Miami Marlins Playoff Chances 2017

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.05 to 3.4%
60-62   .492

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 14 Marlins 6 -0.2
-0.2
Rockies 5 Reds 3 -0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 2 Marlins 5 +0.1
+0.2
Rockies 1 Reds 8 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10040-0In96042,237,419
9939-1In1005
9838-2In891153
9737-3In6634505
9636-4In4905104,640
9535-5In33165132,720
9434-6100.0%02017630184,770
9333-7100.01118080866,381
9232-899.7517717003,452,331
9131-998.52165311011,819,026
9030-1094.610484550035,186,077
8929-1185.3003055140091,968,508
8828-1268.70015532920212,522,247
8727-1346.90064144800436,600,247
8626-1425.800224522110801,247,196
8525-1511.0000114638501,318,258,322
8424-163.50003315115001,950,174,533
8323-170.80001165330002,600,392,312
8222-180.1000064448103,130,287,239
8121-190.0000230644003,406,404,918
8020-200.0000017739003,352,994,635
7919-210.0000873190002,986,472,748
7818-220.0000364312002,406,232,887
7717-230.0001494460001,752,812,457
7616-240.00003252151001,153,035,136
7515-250.0000185128300683,687,939
7414-260.0007394310000364,754,793
7313-27Out02235023200174,495,937
7212-28Out009434070074,687,692
7111-29Out0227501920028,459,649
7010-30Out001246348009,593,998
699-31Out003314519202,854,265
688-32Out0115423570741,032
677-33Out052846192166,775
666-34Out01134335832,414
655-35Out042847215,157
644-36Out1134640681
633-37Out4267069
622-38Out25758
600-40Out06942,237,419
Total:3.4%000031024461431000026,994,905,140
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals 14 Marlins 6 +0.5
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals 2 Marlins 5 -0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10040-0465320
9939-1206020
9838-2256682
9737-36553361
9636-4339421520
9535-5121442860
9434-6093440151000
9333-7032042296000
9232-801832411620000
9131-900217402991010
9030-1000627362040500
8929-110021229301201400
8828-1200031528212293000
8727-13001415225439000
8626-1400015146482330000
8525-1500015537391110000
8424-1600013194226810000
8323-17000016273522810000
8222-18000019253223920000
8121-19000019233224920000
8020-200000182232251020000
7919-21000017223326920000
7818-22000001723352581000
7717-23000001825362361000
7616-24000011028362050000
7515-25000002133234163000
7414-2600003173532122000
7313-270000521372881000
7212-28000172638225000
7111-29001113237163000
7010-30000316373111200
699-3100052337268100
688-320019273621500
677-330021231351630
666-34003163533121
655-35052139296
644-3619304416
633-371134936
622-38253838
600-400011486
Total:00000011161010101111119753110000000