How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
AFC Wimbledon 2 Scunthorpe 3 -0.6
-1.9
+4.6
-1.1
Burton 2 Sunderland 1 +0.1
+0.2
Coventry 1 Barnsley 0 +0.1
+0.3
Fleetwood Town 1 Accrington 1 +0.1
Walsall 1 Doncaster 4 +0.1
Bradford City 0 Charlton 2 -0.1
*-0.1
Plymouth 0 Blackpool 1 -0.1
-0.1
Luton 1 Bristol Rovers 0 -0.1
*-0.1
Shrewsbury 2 Southend 0 +0.1
Wycombe 0 Oxford Utd 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Accrington vs AFC Wimbledon-0.5-0.2+0.6
-1.5-0.5+2.0
+5.2+0.9-6.0
-1.1-0.3+1.3
Portsmouth vs Wycombe-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Gillingham vs Peterborough+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Oxford Utd vs Walsall+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Doncaster vs Bradford City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Charlton vs Plymouth-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Sunderland vs Rochdale-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Barnsley vs Burton-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Southend vs Fleetwood Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Bristol Rovers vs Coventry+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Blackpool vs Luton-0.0-0.1+0.1
Scunthorpe vs Shrewsbury-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the AFC Wimbledon finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
97-122YesYes100No131,528*
9627-7-499.8%Yes1000No864*
9527-6-599.7Yes1000No1,630*
9426-8-499.8Yes1000No2,939*
9326-7-599.7Yes1000No5,130*
9225-9-499.3Yes991No9,007*
9125-8-599.1Yes991No15,621*
9025-7-698.8Yes991No26,370*
8924-9-598.2100.0%9820No43,095*
8824-8-697.4100.09730No70,131*
8723-10-596.2100.09640No111,120*
8623-9-694.499.994500No173,478*
8523-8-792.199.892800No266,865*
8422-10-689.099.7891100No403,776*
8322-9-784.899.48514100No597,845*
8221-11-679.698.88019100No872,570*
8121-10-773.197.973243000No1,254,336*
8021-9-865.496.265305000No1,770,191*
7920-11-756.593.656358100No2,463,624*
7820-10-846.789.64739122000No3,365,961*
7720-9-936.683.937421840000No4,531,351*
7619-11-826.876.227412471000No6,005,210*
7519-10-918.166.81838301220000No7,825,138*
7418-12-811.056.41131331851000No10,046,707*
7318-11-95.945.7623332510300000No12,685,162*
7218-10-102.735.8314293017610000No15,769,089*
7117-12-91.027.31721302412410000No19,316,472*
7017-11-100.319.803122528209200000No23,286,663*
6917-10-110.113.101616262616620000No27,628,394*
6816-12-100.07.4002819272414510000No32,261,762*
6716-11-110.03.3000310202722124100000No37,112,324*
6615-13-100.01.00001311212621114100000No42,009,946*
6515-12-11No0.20001411212621114100000No46,826,751*
6415-11-12No0.00000141121262111410000No51,370,465*
6314-13-11No0.000001411212621114100000No55,485,529*
6214-12-12No0.00000141120262112410000No58,986,769*
6114-11-13No0.0000013102026221251000000.0%61,703,618*
6013-13-12NoNo00001310192622135100000.063,548,410*
5913-12-13NoNo0000139192623135100000.064,386,269*
5813-11-14NoNo0000139192623135100000.264,177,118*
5712-13-13NoNo000013919262313410001.062,950,685*
5612-12-14NoNo0000013102027221241004.560,722,948*
5512-11-15NoNo000014112227211030013.057,628,688*
5411-13-14NoNo0000151425281971028.153,774,987*
5311-12-15NoNo000026172827154047.449,329,850*
5210-14-14NoNo000002922302410266.444,472,584*
5110-13-15NoNo00001414283118481.339,423,069*
5010-12-16NoNo000027213427890.934,313,770*
499-14-15NoNo000031432351596.129,358,873*
489-13-16NoNo00001826412498.524,646,705*
479-12-17NoNo0000419423499.520,319,753*
468-14-16NoNo000213404599.816,445,792*
458-13-17NoNo00183556100.013,051,318*
448-12-18NoNo00052966100.010,164,017*
437-14-17NoNo00022374100.07,753,590*
427-13-18NoNo00011881100.05,797,021*
417-12-19NoNo0011386100.04,246,005*
406-14-18NoNo00991Yes3,045,186*
396-13-19NoNo00694Yes2,134,458*
386-12-20NoNo00496Yes1,462,844*
376-11-21NoNo00397Yes981,674*
365-13-20NoNo0298Yes642,213*
355-12-21NoNo0199Yes409,697*
345-11-22NoNo0199Yes255,104*
334-13-21NoNo00100Yes154,618*
324-12-22NoNo0100Yes91,050*
314-11-23NoNo0100Yes52,163*
303-13-22NoNo0100Yes29,161*
293-12-23NoNo0100Yes15,336*
283-11-24NoNo0100Yes8,118*
273-10-25NoNo0100Yes4,062*
8-26NoNo100Yes134,281*
Total:1.2%4.7%12223334444455555566666522.4%1,260,368,848

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship