Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2017

Lost to Dodgers 5-6, playoff odds down 0.08 to 0.2%
60-65   .480

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 4 Pirates 0 -0.5
-0.2
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 -0.1
Cardinals 14 Marlins 6 -0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Phillies 0 Pirates 3 +0.2
+0.2
Cubs 5 Rays 6 +0.1
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 -0.1
Cardinals 2 Marlins 5 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9737-0In683202,237,419
9535-2In1002
9434-3In316935
9333-4In1387364
9232-5In891103,057
9131-699.9%49321020,667
9030-799.11913410116,677
8929-896.2183410400557,349
8828-988.006931612002,278,505
8727-1071.6050219262008,092,465
8626-1147.90301174390025,138,385
8525-1224.301401049242068,764,915
8424-138.605043942900166,613,034
8323-142.0010122492430359,139,747
8222-150.300084141100690,728,753
8121-160.00002255023001,188,798,217
8020-170.00001247410001,833,842,610
7919-180.0000436591002,538,723,741
7818-190.0000123723003,155,712,883
7717-20Out00137980003,522,212,780
7616-21Out00677160003,528,084,274
7515-22Out002672820003,167,515,670
7414-23Out01514170002,544,498,455
7313-24Out003350161001,823,923,538
7212-25Out001747306001,163,002,281
7111-26Out06344216200656,718,263
7010-27Out02184331700326,671,075
699-28Out00631441810142,167,271
688-29Out011645353053,658,999
677-30Out00634509017,375,964
666-31Out0120582114,757,666
655-32Out009533531,081,732
644-33Out0340498199,164
633-34Out125581628,500
622-35Out01457303,066
611-36Out85140193
600-37Out0241572,237,424
Total:0.2%0000141654175100026,994,905,140
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 4 Pirates 0 +0.5
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Phillies 0 Pirates 3 -0.4

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9737-0105232600
9535-25050
9434-362637239
9333-4114413491
9232-50730421930
9131-60215393310100
9030-70052741224010
8929-800112363512040
8828-9000421382321200
8727-1000182731627200
8626-1100021124114381000
8525-1200031111472440000
8424-1300026323817410000
8323-140000212313117610000
8222-150000212262920820000
8121-1600002102229231130000
8020-17000027202926133000
7919-18000016183028143000
7818-190000015183330121000
7717-2000001520372871000
7616-2100001727412140000
7515-22000011136361320000
7414-230000320392881000
7313-240000727372161000
7212-2500021231331740000
7111-260003163231153000
7010-270005183329122000
699-2800162135279100
688-2900018263823400
677-3000021233381410
666-31000319432960
655-3200173442151
644-330021946303
633-3400838459
622-3502235520
611-36135531
600-370054549
Total:000000000112346811151714953100000