Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2017

Beat Braves 6-5, playoff odds up 2.2 to 13.4%
64-62   .508

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 1 Royals 3 -2.6
-0.3
Rangers 5 Red Sox 7 +0.4
Twins 9 Angels 5 +0.2
Yankees 6 Blue Jays 3 *-0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 3 Royals 7 -2.5
-0.3
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.6
Rangers 4 Red Sox 11 +0.3
Athletics 7 White Sox 6 +0.1
Twins 5 Angels 4 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10036-0In921072,237,419
9935-1In1001
9834-2In7042627
9733-3In48745350
9632-4In2790633,361
9531-5In149177024,466
9430-6In562871146,305
9329-7100.0%1329120724,827
9228-8100.001191603,042,713
9127-9100.000185140010,893,214
9026-1099.800073260033,809,364
8925-1199.0000584110091,671,604
8824-1296.40004155400218,598,403
8723-1389.8000256510000460,774,237
8622-1477.0001364212000862,180,461
8521-1557.3005523570001,436,981,303
8420-1634.40133441930002,137,811,433
8319-1715.4001540341010002,843,706,466
8218-184.700524402561003,385,796,622
8117-190.90193037194003,608,797,753
8016-200.1002143535131003,442,717,663
7915-210.0000420393070002,936,576,888
7814-220.000172843202002,235,891,286
7713-230.000011341378001,516,139,196
7612-24Out000426492020912,558,601
7511-25Out001114537600485,583,614
7410-26Out000431481610227,182,690
739-27Out0011648314092,837,281
728-28Out006384511032,843,616
717-29Out0223512509,947,772
706-30Out0010454312,544,872
695-31Out0432613538,770
684-32Out011873791,639
673-33Out09771512,297
662-34Out372251,138
651-35Out712966
640-36Out050502,237,422
Total:13.4%00021115171715127310026,994,905,140
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs