,924*
559-13-16NoNo000014122227211030013.024,656,446*
549-12-17NoNo00000151425281972028.120,317,141*
538-14-16NoNo000026172727154147.516,443,750*
528-13-17NoNo00002922302410266.613,054,035*
518-12-18NoNo00001414283218481.510,168,634*
507-14-17NoNo000017213427991.07,754,588*
497-13-18NoNo000031431361596.25,799,160*
487-12-19NoNo0001826412498.54,248,076*
476-14-18NoNo0000419423599.53,045,037*
466-13-19NoNo000213404699.92,133,482*
456-12-20NoNo00183557100.01,466,588*
446-11-21NoNo00042966100.0981,970*
435-13-20NoNo0022375100.0641,636*
425-12-21NoNo0011781100.0409,460*
415-11-22NoNo011287Yes254,389*
404-13-21NoNo00991Yes154,492*
394-12-22NoNo00694Yes90,789*
384-11-23NoNo0496Yes52,302*
373-13-22NoNo0397Yes29,107*
363-12-23NoNo0298Yes15,584*
353-11-24NoNo199Yes7,961*
343-10-25NoNo0100Yes4,140*
332-12-24NoNo0100Yes1,970*
322-11-25NoNo0100Yes878*
30-31NoNo100Yes570*
291-11-26NoNo199Yes72*
15-28NoNo100Yes130,639*
Total:7.2%19.4%7777666555544433332221114.9%1,260,368,848

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship